Cruzeiro vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

09 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Mirassol

Away

AI call Cruzeiro to win

63%

24%

13%

Home Win · 1.71 Draw · 3.80 Away Win · 5.75

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction: Sportiko gives Cruzeiro a 63% chance of winning, Mirassol 13% and the draw 24%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 21.2%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Cruzeiro

WDWLW

Mirassol

LDWDW

Last 3 meetings Cruzeiro · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the Serie A clash between Cruzeiro and Mirassol, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their strengths. Cruzeiro, known for their solid defensive structure, has been effective at limiting opponent chances, allowing only 1.2 goals per game this season. Mirassol, on the other hand, has shown an attacking flair, averaging 1.5 goals per match, but their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per game. This match will likely be decided by which team's style can impose itself, with Cruzeiro aiming to exploit Mirassol's defensive weaknesses while maintaining their own solidity at the back.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mirassol goals →

	0	1	2
0	13	3	1
1	21	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	12	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Cruzeiro goals · most likely 1–0 (21.2%)

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Players in form

Cruzeiro

Christian 5 gls

Matheus Pereira 5 gls

Mirassol

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.0%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	21.2%	7.5%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.1%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	12.2%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.6%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruzeiro	Draw	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	49.3%	1.6%	0.1%
Draw	24.4%	16.6%	2.2%
Mirassol	1.3%	1.9%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

1 Cruzeiro Wins

2 Draws

0 Mirassol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Feb 2026	Mirassol	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
18 Aug 2025	Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
29 Mar 2025	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol

Cruzeiro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Chapecoense-sc	W	2 - 0
02 Aug	A Chapecoense-sc	D	0 - 0
31 Jul	A Coritiba	W	0 - 1
26 Jul	H Botafogo	L	0 - 1
23 Jul	A Internacional	W	1 - 2

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Gremio	L	1 - 0
02 Aug	H Gremio	D	1 - 1
29 Jul	H Remo	W	2 - 1
25 Jul	A Vasco DA Gama	D	1 - 1
17 Jul	H Gremio	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	14	5	2	38	16	+22	47
2	Flamengo	20	11	6	3	37	18	+19	39
3	Atletico Paranaense	21	11	4	6	28	19	+9	37
4	Fluminense	21	9	7	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bahia	21	8	8	5	29	25	+4	32
6	RB Bragantino	20	9	4	7	26	20	+6	31
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
8	Botafogo	20	8	5	7	34	32	+2	29
9	Corinthians	21	7	8	6	22	20	+2	29
10	Atletico-MG	20	8	4	8	25	25	0	28
11	Coritiba	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3	27
12	Sao Paulo	20	7	5	8	25	23	+2	26
13	Vitoria	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9	26
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4	23
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4	22
16	Internacional	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4	22
17	Gremio	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8	21
19	Remo	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10	21
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.