Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction
AI call
Palmeiras or draw
27%
31%
42%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Fluminense vs Palmeiras prediction: Sportiko gives Fluminense a 27% chance of winning, Palmeiras 42% and the draw 31%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 00:03.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
10'
Gustavo Gómez
assist: Joaquín Piquerez
▮
34'
Joaquín Piquerez
Yellow Card
Hulk
assist: Agustín Canobbio
42'
⚽
1–1
HT 1–1
⇄
46'
Vitor Roque
⇄ Ramón Sosa
⇄
46'
Joaquín Piquerez
⇄ Arthur Gabriel
Igor Rabello
⇄ Julián Millán
54'
⇄
Guga
Yellow Card
61'
▮
Agustín Canobbio
Yellow Card
63'
▮
Hulk
⇄ Germán Cano
69'
⇄
Ganso
⇄ Luciano Acosta
69'
⇄
▮
73'
Arthur Gabriel
Yellow Card
⇄
73'
Jhon Arias
⇄ Emiliano Martínez
⇄
73'
Andreas Pereira
⇄ Mauricio
Luciano Acosta
Yellow Card
78'
▮
Hércules
⇄ Nonato
79'
⇄
Yeferson Soteldo
⇄ Kevin Serna
79'
⇄
⇄
80'
Ramón Sosa
⇄ Felipe Anderson
⚽
1–2
82'
Mauricio
assist: José Manuel López
Kevin Serna
85'
⚽
2–2
Martinelli
Yellow Card
86'
▮
Germán Cano
assist: Martinelli
90+2'
⚽
3–2
▮
90+5'
Gustavo Gómez
Yellow Card
FT 3–2
Fluminense
Match Stats
Palmeiras
60%
Ball Possession
40%
2.72
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
17
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Goal
7
8
Shots off Goal
5
3
Blocked Shots
3
13
Shots insidebox
9
4
Shots outsidebox
6
5
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
17
4
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
486
Total passes
318
430
Passes accurate
260
88%
Passes %
82%
-0.57
goals_prevented
-0.57
Fluminense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Guga D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (45%) | 7 |
| 7 Hulk F | 7.7 | 69' | 1 | – | 2 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 10 Ganso M | 7.5 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 52 (48%) | 3 |
| 21 Igor Rabello D | 7.5 | 54' | – | – | – | 33 (32%) | 4 |
| 17 Agustín Canobbio M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 33 (28%) | 2 |
| 1 Fábio G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 90 Kevin Serna F | 7.2 | 11' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 35 Hércules M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 41 (39%) | 1 |
| 44 Jemmes D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 8 Martinelli M | 6.6 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 51 (47%) | – |
| 14 Germán Cano F | 6.6 | 21' | 1 | – | 3 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 30 Yeferson Soteldo M | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 31 (29%) | – |
| 16 Nonato M | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 29 Julián Millán D | 6.2 | 36' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
| 6 Renê D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (48%) | 3 |
| 32 Luciano Acosta M | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
Palmeiras
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 José Manuel López F | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 24 (19%) | 2 |
| 15 Gustavo Gómez D | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 30 (22%) | 2 |
| 18 Mauricio M | 7.2 | 17' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 8 Andreas Pereira M | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | – |
| 1 Carlos Miguel G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | – |
| 19 Ramón Sosa F | 6.9 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 32 Emiliano Martínez M | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Marlon Freitas M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (50%) | – |
| 40 Allan M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | 2 |
| 7 Felipe Anderson M | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 56 Arthur Gabriel D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 3 |
| 26 Murilo D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (18%) | 2 |
| 4 Agustín Giay D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 1 |
| 22 Joaquín Piquerez D | 6.2 | 45' | – | 1 | – | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 11 Jhon Arias M | 6.0 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 13 (12%) | 3 |
| 9 Vitor Roque F | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
Palmeiras or draw
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Fluminense
WWLWL
Palmeiras
WWDWL
Last 3 meetings
Fluminense · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
42%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Fluminense
John Kennedy
9 gls
Palmeiras
J. López
10 gls
Maurício
10 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fluminense vs Palmeiras
1
Fluminense Wins
0
Draws
2
Palmeiras Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 | Fluminense |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Fluminense | 1 - 2 | Palmeiras |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Palmeiras | 2 - 1 | Fluminense |
Fluminense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | H Internacional | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Chapecoense-sc | L | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Palmeiras | W | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Santos | L | 1 - 2 |
Palmeiras — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Remo | W | 6 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Vasco DA Gama | W | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Santos | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H RB Bragantino | W | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Fluminense | L | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |
Botafogo
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |
Vitoria
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |
Corinthians
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |
Gremio
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |
Palmeiras
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Abel Ferreira
1
Miguel
22
Piquerez
15
Gómez
26
Murilo
4
Giay
11
Arias
17
Freitas
8
Pereira
40
Allan
9
Roque
42
López
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Miguel | G |
| 4 | Agustín Giay | D |
| 26 | Murilo | D |
| 15 | Gustavo Gómez | D |
| 22 | Joaquín Piquerez | D |
| 40 | Allan | M |
| 8 | Andreas Pereira | M |
| 17 | Marlon Freitas | M |
| 11 | Jhon Arias | M |
| 42 | José Manuel López | F |
| 9 | Vitor Roque | F |
Substitutes
| 56 | Arthur Gabriel | D |
| 19 | Ramón Sosa | F |
| 18 | Mauricio | M |
| 32 | Emiliano Martínez | M |
| 7 | Felipe Anderson | M |
| 21 | Kaique | G |
| 14 | Marcelo Lomba | G |
| 3 | Bruno Fuchs | D |
| 43 | Luis Benedetti | D |
| 50 | Luis Pacheco | M |
| 30 | Lucas Evangelista | M |
| 39 | Heittor | F |
Fluminense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
1
Fábio
6
Renê
44
Jemmes
21
Rabello
23
Guga
8
Martinelli
35
Hércules
30
Soteldo
10
Ganso
17
Canobbio
7
Hulk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fábio | G |
| 23 | Guga | D |
| 21 | Igor Rabello | D |
| 44 | Jemmes | D |
| 6 | Renê | D |
| 35 | Hércules | M |
| 8 | Martinelli | M |
| 17 | Agustín Canobbio | M |
| 10 | Ganso | M |
| 30 | Yeferson Soteldo | M |
| 7 | Hulk | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | Julián Millán | D |
| 32 | Luciano Acosta | M |
| 14 | Germán Cano | F |
| 90 | Kevin Serna | F |
| 16 | Nonato | M |
| 98 | Vitor Eudes | G |
| 3 | Thiago Silva | D |
| 46 | Júlio Fidelis | D |
| 2 | Samuel Xavier | D |
| 11 | Jefferson Savarino | F |
| 94 | Otávio | M |
| 19 | Rodrigo Castillo | F |