Independiente vs Racing Club Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Racing Club win or draw
21%
25%
54%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Independiente vs Racing Club prediction: Sportiko gives Independiente a 21% chance of winning, Racing Club 54% and the draw 25%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Timeline
▮
21'
Santiago Sosa
Yellow Card
🖵
36'
Tomás Conechny
Penalty confirmed
Yellow Card
39'
▮
✗
40'
Missed Penalty
▮
45+5'
Marcos Rojo
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Yellow Card
58'
▮
58'
⇄
⇄
73'
Tomás Conechny
⇄ Duván Vergara
80'
⇄
Gabriel Ávalos
81'
⚽
1–0
⇄
83'
Baltasar Rodriguez
⇄
83'
⇄ Matko Miljevic
86'
⇄
⇄
89'
⇄ Gastón Martirena
▮
90+4'
Matko Miljevic
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Independiente
Match Stats
Racing Club
50%
Ball Possession
50%
Expected Goals (xG)
8
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
6
4
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots insidebox
6
4
Shots outsidebox
4
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
261
Total passes
274
160
Passes accurate
172
61%
Passes %
63%
goals_prevented
Independiente
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Gabriel Ávalos F | 8.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (13%) | – |
| 4 Santiago Arias D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 7 Santiago Montiel M | 7.5 | 86' | – | 1 | 1 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 33 Rodrigo Rey G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | – |
| 26 Kevin Lomónaco D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 1 |
| 36 Sebastián Valdez D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (18%) | 2 |
| 23 Iván Marcone M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (19%) | 1 |
| 40 Ignacio Malcorra M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 22 Facundo Zabala D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (18%) | 3 |
| 8 Lautaro Millán M | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 13 Juan Fedorco D | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 43 Facundo Valdéz M | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | – | 13 (4%) | 1 |
| 28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 16 Mateo Perez M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
Racing Club
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Facundo Cambeses G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 28 Santiago Solari M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (8%) | 2 |
| 20 Baltasar Rodriguez M | 7.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 24 (16%) | 5 |
| 4 Ezequiel Cannavo D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 12 (4%) | 5 |
| 10 Matko Miljevic M | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 3 Marco Di Cesare D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 35 (23%) | 2 |
| 24 Adrián Fernández M | 6.7 | 83' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 36 Bruno Zuculini M | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 13 Santiago Sosa M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (26%) | 1 |
| 6 Marcos Rojo D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (13%) | 2 |
| 17 Tomás Conechny M | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | 1 |
| 15 Gastón Martirena D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 | – |
| 7 Duván Vergara F | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 2 Agustín García Basso D | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 29 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Adrián Martínez F | 4.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 19 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (60%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Racing Club win or draw
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Independiente
WDWLD
Racing Club
WLLLD
Last 3 meetings
Independiente · 0W 3D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga Profesional clash on April 5, 2026, Independiente will host Racing Club in a highly anticipated derby. Historically, this fixture has been fiercely competitive, with Racing holding a slight edge in recent encounters, winning 3 of the last 5 matches. Independiente will look to capitalize on home advantage, where they typically perform well, boasting a strong defensive record. Conversely, Racing's attacking prowess, led by their top scorer, could prove decisive if they can exploit gaps in Independiente's backline. Expect a tightly contested match with potential playoff implications as both teams vie for crucial points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Independiente
G. Ávalos
11 gls
Racing Club
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Independiente vs Racing Club
0
Independiente Wins
3
Draws
0
Racing Club Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Racing Club | 0 - 0 | Independiente |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Independiente | 1 - 1 | Racing Club |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Racing Club | 0 - 0 | Independiente |
Independiente — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Union Santa Fe | W | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H San Lorenzo | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Central Cordoba de Santiago | W | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Gimnasia M. | L | 0 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | H Independ. Rivadavia | D | 0 - 0 |
Racing Club — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Sarmiento Junin | W | 3 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Huracan | L | 2 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | H Atletico Tucuman | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Independ. Rivadavia | L | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Aug | H Boca Juniors | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 |
Gimnasia M.
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Boca Juniors
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |
Independiente
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |
Lanus
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Newells Old Boys
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |
San Lorenzo
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |
Platense
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentinos JRS
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rosario Central
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |
Huracan
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 |
River Plate
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |
Barracas Central
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 |
Aldosivi
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |
Racing Club
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
Racing Club
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: G. Costas
25
Cambeses
2
Garcia
6
Rojo
3
Cesare
4
Cannavo
13
Sosa
20
Rodriguez
17
Conechny
24
Fernandez
28
Solari
9
Martinez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | F. Cambeses | G |
| 4 | E. Cannavo | D |
| 3 | M. Di Cesare | D |
| 6 | M. Rojo | D |
| 2 | A. Garcia | D |
| 20 | B. Rodriguez | M |
| 13 | S. Sosa | M |
| 28 | S. Solari | M |
| 24 | A. Fernandez | M |
| 17 | T. Conechny | M |
| 9 | Adrian Martinez | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | M. Tagliamonte | G |
| 36 | B. Zuculini | M |
| 18 | F. Pardo | D |
| 19 | I. Rodriguez | M |
| 14 | D. Pizarro | F |
| 44 | G. Sosa | M |
| 8 | A. Forneris | M |
| 7 | D. Vergara | F |
| 11 | M. Zaracho | M |
| 10 | M. Miljevic | M |
| 23 | N. Colombo | D |
| 15 | G. N. Martirena Torres | D |
Independiente
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Gustavo Quinteros
33
Rey
22
Zabala
36
Valdez
26
Lomonaco
4
Arias
23
Marcone
43
Valdez
40
Malcorra
8
Millan
7
Montiel
9
Avalos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | R. Rey | G |
| 4 | S. Arias | D |
| 26 | K. Lomonaco | D |
| 36 | S. Valdez | D |
| 22 | F. Zabala | D |
| 23 | I. Marcone | M |
| 7 | S. Montiel | M |
| 8 | L. Millan | M |
| 40 | I. Malcorra | M |
| 43 | F. Valdez | M |
| 9 | G. Avalos | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | J. Blazquez | G |
| 6 | N. Freire | D |
| 3 | M. Valenzuela | D |
| 28 | M. Gutierrez | F |
| 11 | F. Mancuello | M |
| 10 | L. Cabral | M |
| 29 | L. Godoy | D |
| 5 | Rodrigo Fernandez | M |
| 13 | J. Fedorco | D |
| 16 | M. Perez Curci | M |
| 20 | S. Bodnar | F |
| 34 | F. Tempone | F |