Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 22
FT
Post on X
AI call Flamengo to win
79%
15%
6%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Flamengo vs Vitoria prediction: Sportiko gives Flamengo a 79% chance of winning, Vitoria 6% and the draw 15%. Last updated 10 Aug 2026, 00:26.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 73%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Erick Pulgar assist: Léo Pereira
14' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 44'
Zé Vitor Yellow Card
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
Matheuzinho ⇄ Marinho
⇄ 46'
Erick ⇄ Diego Tarzia
Giorgian de Arrascaeta ⇄ Lucas Paquetá
65' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Walace ⇄ Tomás Pochettino
Jorginho ⇄ Evertton Araujo
74' ⇄
Pedro ⇄ Gonzalo Plata
74' ⇄
Samuel Lino ⇄ Bruno Henrique
74' ⇄
Gonzalo Plata Yellow Card
79' ▮
Bruno Henrique assist: Jorge Carrascal
80' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 80'
Renê Sousa ⇄ Fabrício Santos
Jorge Carrascal ⇄ Lorran
86' ⇄
⇄ 90+3'
Zé Vitor ⇄ Edenilson
FT 2–0
Flamengo

Match Stats

Vitoria
63% Ball Possession 37%
1.13 Expected Goals (xG) 0.18
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 4
8 Corner Kicks 1
Offsides
13 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
669 Total passes 387
598 Passes accurate 319
89% Passes % 82%
-0.41 goals_prevented -0.41
Flamengo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Jorge Carrascal M 8.7 86' – 1 2 52 (44%) 6
5 Erick Pulgar M 8.0 96' 1 – 1 94 (86%) 1
27 Bruno Henrique F 7.9 22' 1 – 1 6 (5%) –
4 Léo Pereira D 7.6 96' – 1 1 73 (70%) –
10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta M 7.5 65' – – 1 40 (30%) 2
6 Ayrton Lucas D 7.3 96' – – – 54 (49%) –
21 Jorginho M 7.3 74' – – – 104 (96%) 1
3 Léo Ortiz D 7.0 96' – – 1 65 (56%) –
20 Lucas Paquetá M 6.9 31' – – 1 22 (19%) 1
2 Guillermo Varela D 6.9 96' – – – 37 (34%) –
1 Agustín Rossi G 6.9 96' – – – 27 (25%) –
52 Evertton Araujo M 6.9 22' – – 1 16 (15%) 1
19 Gonzalo Plata F 6.7 22' – – – 8 (7%) 1
16 Samuel Lino M 6.6 74' – – 2 55 (50%) –
99 Lorran M 6.5 10' – – – 4 (4%) –
9 Pedro F 6.0 74' – – – 14 (9%) –
Vitoria
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
95 Caique Gonçalves D 7.3 96' – – – 42 (39%) 3
7 Marinho F 7.2 51' – – – 24 (20%) 3
1 Lucas Arcanjo G 7.0 96' – – – 32 (20%) –
6 Emmanuel Martínez M 6.9 96' – – 1 50 (43%) 3
8 Tomás Pochettino M 6.9 27' – – – 3 (2%) 2
2 Emanuel Brítez D 6.9 96' – – – 40 (36%) 1
83 Jamerson D 6.7 96' – – 1 36 (31%) 2
23 Fabrício Santos F 6.5 16' – – – 2 (1%) –
33 Erick M 6.3 45' – – 1 7 (6%) –
91 Renê Sousa F 6.3 80' – – 1 9 (5%) –
10 Matheuzinho M 6.3 45' – – – 10 (8%) –
70 Fabiano Souza D 6.3 96' – – 1 42 (32%) 1
88 Zé Vitor M 6.2 92' – – – 44 (35%) 2
12 Diego Tarzia D 6.2 51' – – – 16 (14%) –
15 Walace M 6.2 69' – – – 44 (38%) –
26 Edenilson M — 4' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence High (79%)

At a glance

Our lean
Flamengo to win
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Flamengo
WWWWD
Vitoria
LLDDL
Last 3 meetings Flamengo · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, Flamengo faces Vitoria on August 9, 2026. Flamengo has a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, driven by their dynamic attacking trio. Vitoria, however, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could be exploited by Flamengo’s potent attack. Both teams will be looking to secure points, but Flamengo's superior goal difference of +15 compared to Vitoria’s -10 suggests they enter this match as the favorites.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

Flamengo
Pedro 20 gls
Samuel Lino 12 gls
Vitoria
Rene 10 gls

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Head to Head: Flamengo vs Vitoria

2 Flamengo Wins
0 Draws
1 Vitoria Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 May 2026 Vitoria 2 - 0 Flamengo
23 Apr 2026 Flamengo 2 - 1 Vitoria
10 Feb 2026 Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Flamengo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Gremio W 3 - 1
29 Oct A Vasco DA Gama W 1 - 4
26 Oct H Atletico-MG W 3 - 2
18 Oct A Bahia W 0 - 3
16 Oct A Estudiantes L.P. D 0 - 0

Vitoria — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Fluminense L 0 - 3
31 Oct A Coritiba L 2 - 0
24 Oct H Atletico Paranaense D 1 - 1
19 Oct A Corinthians D 1 - 1
11 Oct A Sao Paulo L 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Flamengo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Leonardo Jardim
1 Rossi
6 Lucas
4 Pereira
3 Ortiz
2 Varela
21 Jorginho
5 Pulgar
16 Lino
10 Arrascaeta
15 Carrascal
9 Pedro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Agustín Rossi G
2 Guillermo Varela D
3 Léo Ortiz D
4 Léo Pereira D
6 Ayrton Lucas D
5 Erick Pulgar M
21 Jorginho M
15 Jorge Carrascal M
10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta M
16 Samuel Lino M
9 Pedro F

Substitutes

49 Dyogo Alves G
42 Andrew G
77 Johnny Goes D
13 Danilo D
22 Emerson Royal D
19 Gonzalo Plata F
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
99 Lorran M
20 Lucas Paquetá M
52 Evertton Araujo M
64 Wallace Yan F
27 Bruno Henrique F

Vitoria

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ventura Jair
1 Arcanjo
83 Jamerson
2 Brítez
95 Gonçalves
70 Souza
15 Walace
6 Martínez
10 Matheuzinho
88 Vitor
33 Erick
91 Sousa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas Arcanjo G
70 Fabiano Souza D
95 Caique Gonçalves D
2 Emanuel Brítez D
83 Jamerson D
6 Emmanuel Martínez M
15 Walace M
33 Erick M
88 Zé Vitor M
10 Matheuzinho M
91 Renê Sousa F

Substitutes

71 Yuri Sena G
35 Alexandre Fintelman G
26 Edenilson M
13 Ramon D
98 Mateusinho D
8 Tomás Pochettino M
12 Diego Tarzia D
11 Osvaldo F
79 Renato Kayzer F
41 Wendell dos Santos Sacramento M
23 Fabrício Santos F
7 Marinho F

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