Internacional vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Internacional

Home

0 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Atletico-MG

Away

AI call Atletico-MG or draw

32%

28%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Internacional vs Atletico-MG prediction: Sportiko gives Internacional a 32% chance of winning, Atletico-MG 39% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.

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Home or Away 72%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Bernard ⇄ Fred

⇄ 46'

Tomás Pérez ⇄ Kevin Castaño

Bruno Gomes Yellow Card

48' ▮

▮ 62'

Fred Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

Ruan ⇄ Vitor Hugo

⇄ 64'

Renan Lodi ⇄ Dudu

▮ 69'

Kauã Pascini Yellow Card

Rodrigo Villagra Yellow Card

72' ▮

Matheus Cunha ⇄ Anthoni

77' ⇄

Johan Carbonero

78' ⇄

Bruno Henrique ⇄ Paulinho Paula

78' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Mamady Cissé ⇄ Alan Franco

Bruno Gomes ⇄ Jose Juninho

90+2' ⇄

Alan Patrick ⇄ Allex

90+2' ⇄

Paulinho Paula Yellow Card

90+9' ▮

Gabriel Mercado Yellow Card

90+9' ▮

▮ 90+10'

Kevin Castaño Yellow Card

Guillermo Maripán Yellow Card

90+10' ▮

FT 0–0

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Atletico-MG or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Internacional

LWLLL

Atletico-MG

DWLLW

Last 3 meetings Internacional · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

39%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico-MG goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	15	13	7	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Internacional goals · most likely 0–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Internacional

J. Carbonero 7 gls

Atletico-MG

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

81% Away (No Draw) 19% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 14% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	15.3%	13.5%	7.2%	2.9%
1	5.4%	12.5%	8.9%	4.8%	1.9%
2	2.3%	3.7%	2.9%	1.6%	0.6%
3	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Internacional	Draw	Atletico-MG
Internacional	7.0%	2.9%	1.6%
Draw	6.6%	18.9%	19.1%
Atletico-MG	0.8%	3.8%	39.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Internacional vs Atletico-MG

0 Internacional Wins

1 Draws

2 Atletico-MG Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Mar 2026	Atletico-MG	1 - 0	Internacional
02 Nov 2025	Internacional	0 - 0	Atletico-MG
12 Jun 2025	Atletico-MG	2 - 0	Internacional

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Internacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sao Paulo	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Chapecoense-sc	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Santos	L	2 - 3
03 Sep	A Gremio	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	A Bahia	L	3 - 2

Atletico-MG — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Chapecoense-sc	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Fluminense	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Santos	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Sao Paulo	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	H Cruzeiro	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Internacional

Coach: Paulo Pezzolano

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Matheus Cunha	-
15	Bruno Gomes	-
3	G. Maripan	-
25	G. Mercado	-
35	B. Aguirre	-
5	R. Villagra	-
8	Bruno Henrique	-
28	Vitinho	-
10	Alan Patrick	-
26	A. Bernabei	-
7	J. Carbonero	-

Substitutes

12	Anthoni	-
18	Juninho	-
53	L. F. de Morais Francisco	-
4	F. Torres	-
17	N. Eliasson	-
29	Thiago Maia	-
27	Paulinho Paula	-
16	Ronaldo	-
30	Calebe	-
31	Allex	-
52	G. Vinicius	-
9	Alerrandro	-

Atletico-MG

Coach: Eduardo Dominguez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Everson	-
40	Vitao	-
4	Ruan Tressoldi	-
6	R. Lodi	-
2	Natanael	-
25	T. Perez	-
39	M. Cisse	-
36	K. Pascini	-
27	A. Minda	-
11	Bernard	-
18	T. Borbas	-

Substitutes

1	Gabriel Delfim	-
14	Vitor Hugo	-
53	Pedro Lemos	-
7	Fred	-
21	A. Franco	-
19	Reinier	-
5	Alexsander	-
8	Maycon	-
15	K. Castano	-
9	M. Cassierra	-
92	Dudu	-
28	Cuello	-