Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 25
FT
Post on X
AI call Cruzeiro or draw
32%
29%
39%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro prediction: Sportiko gives Vasco DA Gama a 32% chance of winning, Cruzeiro 39% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 02:20.

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Timeline

▮ 24'
João Marcelo Yellow Card
Adson Yellow Card
27' ▮
Tchê Tchê
33' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Lucas Freitas assist: Lucas Piton
55' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 62'
Luciano Rodríguez ⇄ Matheus Pereira
⇄ 62'
João Costa ⇄ Wesley
Adson ⇄ Puma Rodríguez
70' ⇄
Santiago Sosa ⇄ Cauan Barros
79' ⇄
Facundo Colidio ⇄ David
79' ⇄
⇄ 79'
Kaique Kenji ⇄ Felipe Morais
⇄ 79'
Zé Lucas ⇄ Lucas Silva
Andrés Gómez ⇄ Marino Hinestroza
85' ⇄
Tchê Tchê ⇄ Ramon Rique
85' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Néiser Villarreal ⇄ Wanderson
David assist: Ramon Rique
90+2' ⚽ 3–0
Lucas Freitas Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
⚽ 3–1 90+5'
Felipe Morais assist: Matheus Pereira
FT 3–1
Vasco DA Gama

Match Stats

Cruzeiro
46% Ball Possession 54%
3.24 Expected Goals (xG) 0.26
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked Shots 3
17 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 6
11 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 7
379 Total passes 459
305 Passes accurate 390
80% Passes % 85%
1.95 goals_prevented 1.95
Vasco DA Gama
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Lucas Piton D 9.5 93' – 1 – 51 (40%) 1
3 Tchê Tchê M 8.2 85' 1 – 1 27 (24%) 2
43 Lucas Freitas D 7.9 93' 1 – 1 47 (38%) 2
23 Thiago Mendes M 7.7 93' – – – 50 (45%) –
83 Ramon Rique M 7.7 8' – 1 – 3 (3%) –
11 Andrés Gómez M 7.5 85' – – 1 25 (18%) 3
5 Santiago Sosa M 7.2 79' – – 1 32 (28%) 1
96 Paulo Henrique D 7.0 93' – – 1 36 (30%) –
1 Léo Jardim G 6.9 93' – – – 18 (14%) –
46 Carlos Cuesta D 6.9 93' – – – 24 (21%) 1
7 David F 6.9 14' 1 – 1 3 (1%) –
88 Cauan Barros M 6.7 14' – – – 4 (2%) 1
2 Puma Rodríguez D 6.6 23' – – – 3 (3%) 1
9 Facundo Colidio F 6.5 79' – – 5 24 (16%) 1
18 Marino Hinestroza F 6.3 8' – – – 3 (2%) –
28 Adson M 5.7 70' – – 4 29 (20%) 1
Cruzeiro
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
81 Otávio Costa G 7.5 93' – – – 23 (13%) –
43 João Marcelo D 7.5 93' – – – 87 (78%) 4
34 Jonathan Jesus D 7.3 93' – – – 60 (58%) 3
5 Zé Lucas M 7.3 79' – – – 47 (41%) 5
10 Matheus Pereira M 6.9 31' – – 1 21 (20%) –
16 Lucas Silva M 6.7 14' – – – 17 (16%) –
20 Wesley F 6.7 31' – – – 7 (6%) 1
38 Felipe Morais M 6.5 14' – – 1 5 (4%) –
7 Matheus Henrique M 6.3 93' – – – 62 (57%) –
97 Luciano Rodríguez M 6.3 62' – – 1 5 (3%) 2
70 Kaique Kenji M 6.3 79' – – 1 17 (14%) 1
67 João Costa M 6.3 62' – – 2 10 (8%) 1
94 Wanderson F 6.2 8' – – – – –
22 Néiser Villarreal F 6.2 85' – – – 8 (6%) –
12 William Furtado D 6.0 93' – – – 55 (39%) 6
27 Gabriel Rojas D 5.9 93' – – – 35 (27%) 3
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
Cruzeiro or draw
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Vasco DA Gama
WLLWL
Cruzeiro
WWWWL
Last 3 meetings Vasco DA Gama · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
39%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Vasco DA Gama

No scorer data.

Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge 14 gls
Matheus Pereira 9 gls

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Head to Head: Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro

1 Vasco DA Gama Wins
1 Draws
1 Cruzeiro Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Mar 2026 Cruzeiro 3 - 3 Vasco DA Gama
27 Sep 2025 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 Cruzeiro
27 Apr 2025 Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Atletico Paranaense W 1 - 3
01 Nov A Palmeiras L 1 - 0
29 Oct H Flamengo L 1 - 4
24 Oct H Corinthians W 3 - 2
21 Oct H Boca Juniors L 1 - 3

Cruzeiro — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Bahia W 3 - 2
29 Oct A Atletico-MG W 0 - 1
23 Oct H Remo W 1 - 0
18 Oct A Gremio W 2 - 4
13 Oct A RB Bragantino L 4 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Vasco DA Gama

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1 Jardim
6 Piton
43 Freitas
46 Cuesta
96 Henrique
5 Sosa
11 Gómez
23 Mendes
3 Tchê
28 Adson
9 Colidio

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Léo Jardim G
96 Paulo Henrique D
46 Carlos Cuesta D
43 Lucas Freitas D
6 Lucas Piton D
5 Santiago Sosa M
28 Adson M
3 Tchê Tchê M
23 Thiago Mendes M
11 Andrés Gómez M
9 Facundo Colidio F

Substitutes

13 Daniel Fuzato G
2 Puma Rodríguez D
4 Alan Saldivia D
82 Riquelme Avellar D
80 Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro D
17 Nuno Moreira M
18 Marino Hinestroza F
88 Cauan Barros M
83 Ramon Rique M
77 Claudio Spinelli F
7 David F

Cruzeiro

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jorge Artur
81 Costa
27 Rojas
34 Jesus
43 Marcelo
12 Furtado
5 Lucas
7 Henrique
70 Kenji
97 Rodríguez
67 Costa
22 Villarreal

Starting XI

# Player Pos
81 Otávio Costa G
12 William Furtado D
43 João Marcelo D
34 Jonathan Jesus D
27 Gabriel Rojas D
7 Matheus Henrique M
5 Zé Lucas M
67 João Costa M
97 Luciano Rodríguez M
70 Kaique Kenji M
22 Néiser Villarreal F

Substitutes

1 Cássio G
25 Lucas Villalba D
2 Kauã Moraes D
23 Fagner D
10 Matheus Pereira M
11 Marquinhos F
29 Lucas Romero M
20 Wesley F
94 Wanderson F
38 Felipe Morais M
16 Lucas Silva M
19 Kaio Jorge F

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