Coritiba vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Coritiba

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 0

Mirassol

Away

AI call Coritiba or draw

44%

30%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Coritiba vs Mirassol prediction: Sportiko gives Coritiba a 44% chance of winning, Mirassol 25% and the draw 30%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 16:05.

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Home to Score 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

▮ 27'

Denilson Yellow Card

▮ 27'

Daniel Borges Yellow Card

▮ 34'

João Victor Yellow Card

Thiago Santos Yellow Card

34' ▮

HT 0–0

Thiago Santos ⇄ Vitor Gonçalves Tissi

58' ⇄

Breno Lopes ⇄ Paulo Roberto

59' ⇄

Jacy Maranhão ⇄ Maicon

59' ⇄

Pedro Rocha assist: Fabinho

61' ⚽ 1–0

João Pedro Chermont Yellow Card

63' ▮

⚽ 1–1 64'

Gustavo Silva assist: Igor Formiga

João Pedro Chermont ⇄ Felipe Jonatan

73' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Gustavo Silva ⇄ Fernandinho

⇄ 77'

Alesson ⇄ Shaylon

Fabinho ⇄ Josué

79' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Denilson ⇄ Chico

⇄ 82'

Wallisson Luiz ⇄ Gustavo Cazonatti

⚽ 1–2 84'

Bruno Santos assist: Igor Formiga

⇄ 87'

Eduardo ⇄ Gabriel Knesowitsch

▮ 90+2'

Shaylon Yellow Card

Rodrigo Moledo Penalty cancelled

90+8' 🖵

FT 1–2

Coritiba

Match Stats

Mirassol

48% Ball Possession 52%

17 Total Shots 18

6 Shots on Goal 7

6 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 5

12 Shots insidebox 11

5 Shots outsidebox 7

5 Corner Kicks 7

1 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 5

414 Total passes 460

340 Passes accurate 394

9 Free Kicks 13

Coritiba

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
32 Pedro Rocha F	8.0	90'	1	–	5	19 (14%)	–
26 Bruno Melo D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	49 (46%)	–
77 Breno Lopes M	6.9	59'	–	–	2	27 (25%)	1
28 Fabinho M	6.9	79'	–	1	3	16 (11%)	2
1 Pedro Morisco G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	32 (18%)	–
55 Jacy Maranhão D	6.8	59'	–	–	–	29 (29%)	1
6 Felipe Jonatan D	6.7	17'	–	–	1	17 (11%)	–
3 Maicon D	6.6	31'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
50 Vitor Gonçalves Tissi M	6.6	32'	–	–	–	23 (22%)	–
7 Joaquín Lavega M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	27 (22%)	–
4 Rodrigo Moledo D	6.3	90'	–	–	2	43 (36%)	1
44 João Pedro Chermont D	6.2	73'	–	–	2	33 (26%)	2
19 Sebastian Gomez M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	32 (27%)	3
10 Josué M	6.1	11'	–	–	–	27 (21%)	–
18 Paulo Roberto M	6.1	31'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
21 Thiago Santos M	5.7	58'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	2

Mirassol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
32 Igor Formiga D	9.1	90'	–	2	3	38 (35%)	5
19 Gustavo Silva M	8.2	76'	1	–	2	20 (19%)	1
30 Bruno Santos F	8.0	90'	1	–	1	14 (11%)	–
23 Alex Muralha G	7.7	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	–
27 Denilson M	7.2	82'	–	–	1	75 (70%)	–
17 Fernandinho F	6.9	14'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
3 Willian Machado D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	72 (57%)	1
34 João Victor D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	71 (69%)	1
77 Alesson M	6.6	77'	–	–	2	19 (15%)	3
80 Wallisson Luiz M	6.6	82'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	2
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D	6.5	3'	–	–	–	–	–
6 Reinaldo D	6.5	90'	–	–	2	47 (36%)	–
10 Chico M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
33 Eduardo M	6.2	87'	–	–	5	25 (19%)	2
7 Shaylon M	6.1	13'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Coritiba or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Coritiba

LDLWW

Mirassol

WDWLD

Last 1 meetings Coritiba · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mirassol goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	7	5	2
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Coritiba goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Coritiba

Pedro Rocha 8 gls

Breno Lopes 8 gls

Mirassol

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	7.5%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.1%	14.4%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
2	8.9%	8.9%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.2%	4.2%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Coritiba	Draw	Mirassol
Coritiba	26.0%	4.1%	1.4%
Draw	17.4%	19.8%	10.5%
Mirassol	2.2%	4.3%	14.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Coritiba vs Mirassol

1 Coritiba Wins

0 Draws

0 Mirassol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Mar 2026	Mirassol	0 - 1	Coritiba

Coritiba — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Vasco DA Gama	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	H Atletico Paranaense	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	H Mirassol	L	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Remo	W	2 - 3
23 Aug	H Corinthians	W	2 - 1

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botafogo	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Vitoria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Coritiba	W	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Palmeiras	D	1 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Coritiba

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Seabra

1 Luccas

26 Melo

55 Jacy

4 Moledo

44 Chermont

19 Gómez

21 Santos

77 Lopes

28 Fabinho

7 Lavega

32 Rocha

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Pedro Luccas	G
44	JoÃ£o Pedro Chermont	D
4	Rodrigo Moledo	D
55	Jacy	D
26	Bruno Melo	D
21	Thiago Santos	M
19	S. Gómez	M
7	J. Lavega	M
28	Fabinho	M
77	Breno Lopes	M
32	Pedro Rocha	F

Substitutes

50	Tissi	M
99	Rodrigo Rodrigues	F
22	Pedro Rangel	G
18	Paulo Roberto	M
3	Maicon	D
37	L. Crepaldi	F
10	Josué	M
39	Gustavo	M
6	Felipe Jonatan	D
30	Khensane Mpusane Eustaquio Machel	M
36	Vini Paulista	F
14	Gabriel Ibson Evangelista Da Silva	D

Mirassol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rafael Guanaes

23 Muralha

6 Reinaldo

3 Machado

34 Victor

32 Formiga

27 Denilson

80 Wallisson

77 Alesson

33 Eduardo

19 Silva

30 Santos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Alex Muralha	G
32	Igor Formiga	D
34	João Victor	D
3	Willian Machado	D
6	Reinaldo	D
80	Wallisson	M
27	Denilson	M
19	Gustavo Silva	M
33	Eduardo	M
77	Alesson	M
30	Bruno Santos	F

Substitutes

96	Carlos Eduardo	F
12	Victor Luís	D
10	Chico	M
20	Daniel Borges	D
17	Fernandinho	F
44	Gabriel	D
5	Japa	M
2	Lucas Oliveira	D
7	Shaylon	M
90	Thomazella	G
9	André Luís	F
55	Gustavo Cazonatti	M