Vasco DA Gama vs Santos Prediction
AI call
Vasco DA Gama or draw
41%
29%
30%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Vasco DA Gama vs Santos prediction: Sportiko gives Vasco DA Gama a 41% chance of winning, Santos 30% and the draw 29%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 20:59.
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Premium- Away to Score 72%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline
Jair
⇄ Santiago Sosa
14'
⇄
Robert Renan
Yellow Card
39'
▮
HT 0–0
⇄
62'
Christian Oliva
⇄ Gustavo Henrique Pereira
⇄
62'
Álvaro Barreal
⇄ Rony
⇄
63'
Gustavo Caballero
⇄ Benjamín Rollheiser
Facundo Colidio
⇄ Marino Hinestroza
65'
⇄
Claudio Spinelli
⇄ David
65'
⇄
Lucas Piton
⇄ Puma Rodríguez
66'
⇄
⚽
0–1
68'
Gabriel Barbosa
assist: Benjamín Rollheiser
⇄
69'
Gabriel Barbosa
⇄ Thaciano
Tchê Tchê
⇄ Nuno Moreira
75'
⇄
⚽
0–2
77'
Willian Arão
⚽
0–3
81'
Luan Peres
Paulo Henrique
Yellow Card
84'
▮
⇄
89'
João Schmidt
⇄ João Paulo Ananias
FT 0–3
Vasco DA Gama
Match Stats
Santos
56%
Ball Possession
44%
1.04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
19
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
5
12
Shots off Goal
5
4
Blocked Shots
1
15
Shots insidebox
6
4
Shots outsidebox
5
3
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
386
Total passes
314
318
Passes accurate
237
82%
Passes %
75%
0.35
goals_prevented
0.35
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Thiago Mendes M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 50 (44%) | 1 |
| 9 Facundo Colidio M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | 3 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 30 Robert Renan D | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 61 (50%) | 1 |
| 5 Santiago Sosa M | 6.7 | 80' | – | – | – | 52 (37%) | 2 |
| 18 Marino Hinestroza F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 11 Andrés Gómez M | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 46 Carlos Cuesta D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 45 (44%) | 1 |
| 17 Nuno Moreira M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 77 Claudio Spinelli F | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 8 (5%) | 2 |
| 8 Jair M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 7 David F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 6 Lucas Piton D | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | – |
| 3 Tchê Tchê M | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | – |
| 2 Puma Rodríguez D | 5.9 | 28' | – | – | 2 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 96 Paulo Henrique D | 5.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | 1 |
| 1 Léo Jardim G | 5.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 27 (21%) | – |
Santos
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Willian Arão D | 8.3 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (31%) | – |
| 14 Luan Peres D | 7.6 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 28 (25%) | 1 |
| 9 Gabriel Barbosa F | 7.5 | 69' | 1 | – | 3 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 5 João Schmidt M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | 4 |
| 77 Gabriel Brazão G | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 23 (14%) | – |
| 31 Gonzalo Escobar D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | 5 |
| 32 Benjamín Rollheiser F | 6.9 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 18 (16%) | – |
| 22 Álvaro Barreal M | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 24 (13%) | 2 |
| 28 Christian Oliva M | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 18 (8%) | 5 |
| 17 Gustavo Caballero M | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira M | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 Neymar M | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 4 | 35 (28%) | 3 |
| 18 Igor Vinícius D | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 3 |
| 16 Thaciano M | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 11 Rony F | 6.5 | 32' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 2 |
| 26 João Paulo Ananias D | — | 5' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
Vasco DA Gama or draw
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Vasco DA Gama
WWWDL
Santos
WWWWD
Last 3 meetings
Vasco DA Gama · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
41%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
30%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Vasco DA Gama
No scorer data.
Santos
Gabriel Barbosa
11 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Vasco DA Gama vs Santos
2
Vasco DA Gama Wins
0
Draws
1
Santos Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2026 | Santos | 2 - 1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Santos | 0 - 6 | Vasco DA Gama |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 1 | Santos |
Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Coritiba | W | 5 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Santa Fe | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Gremio | W | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Santa Fe | D | 0 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Fluminense | L | 1 - 0 |
Santos — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Remo | W | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Cruzeiro | W | 2 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Atletico-MG | W | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Internacional | W | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Palmeiras | D | 0 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Santos
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Cuca
77
Brazão
31
Escobar
14
Peres
15
Arão
18
Vinícius
5
Schmidt
28
Oliva
22
Barreal
10
Neymar
17
Caballero
9
Barbosa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Gabriel Brazão | G |
| 18 | Igor Vinícius | D |
| 15 | Willian Arão | D |
| 14 | Luan Peres | D |
| 31 | Gonzalo Escobar | D |
| 28 | Christian Oliva | M |
| 5 | João Schmidt | M |
| 17 | Gustavo Caballero | M |
| 10 | Neymar | M |
| 22 | Álvaro Barreal | M |
| 9 | Gabriel Barbosa | F |
Substitutes
| 48 | Gustavinho | M |
| 11 | Rony | F |
| 32 | Benjamín Rollheiser | F |
| 1 | Diogenes | G |
| 34 | João Paulo | G |
| 26 | João Paulo Ananias | D |
| 42 | João Alencar | D |
| 81 | Samuel Mendes | M |
| 27 | Davizinho | F |
| 30 | Miguelito | M |
| 16 | Thaciano | M |
| 7 | Robinho Júnior | F |
Vasco DA Gama
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1
Jardim
6
Piton
30
Renan
46
Cuesta
96
Henrique
23
Mendes
8
Jair
9
Colidio
3
Tchê
11
Gómez
77
Spinelli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Léo Jardim | G |
| 96 | Paulo Henrique | D |
| 46 | Carlos Cuesta | D |
| 30 | Robert Renan | D |
| 6 | Lucas Piton | D |
| 8 | Jair | M |
| 23 | Thiago Mendes | M |
| 11 | Andrés Gómez | M |
| 3 | Tchê Tchê | M |
| 9 | Facundo Colidio | M |
| 77 | Claudio Spinelli | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | Santiago Sosa | M |
| 18 | Marino Hinestroza | F |
| 7 | David | F |
| 2 | Puma Rodríguez | D |
| 13 | Daniel Fuzato | G |
| 82 | Riquelme Avellar | D |
| 43 | Lucas Freitas | D |
| 17 | Nuno Moreira | M |
| 83 | Ramon Rique | M |
| 88 | Cauan Barros | M |
| 10 | Johan Rojas | F |
| 28 | Adson | F |