Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

09 Aug 2026, 22:30

Post on X

Vitoria

Away

AI call Flamengo to win

79%

15%

Home Win · 1.25 Draw · 6.40 Away Win · 15.00

Flamengo vs Vitoria prediction: Sportiko gives Flamengo a 79% chance of winning, Vitoria 6% and the draw 15%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.9%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Flamengo

DDWWW

Vitoria

WLLLD

Last 3 meetings Flamengo · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, Flamengo faces Vitoria on August 9, 2026. Flamengo has a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, driven by their dynamic attacking trio. Vitoria, however, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could be exploited by Flamengo’s potent attack. Both teams will be looking to secure points, but Flamengo's superior goal difference of +15 compared to Vitoria’s -10 suggests they enter this match as the favorites.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitoria goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	16	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	10	3
5	5	1

↑ Flamengo goals · most likely 2–0 (19.9%)

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Players in form

Flamengo

Pedro 12 gls

Samuel Lino 5 gls

Vitoria

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

61% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

84% Home Scores More 14% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	15.6%	5.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.9%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.4%	4.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.1%	3.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Flamengo	Draw	Vitoria
Flamengo	62.3%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	21.5%	9.8%	1.4%
Vitoria	1.1%	1.1%	1.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

88%

0.5

12%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Flamengo vs Vitoria

2 Flamengo Wins

0 Draws

1 Vitoria Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 May 2026	Vitoria	2 - 0	Flamengo
23 Apr 2026	Flamengo	2 - 1	Vitoria
10 Feb 2026	Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo

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Flamengo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
29 Jul	A Internacional	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	H Sao Paulo	D	1 - 1
23 Jul	A Chapecoense-sc	W	0 - 4
17 Jul	H Olimpia	W	4 - 2
08 Jul	H Lausanne	W	2 - 0

Vitoria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Atletico Paranaense	W	4 - 0
04 Aug	A Atletico Paranaense	L	2 - 0
30 Jul	H Palmeiras	L	0 - 4
26 Jul	A Remo	L	2 - 0
23 Jul	A Botafogo	D	0 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	14	5	2	38	16	+22	47
2	Flamengo	20	11	6	3	37	18	+19	39
3	Atletico Paranaense	21	11	4	6	28	19	+9	37
4	Fluminense	21	9	7	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bahia	21	8	8	5	29	25	+4	32
6	RB Bragantino	20	9	4	7	26	20	+6	31
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
8	Botafogo	20	8	5	7	34	32	+2	29
9	Corinthians	21	7	8	6	22	20	+2	29
10	Atletico-MG	20	8	4	8	25	25	0	28
11	Coritiba	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3	27
12	Sao Paulo	20	7	5	8	25	23	+2	26
13	Vitoria	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9	26
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4	23
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4	22
16	Internacional	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4	22
17	Gremio	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8	21
19	Remo	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10	21
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.