Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente Prediction
FT
AI call
Estudiantes L.P. or draw
43%
31%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente prediction: Sportiko gives Estudiantes L.P. a 43% chance of winning, Independiente 26% and the draw 31%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 22:13.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Tomás Palacios
Yellow Card
40'
▮
▮
45+1'
Leonardo Godoy
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄
63'
Matías Abaldo
⇄ Maxi Meza
Alexis Castro
⇄ Fabricio Pérez
72'
⇄
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
⇄ Brian Aguirre
72'
⇄
⚽
0–1
76'
Gabriel Ávalos
assist: Santiago Montiel
Guido Carrillo
Missed Penalty
81'
✗
⚽
0–2
82'
Santiago Montiel
⇄
84'
Leonardo Godoy
⇄ Santiago Arias
⇄
84'
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
⇄ David Martínez
Ramiro Funes Mori
⇄ Lucas Alario
85'
⇄
Tiago Palacios
⇄ Edwuin Cetré
85'
⇄
Ezequiel Piovi
⇄ Jose Sosa
86'
⇄
⇄
89'
Gabriel Ávalos
⇄ Kevin Lomónaco
FT 0–2
Estudiantes L.P.
Match Stats
Independiente
59%
Ball Possession
41%
1.74
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
14
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots insidebox
10
3
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
364
Total passes
256
285
Passes accurate
169
78%
Passes %
66%
1.89
goals_prevented
1.89
Estudiantes L.P.
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Tomás Palacios D | 8.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 6 |
| 17 Joaquín Tobio Burgos M | 7.5 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 28 Brian Aguirre F | 7.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 16 Fernando Muslera G | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | – |
| 21 Ezequiel Piovi M | 7.2 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 42 (33%) | 7 |
| 22 Alexis Castro M | 7.0 | 72' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 3 |
| 20 Eric Meza D | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | 2 |
| 10 Tiago Palacios F | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 9 Guido Carrillo F | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 30 (20%) | – |
| 32 Mikel Amondarain M | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | 2 |
| 27 Lucas Alario F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 4 Santiago Núñez D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 40 (30%) | – |
| 29 Fabricio Pérez F | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 18 Edwuin Cetré F | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 26 Ramiro Funes Mori D | 5.9 | 85' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 1 |
| 7 Jose Sosa M | — | 7' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
Independiente
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Rodrigo Rey G | 8.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 27 (14%) | – |
| 7 Santiago Montiel M | 8.2 | 93' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 (11%) | 3 |
| 9 Gabriel Ávalos F | 7.9 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 16 (9%) | – |
| 36 Sebastián Valdez D | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 29 (22%) | 4 |
| 22 Facundo Zabala D | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 23 (13%) | 2 |
| 23 Iván Marcone M | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | 1 |
| 16 Mateo Perez M | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 29 Leonardo Godoy D | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 25 (19%) | 2 |
| 4 Santiago Arias D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 19 Matías Abaldo M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 13 Juan Fedorco D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 23 (14%) | 1 |
| 32 David Martínez M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 8 Maxi Meza F | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 8 (3%) | 1 |
| 28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez M | 5.9 | 84' | – | – | – | 16 (8%) | 2 |
| 26 Kevin Lomónaco D | — | 4' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Estudiantes L.P. or draw
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Estudiantes L.P.
DDLLD
Independiente
WDLDD
Last 3 meetings
Estudiantes L.P. · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Estudiantes L.P. faces Independiente in a key Liga Profesional Argentina clash. Estudiantes has shown strong form at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per match this season. In contrast, Independiente struggles on the road, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per game. The match will likely hinge on Estudiantes' ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, where they average 1.7 goals per match, compared to Independiente’s 1.3. This matchup promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams aiming for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Estudiantes L.P.
No scorer data.
Independiente
G. Ávalos
11 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente
1
Estudiantes L.P. Wins
1
Draws
1
Independiente Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Independiente | 1 - 1 | Estudiantes L.P. |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 - 2 | Independiente |
| 09 Apr 2023 | Independiente | 1 - 2 | Estudiantes L.P. |
Estudiantes L.P. — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Talleres Cordoba | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Instituto Cordoba | D | 3 - 3 |
| 26 Oct | A Union Santa Fe | L | 3 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H San Lorenzo | L | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Oct | H Flamengo | D | 0 - 0 |
Independiente — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Deportivo Riestra | W | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Defensa Y Justicia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Boca Juniors | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Racing Club | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Oct | A Talleres Cordoba | D | 0 - 0 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
|
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 33 |
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |
Lanus
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Newells Old Boys
|
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independiente
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 |
Gimnasia M.
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Platense
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |
San Lorenzo
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario Central
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |
Argentinos JRS
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
River Plate
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |
Barracas Central
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Huracan
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Racing Club
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
Estudiantes L.P.
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Alexander Medina
16
Muslera
24
Palacios
26
Mori
4
Núñez
20
Meza
17
Burgos
22
Castro
21
Piovi
32
Amondarain
9
Carrillo
10
Palacios
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fernando Muslera | G |
| 20 | Eric Meza | D |
| 4 | Santiago Núñez | D |
| 26 | Ramiro Funes Mori | D |
| 24 | Tomás Palacios | D |
| 32 | Mikel Amondarain | M |
| 21 | Ezequiel Piovi | M |
| 22 | Alexis Castro | M |
| 17 | Joaquín Tobio Burgos | M |
| 10 | Tiago Palacios | F |
| 9 | Guido Carrillo | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Fabricio Iacovich | G |
| 13 | Gastón Benedetti | D |
| 35 | Valente Pierani | D |
| 40 | Eros Mancuso | D |
| 29 | Fabricio Pérez | F |
| 8 | Gabriel Neves | M |
| 28 | Brian Aguirre | F |
| 7 | José Sosa | M |
| 11 | Facundo Farías | M |
| 19 | Adolfo Gaich | F |
| 27 | Lucas Alario | F |
| 18 | Edwuin Cetré | F |
Independiente
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Gustavo Quinteros
33
Rey
22
Zabala
36
Valdez
13
Fedorco
29
Godoy
23
Marcone
16
Curci
19
Abaldo
7
Montiel
28
Gutiérrez
9
Ávalos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Rodrigo Rey | G |
| 29 | Leonardo Godoy | D |
| 13 | Juan Fedorco | D |
| 36 | Sebastián Valdez | D |
| 22 | Facundo Zabala | D |
| 16 | Mateo Perez Curci | M |
| 23 | Iván Marcone | M |
| 28 | Maximiliano Gutiérrez | M |
| 7 | Santiago Montiel | M |
| 19 | Matías Abaldo | M |
| 9 | Gabriel Ávalos | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Joaquín Blázquez | G |
| 26 | Kevin Lomónaco | D |
| 3 | Jonathan De Irastorza | D |
| 35 | Juan Miguel Arrayago | D |
| 4 | Santiago Arias | D |
| 14 | Lautaro Millán | M |
| 32 | David Martínez | M |
| 20 | Facundo Cruz | M |
| 10 | Luciano Cabral | M |
| 8 | Maxi Meza | F |
| 34 | Felipe Tempone | F |
| 18 | Facundo Valdéz | F |