Coritiba vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 26
FT
Post on X
AI call Coritiba or draw
44%
30%
25%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Coritiba vs Mirassol prediction: Sportiko gives Coritiba a 44% chance of winning, Mirassol 25% and the draw 30%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 16:05.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Home to Score 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

▮ 27'
Denilson Yellow Card
▮ 27'
Daniel Borges Yellow Card
▮ 34'
João Victor Yellow Card
Thiago Santos Yellow Card
34' ▮
HT 0–0
Thiago Santos ⇄ Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
58' ⇄
Breno Lopes ⇄ Paulo Roberto
59' ⇄
Jacy Maranhão ⇄ Maicon
59' ⇄
Pedro Rocha assist: Fabinho
61' ⚽ 1–0
João Pedro Chermont Yellow Card
63' ▮
⚽ 1–1 64'
Gustavo Silva assist: Igor Formiga
João Pedro Chermont ⇄ Felipe Jonatan
73' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Gustavo Silva ⇄ Fernandinho
⇄ 77'
Alesson ⇄ Shaylon
Fabinho ⇄ Josué
79' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Denilson ⇄ Chico
⇄ 82'
Wallisson Luiz ⇄ Gustavo Cazonatti
⚽ 1–2 84'
Bruno Santos assist: Igor Formiga
⇄ 87'
Eduardo ⇄ Gabriel Knesowitsch
▮ 90+2'
Shaylon Yellow Card
Rodrigo Moledo Penalty cancelled
90+8' 🖵
FT 1–2
Coritiba

Match Stats

Mirassol
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Corner Kicks 7
1 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
414 Total passes 460
340 Passes accurate 394
9 Free Kicks 13
Coritiba
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
32 Pedro Rocha F 8.0 90' 1 – 5 19 (14%) –
26 Bruno Melo D 7.1 90' – – – 49 (46%) –
77 Breno Lopes M 6.9 59' – – 2 27 (25%) 1
28 Fabinho M 6.9 79' – 1 3 16 (11%) 2
1 Pedro Morisco G 6.8 90' – – – 32 (18%) –
55 Jacy Maranhão D 6.8 59' – – – 29 (29%) 1
6 Felipe Jonatan D 6.7 17' – – 1 17 (11%) –
3 Maicon D 6.6 31' – – – 13 (12%) –
50 Vitor Gonçalves Tissi M 6.6 32' – – – 23 (22%) –
7 Joaquín Lavega M 6.4 90' – – 1 27 (22%) –
4 Rodrigo Moledo D 6.3 90' – – 2 43 (36%) 1
44 João Pedro Chermont D 6.2 73' – – 2 33 (26%) 2
19 Sebastian Gomez M 6.2 90' – – 1 32 (27%) 3
10 Josué M 6.1 11' – – – 27 (21%) –
18 Paulo Roberto M 6.1 31' – – – 3 (3%) –
21 Thiago Santos M 5.7 58' – – – 24 (17%) 2
Mirassol
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
32 Igor Formiga D 9.1 90' – 2 3 38 (35%) 5
19 Gustavo Silva M 8.2 76' 1 – 2 20 (19%) 1
30 Bruno Santos F 8.0 90' 1 – 1 14 (11%) –
23 Alex Muralha G 7.7 90' – – – 28 (22%) –
27 Denilson M 7.2 82' – – 1 75 (70%) –
17 Fernandinho F 6.9 14' – – – 4 (4%) –
3 Willian Machado D 6.9 90' – – – 72 (57%) 1
34 João Victor D 6.8 90' – – 1 71 (69%) 1
77 Alesson M 6.6 77' – – 2 19 (15%) 3
80 Wallisson Luiz M 6.6 82' – – 1 29 (24%) 2
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D 6.5 3' – – – – –
6 Reinaldo D 6.5 90' – – 2 47 (36%) –
10 Chico M 6.3 8' – – – 5 (4%) –
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M 6.3 8' – – – 4 (3%) –
33 Eduardo M 6.2 87' – – 5 25 (19%) 2
7 Shaylon M 6.1 13' – – – 9 (6%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean
Coritiba or draw
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Coritiba
LWLLD
Mirassol
WLDWL
Last 1 meetings Coritiba · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Coritiba
Pedro Rocha 9 gls
Breno Lopes 8 gls
Mirassol

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Coritiba vs Mirassol

1 Coritiba Wins
0 Draws
0 Mirassol Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Mar 2026 Mirassol 0 - 1 Coritiba

Coritiba — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Internacional L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Vitoria W 2 - 0
26 Oct H Gremio L 0 - 1
17 Oct A Atletico-MG L 1 - 0
12 Oct H Botafogo D 1 - 1

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov A Chapecoense-sc W 1 - 2
30 Oct A Corinthians L 2 - 0
24 Oct H Sao Paulo D 1 - 1
16 Oct H Internacional W 2 - 0
11 Oct A Bahia L 1 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Coritiba

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Seabra
1 Luccas
26 Melo
55 Jacy
4 Moledo
44 Chermont
19 Gómez
21 Santos
77 Lopes
28 Fabinho
7 Lavega
32 Rocha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Pedro Luccas G
44 João Pedro Chermont D
4 Rodrigo Moledo D
55 Jacy D
26 Bruno Melo D
21 Thiago Santos M
19 S. Gómez M
7 J. Lavega M
28 Fabinho M
77 Breno Lopes M
32 Pedro Rocha F

Substitutes

50 Tissi M
99 Rodrigo Rodrigues F
22 Pedro Rangel G
18 Paulo Roberto M
3 Maicon D
37 L. Crepaldi F
10 Josué M
39 Gustavo M
6 Felipe Jonatan D
30 Khensane Mpusane Eustaquio Machel M
36 Vini Paulista F
14 Gabriel Ibson Evangelista Da Silva D

Mirassol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rafael Guanaes
23 Muralha
6 Reinaldo
3 Machado
34 Victor
32 Formiga
27 Denilson
80 Wallisson
77 Alesson
33 Eduardo
19 Silva
30 Santos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Alex Muralha G
32 Igor Formiga D
34 João Victor D
3 Willian Machado D
6 Reinaldo D
80 Wallisson M
27 Denilson M
19 Gustavo Silva M
33 Eduardo M
77 Alesson M
30 Bruno Santos F

Substitutes

96 Carlos Eduardo F
12 Victor Luís D
10 Chico M
20 Daniel Borges D
17 Fernandinho F
44 Gabriel D
5 Japa M
2 Lucas Oliveira D
7 Shaylon M
90 Thomazella G
9 André Luís F
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M

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