Santos vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

09 Aug 2026, 21:30

Post on X

Atletico Paranaense

Away

AI call Too close to call

35%

29%

36%

Home Win · 2.16 Draw · 3.35 Away Win · 3.75

Santos vs Atletico Paranaense prediction: Sportiko gives Santos a 35% chance of winning, Atletico Paranaense 36% and the draw 29%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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76% 73% 73%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Santos

WDWDW

Atletico Paranaense

LWDWW

Last 3 meetings Santos · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Santos will face Atletico Paranaense. Santos has demonstrated a solid home record, but both teams have been inconsistent in their recent performances. Atletico Paranaense, known for their strong defensive structure, will aim to neutralize Santos’s attacking threats. Key players to watch include Santos' forward line, which has been effective at converting chances, and Paranaense's midfield, which can control the tempo. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to secure valuable points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

36%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Paranaense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	10	5	2	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	2	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Santos goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Players in form

Santos

Gabriel Barbosa 7 gls

Neymar 6 gls

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 12 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

68% Away (No Draw) 32% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	10.9%	9.6%	4.9%	1.9%
1	6.3%	13.8%	9.4%	4.8%	1.9%
2	3.9%	6.0%	4.6%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Santos	Draw	Atletico Paranaense
Santos	15.3%	5.6%	3.3%
Draw	7.3%	18.2%	20.2%
Atletico Paranaense	0.8%	2.9%	26.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Santos vs Atletico Paranaense

0 Santos Wins

1 Draws

2 Atletico Paranaense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Feb 2026	Atletico Paranaense	2 - 1	Santos
03 Dec 2023	Atletico Paranaense	3 - 0	Santos
05 Aug 2023	Santos	1 - 1	Atletico Paranaense

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Santos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Remo	W	0 - 1
02 Aug	H Remo	D	0 - 0
29 Jul	H UCV	W	4 - 2
25 Jul	H Chapecoense-sc	D	2 - 2
22 Jul	A UCV	W	1 - 4

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Vitoria	L	4 - 0
04 Aug	H Vitoria	W	2 - 0
30 Jul	A Corinthians	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	H Internacional	W	2 - 0
23 Jul	A Sao Paulo	W	1 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	14	5	2	38	16	+22	47
2	Flamengo	20	11	6	3	37	18	+19	39
3	Atletico Paranaense	21	11	4	6	28	19	+9	37
4	Fluminense	21	9	7	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bahia	21	8	8	5	29	25	+4	32
6	RB Bragantino	20	9	4	7	26	20	+6	31
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
8	Botafogo	20	8	5	7	34	32	+2	29
9	Corinthians	21	7	8	6	22	20	+2	29
10	Atletico-MG	20	8	4	8	25	25	0	28
11	Coritiba	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3	27
12	Sao Paulo	20	7	5	8	25	23	+2	26
13	Vitoria	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9	26
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4	23
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4	22
16	Internacional	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4	22
17	Gremio	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8	21
19	Remo	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10	21
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.