Boca Juniors vs Independiente Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina · Regular Season - 14
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AI call Boca Juniors to win
63%
24%
12%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Boca Juniors vs Independiente prediction: Sportiko gives Boca Juniors a 63% chance of winning, Independiente 12% and the draw 24%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean
Boca Juniors to win
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Boca Juniors
WDLLW
Independiente
LWWWL
Last 3 meetings Boca Juniors · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Boca Juniors will host Independiente in a crucial Liga Profesional Argentina clash on April 12, 2026. Boca has a strong home advantage, historically winning 65% of their matches at La Bombonera. They currently boast a solid home record this season, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game. Independiente, while competitive, struggles against top-tier opponents, losing 70% of their away matches against teams in the top half of the table. Key players to watch will be Boca's forward, who leads the league in goals, and Independiente's midfield playmaker, who has a high passing accuracy. This match could tilt the title race in Boca's favor, given their current form and historical dominance.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Boca Juniors
M. Merentiel 5 gls
Independiente
G. Ávalos 11 gls
M. Abaldo 5 gls

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Head to Head: Boca Juniors vs Independiente

1 Boca Juniors Wins
1 Draws
1 Independiente Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 May 2025 Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Independiente
14 Dec 2024 Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Independiente
29 Jul 2023 Independiente 0 - 2 Boca Juniors
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Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Aug H Estudiantes L.P. W 1 - 0
02 Aug A Newells Old Boys D 2 - 2
31 Jul A O'Higgins L 1 - 0
26 Jul A Deportivo Riestra L 3 - 0
24 Jul H O'Higgins W 1 - 0

Independiente — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Aug A Velez Sarsfield L 1 - 0
31 Jul H Newells Old Boys W 1 - 0
26 Jul A Estudiantes L.P. W 0 - 2
22 May A Union Santa Fe W 0 - 2
24 Apr A Deportivo Riestra L 2 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Velez Sarsfield
3 3 0 0 +4 9
2
Independiente
3 2 0 1 +2 6
3
Gimnasia M.
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Instituto Cordoba
3 2 0 1 +1 6
5
Newells Old Boys
3 1 1 1 0 4
6
Union Santa Fe
3 1 1 1 -1 4
7
Defensa Y Justicia
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Boca Juniors
3 1 1 1 -2 4
9
Talleres Cordoba
3 1 0 2 +1 3
10
Deportivo Riestra
3 1 0 2 +1 3
11
Estudiantes L.P.
3 1 0 2 0 3
12
Lanus
3 1 0 2 -1 3
13
San Lorenzo
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3 1 0 2 -2 3
15
Platense
3 0 1 2 -5 1

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
3 3 0 0 +5 9
2
Barracas Central
3 3 0 0 +3 9
3
Independ. Rivadavia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
4
Rosario Central
4 2 1 1 +1 7
5
Gimnasia L.P.
3 2 0 1 +1 6
6
Atletico Tucuman
3 1 2 0 +2 5
7
Tigre
3 1 1 1 +1 4
8
Banfield
3 1 1 1 0 4
9
Belgrano Cordoba
3 1 1 1 0 4
10
Huracan
3 1 1 1 0 4
11
Racing Club
3 1 1 1 -1 4
12
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4 1 1 2 -3 4
13
Sarmiento Junin
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Aldosivi
4 0 1 3 -3 1
15
River Plate
3 0 0 3 -3 0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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