Santos vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 22
FT
Post on X
AI call Too close to call
35%
29%
36%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Santos vs Atletico Paranaense prediction: Sportiko gives Santos a 35% chance of winning, Atletico Paranaense 36% and the draw 29%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 23:28.

Premium picks

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  • Under 3.5 Goals 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'
Kevin Viveros
Adonis Frías Yellow Card
20' ▮
⚽ 0–2 26'
Kevin Viveros
▮ 34'
Kevin Viveros Yellow Card
HT 0–2
Gustavo Caballero ⇄ Benjamín Rollheiser
46' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Leozinho ⇄ Kerwin Calderón Vargas
⇄ 60'
Jádson ⇄ Felipinho
⇄ 61'
Gilberto ⇄ Dantas
Christian Oliva ⇄ Rony
61' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Luiz Gustavo ⇄ Diogo Riquelme
João Schmidt ⇄ Willian Arão
80' ⇄
Gabriel Menino ⇄ Thaciano
80' ⇄
⇄ 85'
⇄ Dudu
FT 0–2
Santos

Match Stats

Atletico Paranaense
62% Ball Possession 38%
1.27 Expected Goals (xG) 1.15
21 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 1
10 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 3
8 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
564 Total passes 349
491 Passes accurate 279
87% Passes % 80%
0.12 goals_prevented 0.12
Santos
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Álvaro Barreal M 7.2 95' – – 3 42 (36%) 2
5 João Schmidt M 7.2 80' – – – 72 (62%) 3
25 Gabriel Menino D 7.0 80' – – – 58 (46%) 5
32 Benjamín Rollheiser F 6.9 50' – – – 39 (35%) –
77 Gabriel Brazão G 6.7 95' – – – 13 (9%) –
31 Gonzalo Escobar D 6.7 95' – – – 67 (62%) 1
15 Willian Arão M 6.7 15' – – – 11 (9%) –
26 João Paulo Ananias D 6.7 95' – – – 68 (60%) 1
11 Rony F 6.6 34' – – 1 13 (10%) –
8 Gabriel Bontempo M 6.6 95' – – – 46 (42%) 1
9 Gabriel Barbosa F 6.5 95' – – 4 25 (21%) –
17 Gustavo Caballero F 6.3 45' – – 3 9 (7%) –
16 Thaciano M 6.3 15' – – – 4 (3%) –
28 Christian Oliva M 6.2 61' – – – 30 (28%) –
98 Adonis Frías D 6.2 95' – – – 67 (61%) 2
Atletico Paranaense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Kevin Viveros F 8.2 95' 2 – 4 5 (2%) –
4 Arthur Dias D 7.5 95' – – – 38 (28%) –
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D 7.3 95' – – – 25 (21%) –
14 Luiz Gustavo M 7.3 71' – – – 34 (34%) 2
29 Gastón Benavídez D 7.3 95' – – – 40 (32%) 1
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas F 6.9 35' – – – 13 (9%) –
12 Gilberto M 6.9 61' – – – 26 (24%) 2
8 João Cruz F 6.9 85' – 1 1 28 (22%) 2
1 Mycael G 6.9 95' – – – 24 (11%) –
5 Felipinho D 6.9 35' – – – 9 (7%) 1
25 Dantas D 6.9 34' – – – 12 (10%) –
7 Steven Mendoza M 6.5 95' – – – 37 (31%) –
16 Jádson M 6.3 60' – – – 32 (26%) 3
63 Diogo Riquelme M 6.3 24' – – – 6 (4%) –
53 Dudu M 6.3 10' – – – 2 (2%) –
21 Leozinho F 6.2 60' – – – 18 (16%) 1
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean
Too close to call
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Santos
WWWWD
Atletico Paranaense
WDLDW
Last 3 meetings Santos · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Santos will face Atletico Paranaense. Santos has demonstrated a solid home record, but both teams have been inconsistent in their recent performances. Atletico Paranaense, known for their strong defensive structure, will aim to neutralize Santos’s attacking threats. Key players to watch include Santos' forward line, which has been effective at converting chances, and Paranaense's midfield, which can control the tempo. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to secure valuable points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Santos
Gabriel Barbosa 11 gls
Atletico Paranaense
K. Viveros 18 gls

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Head to Head: Santos vs Atletico Paranaense

0 Santos Wins
1 Draws
2 Atletico Paranaense Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Feb 2026 Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Santos
03 Dec 2023 Atletico Paranaense 3 - 0 Santos
05 Aug 2023 Santos 1 - 1 Atletico Paranaense
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Santos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Remo W 1 - 2
13 Sep H Cruzeiro W 2 - 1
09 Sep H Atletico-MG W 2 - 0
06 Sep A Internacional W 2 - 3
03 Sep H Palmeiras D 0 - 0

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Bahia W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Coritiba D 3 - 3
06 Sep A Cruzeiro L 3 - 1
30 Aug H Fluminense D 3 - 3
24 Aug A Botafogo W 2 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Santos

Formation: 4-2-2-2 Coach: Cuca
77 Brazão
31 Escobar
26 Ananias
98 Frías
25 Menino
5 Schmidt
28 Oliva
22 Barreal
8 Bontempo
17 Caballero
9 Barbosa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
77 Gabriel Brazão G
25 Gabriel Menino D
98 Adonis Frías D
26 João Paulo Ananias D
31 Gonzalo Escobar D
28 Christian Oliva M
5 João Schmidt M
8 Gabriel Bontempo M
22 Álvaro Barreal M
9 Gabriel Barbosa F
17 Gustavo Caballero F

Substitutes

1 Diogenes G
42 João Alencar D
14 Luan Peres D
81 Samuel Mendes M
32 Benjamín Rollheiser F
30 Miguelito M
27 Davizinho F
57 Nadson F
16 Thaciano M
15 Willian Arão M
7 Robinho Júnior F
11 Rony F

Atletico Paranaense

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joao Correia
1 Mycael
4 Dias
33 Aguirre
29 Benavídez
7 Mendoza
14 Gustavo
16 Jádson
12 Gilberto
8 Cruz
21 Leozinho
9 Viveros

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Mycael G
29 Gastón Benavídez D
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D
4 Arthur Dias D
12 Gilberto M
16 Jádson M
14 Luiz Gustavo M
7 Steven Mendoza M
21 Leozinho F
8 João Cruz F
9 Kevin Viveros F

Substitutes

42 Matheus Soares G
25 Dantas D
2 Gilberto Junior D
6 Leonardo Derik D
3 Léo D
10 Bruno Zapelli M
53 Dudu M
63 Diogo Riquelme M
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas F
5 Felipinho D
19 Jorge Rivaldo F
70 Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno F

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