Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction
Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
AI call
Difficult Palmeiras win or draw
57%
27%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction: Sportiko gives Palmeiras a 57% chance of winning, Corinthians 16% and the draw 27%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 22:21.
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Timeline
Jhon Arias
Yellow Card
9'
▮
▮
15'
Raniele
Yellow Card
Alexander Barboza
assist: Lucas Evangelista
16'
⚽
1–0
Agustín Giay
assist: Jhon Arias
45+1'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
Matheus Bidu
Own Goal
46'
⚽
3–0
▮
48'
M. Depay
Yellow Card
Agustín Giay
Yellow Card
49'
▮
Agustín Giay
51'
⚽
4–0
⇄
57'
André Carrillo
⇄ Allan
⇄
57'
Breno Bidon
⇄ Vitinho
▮
59'
Gabriel Paulista
Yellow Card
▮
65'
Vitinho
Yellow Card
José Manuel López
⇄ Mauricio
69'
⇄
Lucas Evangelista
⇄ Emiliano Martínez
69'
⇄
Vitor Roque
⇄ Ramón Sosa
69'
⇄
⇄
69'
André Luiz
⇄ André Ramalho
⇄
69'
Yuri Alberto
⇄ Pedro Raul
Gustavo Gómez
Yellow Card
72'
▮
Ramón Sosa
⇄ Paulinho
77'
⇄
Paulinho
Missed Penalty
81'
✗
⇄
83'
Raniele
⇄ Dieguinho
Gustavo Gómez
⇄ Bruno Fuchs
83'
⇄
⚽
4–1
90+1'
Gustavo Henrique
FT 4–1
Palmeiras
Match Stats
Corinthians
55%
Ball Possession
45%
2.68
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
22
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Goal
2
8
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
3
14
Shots insidebox
9
8
Shots outsidebox
2
7
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
453
Total passes
374
392
Passes accurate
312
11
Free Kicks
16
Palmeiras
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Agustín Giay M | 9.5 | 89' | 2 | – | 2 | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 2 Alexander Barboza D | 9.0 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 56 (49%) | 3 |
| 11 Jhon Arias M | 7.7 | 89' | – | 1 | 5 | 41 (38%) | – |
| 30 Lucas Evangelista M | 7.7 | 69' | – | 1 | 1 | 45 (43%) | 2 |
| 15 Gustavo Gómez D | 7.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 47 (42%) | 2 |
| 8 Andreas Pereira M | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 26 Murilo D | 7.1 | 89' | – | – | – | 44 (36%) | – |
| 1 Carlos Miguel G | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | – | 19 (9%) | – |
| 3 Bruno Fuchs D | 7.0 | 6' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 22 Joaquín Piquerez M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 56 (47%) | 3 |
| 18 Mauricio M | 6.8 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 32 Emiliano Martínez M | 6.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 42 José Manuel López M | 6.7 | 69' | – | – | 3 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 10 Paulinho F | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | 2 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 19 Ramón Sosa F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Vitor Roque F | 6.4 | 69' | – | – | 3 | 14 (11%) | 1 |
Corinthians
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hugo Souza G | 6.8 | 89' | – | – | – | 30 (20%) | – |
| 2 Matheuzinho D | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 43 (35%) | 2 |
| 18 Pedro Raul F | 6.4 | 20' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 9 Yuri Alberto F | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | 3 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 11 Vitinho F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 19 André Carrillo M | 6.2 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 34 (29%) | – |
| 13 Gustavo Henrique D | 6.1 | 89' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | – |
| 29 Allan M | 6.1 | 32' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 10 M. Depay F | 6.0 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 39 (32%) | – |
| 7 Breno Bidon M | 5.9 | 57' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 4 |
| 5 André Ramalho D | 5.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 61 Dieguinho M | 5.8 | 6' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 49 André Luiz M | 5.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | – |
| 14 Raniele M | 5.6 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | 3 |
| 3 Gabriel Paulista D | 5.4 | 89' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | – |
| 21 Matheus Bidu D | 4.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 39 (31%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Palmeiras win or draw
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Palmeiras
WWDWL
Corinthians
DWLDL
Last 3 meetings
Palmeiras · 1W 2D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Palmeiras
J. López
10 gls
Maurício
10 gls
Corinthians
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Palmeiras vs Corinthians
1
Palmeiras Wins
2
Draws
0
Corinthians Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Corinthians | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Palmeiras | 2 - 0 | Corinthians |
Palmeiras — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Remo | W | 6 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Vasco DA Gama | W | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Santos | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H RB Bragantino | W | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Fluminense | L | 0 - 1 |
Corinthians — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Sao Paulo | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Oct | H Mirassol | W | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Vasco DA Gama | L | 3 - 2 |
| 19 Oct | H Vitoria | D | 1 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | A Palmeiras | L | 4 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |
Botafogo
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |
Vitoria
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |
Corinthians
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |
Gremio
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |
Palmeiras
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Abel Ferreira
1
Miguel
2
Barboza
15
Gómez
26
Murilo
22
Piquerez
30
Evangelista
8
Pereira
4
Giay
11
Arias
42
López
9
Roque
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Miguel | G |
| 26 | Murilo | D |
| 15 | G. Gómez | D |
| 2 | A. Barboza | D |
| 4 | A. Giay | M |
| 8 | Andreas Pereira | M |
| 30 | Lucas Evangelista | M |
| 22 | J. Piquerez | M |
| 42 | J. López | M |
| 11 | J. Arias | M |
| 9 | Vitor Roque | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | Maurício | M |
| 32 | E. Martínez | M |
| 14 | Marcelo Lomba | G |
| 50 | Luis Felipe | M |
| 17 | Marlon Freitas | M |
| 10 | Paulinho | F |
| 56 | Arthur | D |
| 12 | Khellven | D |
| 19 | R. Sosa | F |
| 48 | Larson | M |
| 3 | Bruno Fuchs | D |
| 7 | Felipe Anderson | M |
Corinthians
Formation: 4-1-3-2
Coach: C. Seedorf
1
Souza
21
Bidu
13
Henrique
3
Paulista
2
Matheuzinho
14
Raniele
49
Andre
19
Carrillo
7
Breno
10
Depay
9
Alberto
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hugo Souza | G |
| 2 | Matheuzinho | D |
| 3 | Gabriel Paulista | D |
| 13 | Gustavo Henrique | D |
| 21 | Matheus Bidu | D |
| 14 | Raniele | M |
| 7 | Breno | M |
| 19 | A. Carrillo | M |
| 49 | Andre | M |
| 9 | Yuri Alberto | F |
| 10 | M. Depay | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Vitinho | F |
| 18 | Pedro Raul | F |
| 77 | J. Lingard | M |
| 5 | André Ramalho | D |
| 35 | Charles | M |
| 29 | Allan | M |
| 56 | Guilherme Inácio | F |
| 61 | Dieguinho | M |
| 55 | I. Machado | D |
| 4 | João Pedro | D |
| 51 | Kauê Camargo | G |
| 26 | F. Angileri | D |