Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

25 Oct 2026, 21:00

Post on X

Mirassol

Home

21:00

25 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo

Away

AI call Mirassol or draw

48%

25%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction: Sportiko gives Mirassol a 48% chance of winning, Sao Paulo 28% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Mirassol

WDWLD

Sao Paulo

WDLLW

Last 3 meetings Mirassol · 2W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

28%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sao Paulo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	7	4	2	1
1	10	12	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Mirassol goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Mirassol

No scorer data.

Sao Paulo

Luciano 8 gls

J. Calleri 8 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Away Win

28%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

22%

1.5

78%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Away Win

28%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

22%

1.5

78%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

24%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	7.0%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.6%	11.6%	6.9%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.5%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.4%	5.2%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mirassol	Draw	Sao Paulo
Mirassol	17.2%	8.9%	10.1%
Draw	19.1%	9.8%	11.2%
Sao Paulo	11.3%	5.8%	6.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mirassol vs Sao Paulo

2 Mirassol Wins

0 Draws

1 Sao Paulo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Mirassol
19 Oct 2025	Mirassol	3 - 0	Sao Paulo
24 May 2025	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Mirassol

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botafogo	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Vitoria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Coritiba	W	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Palmeiras	D	1 - 1

Sao Paulo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Internacional	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Boca Juniors	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Palmeiras	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	A Boca Juniors	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Atletico-MG	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.