Santos vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction
AI call
Too close to call
35%
29%
36%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense prediction: Sportiko gives Santos a 35% chance of winning, Atletico Paranaense 36% and the draw 29%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 23:28.
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- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
14'
Kevin Viveros
Adonis Frías
Yellow Card
20'
▮
⚽
0–2
26'
Kevin Viveros
▮
34'
Kevin Viveros
Yellow Card
HT 0–2
Gustavo Caballero
⇄ Benjamín Rollheiser
46'
⇄
⇄
60'
Leozinho
⇄ Kerwin Calderón Vargas
⇄
60'
Jádson
⇄ Felipinho
⇄
61'
Gilberto
⇄ Dantas
Christian Oliva
⇄ Rony
61'
⇄
⇄
71'
Luiz Gustavo
⇄ Diogo Riquelme
João Schmidt
⇄ Willian Arão
80'
⇄
Gabriel Menino
⇄ Thaciano
80'
⇄
⇄
85'
⇄ Dudu
FT 0–2
Santos
Match Stats
Atletico Paranaense
62%
Ball Possession
38%
1.27
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
21
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots off Goal
1
10
Blocked Shots
3
12
Shots insidebox
5
9
Shots outsidebox
3
8
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
564
Total passes
349
491
Passes accurate
279
87%
Passes %
80%
0.12
goals_prevented
0.12
Santos
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Álvaro Barreal M | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 42 (36%) | 2 |
| 5 João Schmidt M | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 72 (62%) | 3 |
| 25 Gabriel Menino D | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | – | 58 (46%) | 5 |
| 32 Benjamín Rollheiser F | 6.9 | 50' | – | – | – | 39 (35%) | – |
| 77 Gabriel Brazão G | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | – |
| 31 Gonzalo Escobar D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 67 (62%) | 1 |
| 15 Willian Arão M | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 26 João Paulo Ananias D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 68 (60%) | 1 |
| 11 Rony F | 6.6 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 8 Gabriel Bontempo M | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 46 (42%) | 1 |
| 9 Gabriel Barbosa F | 6.5 | 95' | – | – | 4 | 25 (21%) | – |
| 17 Gustavo Caballero F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 3 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 16 Thaciano M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 28 Christian Oliva M | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | – |
| 98 Adonis Frías D | 6.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 67 (61%) | 2 |
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Kevin Viveros F | 8.2 | 95' | 2 | – | 4 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 4 Arthur Dias D | 7.5 | 95' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | – |
| 33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | – |
| 14 Luiz Gustavo M | 7.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 34 (34%) | 2 |
| 29 Gastón Benavídez D | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas F | 6.9 | 35' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | – |
| 12 Gilberto M | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 2 |
| 8 João Cruz F | 6.9 | 85' | – | 1 | 1 | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 1 Mycael G | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 24 (11%) | – |
| 5 Felipinho D | 6.9 | 35' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 25 Dantas D | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 7 Steven Mendoza M | 6.5 | 95' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | – |
| 16 Jádson M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 3 |
| 63 Diogo Riquelme M | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 53 Dudu M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 21 Leozinho F | 6.2 | 60' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (36%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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Santos
LDDWL
Atletico Paranaense
LLDLW
Last 3 meetings
Santos · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Santos will face Atletico Paranaense. Santos has demonstrated a solid home record, but both teams have been inconsistent in their recent performances. Atletico Paranaense, known for their strong defensive structure, will aim to neutralize Santos’s attacking threats. Key players to watch include Santos' forward line, which has been effective at converting chances, and Paranaense's midfield, which can control the tempo. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to secure valuable points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
35%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
36%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Santos
Gabriel Barbosa
15 gls
Neymar
8 gls
Atletico Paranaense
K. Viveros
21 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
0
Santos Wins
1
Draws
2
Atletico Paranaense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 1 | Santos |
| 03 Dec 2023 | Atletico Paranaense | 3 - 0 | Santos |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Santos | 1 - 1 | Atletico Paranaense |
Santos — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | A RB Bragantino | L | 2 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Palmeiras | D | 0 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Bahia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Fluminense | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Oct | A Atletico-MG | L | 2 - 1 |
Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | H Vasco DA Gama | L | 1 - 3 |
| 30 Oct | A Gremio | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Vitoria | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Palmeiras | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Oct | A Chapecoense-sc | W | 1 - 4 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |
Botafogo
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |
Vitoria
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |
Corinthians
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |
Gremio
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |
Santos
Formation: 4-2-2-2
Coach: Cuca
77
Brazão
31
Escobar
26
Ananias
98
Frías
25
Menino
5
Schmidt
28
Oliva
22
Barreal
8
Bontempo
17
Caballero
9
Barbosa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Gabriel Brazão | G |
| 25 | Gabriel Menino | D |
| 98 | Adonis Frías | D |
| 26 | João Paulo Ananias | D |
| 31 | Gonzalo Escobar | D |
| 28 | Christian Oliva | M |
| 5 | João Schmidt | M |
| 8 | Gabriel Bontempo | M |
| 22 | Álvaro Barreal | M |
| 9 | Gabriel Barbosa | F |
| 17 | Gustavo Caballero | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Diogenes | G |
| 42 | João Alencar | D |
| 14 | Luan Peres | D |
| 81 | Samuel Mendes | M |
| 32 | Benjamín Rollheiser | F |
| 30 | Miguelito | M |
| 27 | Davizinho | F |
| 57 | Nadson | F |
| 16 | Thaciano | M |
| 15 | Willian Arão | M |
| 7 | Robinho Júnior | F |
| 11 | Rony | F |
Atletico Paranaense
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Joao Correia
1
Mycael
4
Dias
33
Aguirre
29
Benavídez
7
Mendoza
14
Gustavo
16
Jádson
12
Gilberto
8
Cruz
21
Leozinho
9
Viveros
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mycael | G |
| 29 | Gastón Benavídez | D |
| 33 | Juan Felipe Aguirre | D |
| 4 | Arthur Dias | D |
| 12 | Gilberto | M |
| 16 | Jádson | M |
| 14 | Luiz Gustavo | M |
| 7 | Steven Mendoza | M |
| 21 | Leozinho | F |
| 8 | João Cruz | F |
| 9 | Kevin Viveros | F |
Substitutes
| 42 | Matheus Soares | G |
| 25 | Dantas | D |
| 2 | Gilberto Junior | D |
| 6 | Leonardo Derik | D |
| 3 | Léo | D |
| 10 | Bruno Zapelli | M |
| 53 | Dudu | M |
| 63 | Diogo Riquelme | M |
| 18 | Kerwin Calderón Vargas | F |
| 5 | Felipinho | D |
| 19 | Jorge Rivaldo | F |
| 70 | Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno | F |