Cruzeiro vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Post on X

Mirassol

Away

AI call Difficult Cruzeiro win or draw

63%

24%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction: Sportiko gives Cruzeiro a 63% chance of winning, Mirassol 13% and the draw 24%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 16:04.

Timeline

João Marcelo assist: Bruno Rodrigues

12' ⚽ 1–0

Gerson Yellow Card

26' ▮

⚽ 1–1 27'

Reinaldo Penalty

HT 1–1

Kaique Kenji Yellow Card

48' ▮

⇄ 59'

Denilson ⇄ Shaylon

Keny Arroyo ⇄ João Costa

59' ⇄

Zé Lucas ⇄ Lucas Silva

59' ⇄

Kaique Kenji ⇄ Wesley

59' ⇄

Matheus Pereira ⇄ Kaio Jorge

67' ⇄

▮ 68'

Elias Yellow Card

⇄ 69'

Eduardo ⇄ Edson Carioca

⇄ 69'

Bruno Santos ⇄ André Luis

Kaio Jorge assist: Fagner

76' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 80'

Wallisson Luiz ⇄ Alesson

⇄ 80'

Elias ⇄ Igor Formiga

Wesley assist: Lucas Villalba

84' ⚽ 3–1

Wesley Yellow Card

85' ▮

Lucas Villalba ⇄ Gabriel Rojas

90' ⇄

▮ 90+4'

Shaylon Yellow Card

FT 3–1

Cruzeiro

Match Stats

Mirassol

50% Ball Possession 50%

0.68 Expected Goals (xG) 1.31

11 Total Shots 13

3 Shots on Goal 4

6 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 5

8 Shots insidebox 8

3 Shots outsidebox 5

4 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 18

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

374 Total passes 379

313 Passes accurate 321

84% Passes % 85%

-1.37 goals_prevented -1.37

Cruzeiro

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Wesley F	7.7	37'	1	–	2	9 (7%)	1
19 Kaio Jorge F	7.6	29'	1	–	1	5 (3%)	–
43 João Marcelo D	7.6	96'	1	–	1	49 (47%)	2
10 Matheus Pereira M	7.3	67'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	1
23 Fagner D	7.2	96'	–	1	2	25 (18%)	1
34 Jonathan Jesus D	7.2	96'	–	–	–	49 (47%)	4
16 Lucas Silva M	7.0	37'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	2
9 Bruno Rodrigues F	6.9	96'	–	1	1	14 (8%)	–
29 Lucas Romero M	6.9	96'	–	–	1	54 (46%)	2
99 Keny Arroyo M	6.9	59'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	1
25 Lucas Villalba D	6.7	90'	–	1	–	34 (30%)	2
5 Zé Lucas M	6.7	59'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	–
70 Kaique Kenji M	6.6	59'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	1
81 Otávio Costa G	6.5	96'	–	–	–	30 (20%)	–
67 João Costa F	6.3	37'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	1
27 Gabriel Rojas D	—	6'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Mirassol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Fernandinho F	7.3	96'	–	–	1	22 (18%)	4
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M	6.9	96'	–	–	1	44 (39%)	1
95 Edson Carioca F	6.7	27'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
80 Wallisson Luiz M	6.6	80'	–	–	1	33 (25%)	1
33 Eduardo M	6.6	69'	–	–	1	23 (20%)	–
34 João Victor D	6.5	96'	–	–	1	45 (41%)	1
8 Denilson M	6.5	59'	–	–	–	33 (31%)	–
7 Shaylon M	6.5	37'	–	–	1	11 (10%)	1
9 André Luis F	6.5	27'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
6 Reinaldo D	6.3	96'	1	–	1	29 (22%)	–
77 Alesson F	6.3	16'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
32 Igor Formiga D	6.2	16'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	2
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D	6.2	96'	–	–	–	42 (37%)	1
18 Elias D	6.2	80'	–	–	–	21 (15%)	2
30 Bruno Santos F	6.0	69'	–	–	1	9 (9%)	–
90 Thomazella G	5.9	96'	–	–	–	32 (26%)	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Cruzeiro win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 21.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Cruzeiro

WLWLL

Mirassol

WDWLD

Last 3 meetings Cruzeiro · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the Serie A clash between Cruzeiro and Mirassol, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their strengths. Cruzeiro, known for their solid defensive structure, has been effective at limiting opponent chances, allowing only 1.2 goals per game this season. Mirassol, on the other hand, has shown an attacking flair, averaging 1.5 goals per match, but their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per game. This match will likely be decided by which team's style can impose itself, with Cruzeiro aiming to exploit Mirassol's defensive weaknesses while maintaining their own solidity at the back.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mirassol goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	3	1
1	21	8	1
2	20	6	1
3	12	4	1
4	5	2
5	2	1

↑ Cruzeiro goals · most likely 1–0 (21.4%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Cruzeiro

Matheus Pereira 9 gls

Mirassol

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	21.4%	7.8%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.8%	6.1%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	11.7%	3.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.2%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruzeiro	Draw	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	48.1%	1.6%	0.1%
Draw	24.3%	17.3%	2.3%
Mirassol	1.3%	2.0%	3.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

73%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

1 Cruzeiro Wins

2 Draws

0 Mirassol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Feb 2026	Mirassol	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
18 Aug 2025	Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
29 Mar 2025	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol

Cruzeiro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitoria	W	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Santos	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Atletico Paranaense	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	A Atletico-MG	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Vasco DA Gama	L	3 - 1

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botafogo	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Vitoria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Coritiba	W	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Palmeiras	D	1 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Cruzeiro

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jorge Artur

81 Costa

25 Villalba

34 Jesus

43 Marcelo

23 Fagner

5 Lucas

29 Romero

70 Kenji

10 Pereira

99 Arroyo

9 Rodrigues

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
81	Otávio Costa	G
23	Fagner	D
43	João Marcelo	D
34	Jonathan Jesus	D
25	Lucas Villalba	D
29	Lucas Romero	M
5	Zé Lucas	M
99	Keny Arroyo	M
10	Matheus Pereira	M
70	Kaique Kenji	M
9	Bruno Rodrigues	F

Substitutes

20	Wesley	F
67	João Costa	F
16	Lucas Silva	M
51	Vitor Lamounier Rego	G
27	Gabriel Rojas	D
15	Fabrício Bruno	D
2	Kauã Moraes	D
12	William Furtado	D
8	Gerson	M
38	Felipe Morais	M
19	Kaio Jorge	F
97	Luciano Rodríguez	F

Mirassol

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: Rafael Guanaes

90 Thomazella

6 Reinaldo

44 Knesowitsch

34 Victor

18 Elias

8 Denilson

55 Cazonatti

80 Luiz

33 Eduardo

17 Fernandinho

30 Santos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
90	Thomazella	G
18	Elias	D
34	João Victor	D
44	Gabriel Knesowitsch	D
6	Reinaldo	D
80	Wallisson Luiz	M
55	Gustavo Cazonatti	M
8	Denilson	M
33	Eduardo	M
30	Bruno Santos	F
17	Fernandinho	F

Substitutes

7	Shaylon	M
23	Alex Muralha	G
32	Igor Formiga	D
12	Victor Luis	D
3	Willian Machado	D
2	Lucas Oliveira	D
10	Chico	M
25	Neto Moura	M
19	Gustavo Silva	M
77	Alesson	F
95	Edson Carioca	F
9	André Luis	F