Bahia vs Internacional Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 25
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Bahia win or draw
55%
27%
18%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Bahia vs Internacional prediction: Sportiko gives Bahia a 55% chance of winning, Internacional 18% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 00:28.

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  • Home or Away 73%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 16'
Alan Patrick assist: Thiago Maia
▮ 19'
Yellow Card
Erick Pulga assist: Nicolás Acevedo
23' ⚽ 1–1
▮ 39'
Alexandro Bernabei Yellow Card
Cristian Olivera Yellow Card
39' ▮
Erick Pulga assist: Alejo Véliz
42' ⚽ 2–1
Erick
45+4' ⚽ 3–1
HT 3–1
⚽ 3–2 52'
Vitinho assist: Alan Patrick
▮ 54'
Guillermo Maripán Yellow Card
Cristian Olivera ⇄ Ademir
56' ⇄
Erick ⇄ Michel Araújo
56' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Alexandro Bernabei ⇄ Antonio Sanabria
⇄ 64'
Thiago Maia ⇄ Calebe Gonçalves
Román Gómez Yellow Card
66' ▮
Michel Araújo Yellow Card
72' ▮
Román Gómez ⇄ Marcos Victor
76' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Alan Patrick ⇄ Johan Carbonero
⇄ 76'
Matheus Bahia ⇄ Jose Juninho
Erick Pulga ⇄ Ruan Pablo
84' ⇄
Rodrigo Nestor ⇄ Caio Alexandre
84' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Vitinho ⇄ Niclas Eliasson
David Duarte Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 3–2
Bahia

Match Stats

Internacional
66% Ball Possession 34%
1.75 Expected Goals (xG) 0.29
6 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
312 Total passes 167
275 Passes accurate 133
88% Passes % 80%
0.36 goals_prevented 0.36
Bahia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Erick Pulga F 8.9 50' 2 – 3 7 (7%) 1
99 Cristian Olivera F 7.2 50' – – 1 15 (12%) –
14 Erick M 6.9 50' 1 – 1 13 (12%) –
5 Nicolás Acevedo M 6.9 50' – 1 – 37 (30%) 2
11 Rodrigo Nestor M 6.9 50' – – – 32 (29%) –
46 Luciano Juba D 6.9 50' – – – 43 (37%) 1
9 Alejo Véliz F 6.9 50' – 1 – 7 (4%) –
33 David Duarte D 6.7 50' – – 1 55 (53%) –
1 Ronaldo G 6.3 50' – – – 19 (16%) 1
21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D 6.3 50' – – – 40 (36%) –
31 Román Gómez D 6.2 50' – – – 44 (39%) 1
Internacional
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Alan Patrick F 7.9 50' 1 – 1 12 (12%) 1
29 Thiago Maia M 6.5 50' – 1 – 16 (12%) –
6 Matheus Bahia D 6.3 50' – – – 24 (23%) 3
16 Ronaldo M 6.3 50' – – – 14 (14%) 2
4 Félix Torres D 6.2 50' – – 1 18 (16%) 1
3 Guillermo Maripán D 6.2 50' – – 1 20 (18%) –
28 Vitinho F 6.2 50' – – 1 6 (3%) –
8 Bruno Henrique M 6.2 50' – – – 21 (17%) –
23 Matheus Cunha G 5.9 50' – – – 11 (3%) –
26 Alexandro Bernabei D 5.6 50' – – 1 16 (10%) 1
35 Braian Aguirre D 5.6 50' – – – 9 (5%) –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Bahia win or draw
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Bahia
LWDLW
Internacional
WLWLD
Last 3 meetings Bahia · 2W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 gls
Internacional
J. Carbonero 7 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Bahia vs Internacional

2 Bahia Wins
1 Draws
0 Internacional Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Mar 2026 Internacional 0 - 1 Bahia
08 Nov 2025 Internacional 2 - 2 Bahia
22 Oct 2025 Bahia 1 - 0 Internacional
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Bahia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Cruzeiro L 3 - 2
29 Oct H Sao Paulo W 3 - 2
25 Oct A Santos D 1 - 1
18 Oct H Flamengo L 0 - 3
11 Oct H Mirassol W 1 - 0

Internacional — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Coritiba W 1 - 0
28 Oct A Fluminense L 2 - 1
24 Oct H Botafogo W 3 - 0
16 Oct A Mirassol L 2 - 0
11 Oct A Gremio D 1 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Bahia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ceni Rogerio
1 Ronaldo
46 Juba
21 Mingo
33 Duarte
31 Gómez
11 Nestor
5 Acevedo
14 Erick
16 Pulga
9 Véliz
99 Olivera

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Ronaldo G
31 Román Gómez D
33 David Duarte D
21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D
46 Luciano Juba D
14 Erick M
5 Nicolás Acevedo M
11 Rodrigo Nestor M
99 Cristian Olivera F
9 Alejo Véliz F
16 Erick Pulga F

Substitutes

17 Guido Herrera G
66 José Guilherme D
44 Marcos Victor D
3 Marco Moreno D
4 Kanu D
57 Kauê Furquim M
77 Ruan Pablo F
15 Michel Araújo M
8 Caio Alexandre M
12 Willian José F
7 Ademir F
27 Everaldo F

Internacional

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Paulo Pezzolano
23 Cunha
26 Bernabei
6 Bahia
3 Maripán
4 Torres
35 Aguirre
29 Maia
16 Ronaldo
8 Henrique
10 Patrick
28 Vitinho

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Matheus Cunha G
35 Braian Aguirre D
4 Félix Torres D
3 Guillermo Maripán D
6 Matheus Bahia D
26 Alexandro Bernabei D
8 Bruno Henrique M
16 Ronaldo M
29 Thiago Maia M
28 Vitinho F
10 Alan Patrick F

Substitutes

12 Anthoni G
53 Luiz Felipe D
46 Pedro Kauã D
18 Jose Juninho D
5 Rodrigo Villagra M
52 Gabriel Vinicius M
44 João Victor Alves de Morais Francisco F
30 Calebe Gonçalves M
17 Niclas Eliasson M
7 Johan Carbonero F
9 Alerrandro F
19 Antonio Sanabria F

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