Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

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Chapecoense-sc

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HT 1 - 1

Mirassol

Away

AI call Mirassol or draw

26%

28%

46%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol prediction: Sportiko gives Chapecoense-sc a 26% chance of winning, Mirassol 46% and the draw 28%. Last updated 4 Nov 2026, 00:35.

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Timeline

Kauan assist: Giovanni Augusto

12' ⚽ 1–0

Bruno Pacheco Yellow Card

15' ▮

✗ 20'

Reinaldo Missed Penalty

Camilo Yellow Card

22' ▮

Yellow Card

26' ▮

⚽ 1–1 45+4'

Reinaldo Penalty

▮ 45+8'

Denilson Yellow Card

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Eduardo

⇄ 46'

Denilson ⇄ José Aldo

⚽ 1–2 57'

Anderson Own Goal

Yannick Bolasie ⇄ Kevin Ramírez

62' ⇄

Yago Felipe ⇄ David Antunes

62' ⇄

Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira ⇄ Franco Rossi

62' ⇄

Giovanni Augusto ⇄ Miguel Carvalho

68' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Shaylon ⇄ Chico

Marcinho ⇄ Dylan Borrero

78' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Alesson ⇄ Fernandinho

Eduardo Doma Yellow Card

82' ▮

⇄ 89'

⇄ Willian Machado

FT 1–2

Chapecoense-sc

Match Stats

Mirassol

45% Ball Possession 55%

0.40 Expected Goals (xG) 2.16

9 Total Shots 13

3 Shots on Goal 4

4 Shots off Goal 5

2 Blocked Shots 4

4 Shots insidebox 5

5 Shots outsidebox 8

2 Corner Kicks 5

Offsides

17 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

386 Total passes 477

320 Passes accurate 431

83% Passes % 90%

-0.48 goals_prevented -0.48

Chapecoense-sc

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Kauan D	7.9	86'	1	–	1	49 (44%)	4
27 Camilo M	7.5	86'	–	–	–	46 (43%)	8
91 Bruno Pacheco D	6.9	86'	–	–	–	34 (32%)	3
10 Giovanni Augusto M	6.9	68'	–	1	–	23 (17%)	–
5 Heitor D	6.9	86'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	6
3 Eduardo Doma D	6.7	86'	–	–	–	46 (40%)	1
94 Kevin Ramírez F	6.7	24'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
19 David Antunes M	6.6	24'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	–
80 Miguel Carvalho M	6.6	18'	–	–	1	14 (11%)	1
11 Yannick Bolasie M	6.5	62'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	–
29 Franco Rossi F	6.5	24'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
7 Marcinho M	6.3	78'	–	–	2	34 (28%)	2
9 Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira F	6.3	62'	–	–	1	14 (5%)	–
77 Dylan Borrero M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
98 Anderson G	6.2	86'	–	–	–	23 (13%)	–
88 Yago Felipe M	6.2	62'	–	–	1	22 (20%)	1

Mirassol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
77 Alesson M	7.6	78'	–	–	2	26 (24%)	–
6 Reinaldo D	7.3	86'	1	–	2	45 (35%)	2
25 Neto Moura M	7.3	86'	–	–	–	51 (49%)	3
34 João Victor D	7.2	86'	–	–	1	71 (69%)	–
96 Carlos Eduardo F	7.0	41'	–	–	1	10 (7%)	1
2 Lucas Oliveira D	6.9	86'	–	–	–	70 (62%)	2
10 Chico M	6.7	14'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
27 Denilson M	6.6	45'	–	–	1	51 (50%)	2
21 José Aldo M	6.5	41'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	–
33 Eduardo M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
32 Igor Formiga D	6.3	86'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	2
17 Fernandinho F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
7 Shaylon M	6.3	72'	–	–	1	33 (29%)	1
22 Walter G	6.2	86'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	–
9 André Luis F	6.0	86'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean

Mirassol or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Chapecoense-sc

LLWLL

Mirassol

WLDWL

Last 1 meetings Chapecoense-sc · 0W 1D 0L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Mirassol leads 1-2. Win probability: 86.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.6%.

58' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Mirassol win: 79.6%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 40.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 22.9%, Away win 2H: 36.3%.

13' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Chapecoense-sc win: 56%. BTTS: 75.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

26%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol

0 Chapecoense-sc Wins

1 Draws

0 Mirassol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Mirassol	1 - 1	Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Nov	H Mirassol	L	1 - 2
28 Oct	A RB Bragantino	L	3 - 0
24 Oct	H Fluminense	W	2 - 1
17 Oct	A Botafogo	L	1 - 0
12 Oct	H Atletico Paranaense	L	1 - 4

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Nov	A Chapecoense-sc	W	1 - 2
30 Oct	A Corinthians	L	2 - 0
24 Oct	H Sao Paulo	D	1 - 1
16 Oct	H Internacional	W	2 - 0
11 Oct	A Bahia	L	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71	29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62	23	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55	48	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55	42	+13	57
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51	43	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50	45	+5	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	44	40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44	39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50	49	+1	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	39	39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46	53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40	51	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	43	50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39	48	-9	40
15	Vitoria	34	10	8	16	35	51	-16	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38	42	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36	42	-6	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	38	47	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37	57	-20	29
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	33	68	-35	21

Chapecoense-sc

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz

98 Anderson

91 Pacheco

3 Doma

21 Kauan

5 Heitor

88 Felipe

27 Camilo

11 Bolasie

10 Augusto

7 Marcinho

9 Eduardo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
98	Anderson	G
5	Heitor	D
21	Kauan	D
3	Eduardo Doma	D
91	Bruno Pacheco	D
27	Camilo	M
88	Yago Felipe	M
7	Marcinho	M
10	Giovanni Augusto	M
11	Yannick Bolasie	M
9	Tulio Eduardo	F

Substitutes

30	Matheus	G
23	Dudu	D
25	Victor Caetano	D
12	Fernando	D
15	Rafael Thyere	D
16	Bruno Matias	M
77	Dylan Borrero	M
22	Max	M
80	Miguel Carvalho	M
19	David Antunes	M
94	Kevin Ramírez	F
29	Franco Rossi	F

Mirassol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz

22 Walter

6 Reinaldo

2 Oliveira

34 Victor

32 Formiga

25 Moura

27 Denilson

77 Alesson

33 Eduardo

7 Shaylon

9 Luis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Walter	G
32	Igor Formiga	D
34	João Victor	D
2	Lucas Oliveira	D
6	Reinaldo	D
27	Denilson	M
25	Neto Moura	M
7	Shaylon	M
33	Eduardo	M
77	Alesson	M
9	André Luis	F

Substitutes

90	Thomazella	G
44	Gabriel Knesowitsch	D
20	Daniel Borges	D
3	Willian Machado	D
5	Japa	M
10	Chico	M
21	José Aldo	M
80	Wallisson Luiz	M
19	Gustavo Silva	M
17	Fernandinho	F
96	Carlos Eduardo	F
99	Zé Roberto	F