Vitoria vs Palmeiras Prediction
AI call
Difficult Palmeiras win or draw
18%
26%
56%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Vitoria vs Palmeiras prediction: Sportiko gives Vitoria a 18% chance of winning, Palmeiras 56% and the draw 26%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 02:29.
Premium picks
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- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline
▮
14'
Marlon Freitas
Yellow Card
▮
27'
Mauricio
Yellow Card
Emmanuel Martínez
Yellow Card
32'
▮
Cacá
Red Card
37'
▮
Luan Cândido
Red Card
40'
▮
Emmanuel Martínez
⇄ Zé Vitor
41'
⇄
⚽
0–1
45+1'
Mauricio
assist: Jhon Arias
⚽
0–2
45+6'
Fabiano Souza
Own Goal
HT 0–2
Renê Sousa
⇄ Tomás Pochettino
46'
⇄
⇄
46'
Gustavo Gómez
⇄ José Manuel López
⇄
46'
Marlon Freitas
⇄ Emiliano Martínez
⇄
46'
Mauricio
⇄ Khellven
Matheuzinho
⇄ Diego Tarzia
46'
⇄
Fabiano Souza
Yellow Card
56'
▮
⇄
65'
Alexander Barboza
⇄ Lucas Evangelista
Emanuel Brítez
Yellow Card
66'
▮
Fabiano Souza
⇄ Jamerson
67'
⇄
⚽
0–3
70'
Jhon Arias
assist: Joaquín Piquerez
⇄
74'
Jhon Arias
⇄ Vitor Roque
Gabriel Baralhas
⇄ Walace
74'
⇄
⚽
0–4
84'
Ramón Sosa
FT 0–4
Vitoria
Match Stats
Palmeiras
32%
Ball Possession
68%
0.49
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
10
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
8
3
Blocked Shots
3
7
Shots insidebox
7
3
Shots outsidebox
9
6
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
225
Total passes
499
159
Passes accurate
453
71%
Passes %
91%
0.22
goals_prevented
0.22
Vitoria
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Zé Vitor M | 7.2 | 49' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | 1 |
| 44 Gabriel Baralhas M | 7.0 | 74' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 2 |
| 12 Diego Tarzia D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 4 |
| 95 Caique Gonçalves M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 83 Jamerson D | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | 3 |
| 91 Renê Sousa F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 8 Tomás Pochettino M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 6 Emmanuel Martínez M | 6.2 | 41' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 15 Walace D | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 10 Matheuzinho M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 70 Fabiano Souza D | 6.0 | 67' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | 1 |
| 25 Cacá D | 5.9 | 37' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 13 Ramon D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 2 Emanuel Brítez D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (9%) | 1 |
| 1 Lucas Arcanjo G | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (15%) | – |
| 36 Luan Cândido D | 5.3 | 40' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
Palmeiras
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jhon Arias F | 8.3 | 74' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 37 (37%) | 1 |
| 19 Ramón Sosa F | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 26 Murilo D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (60%) | 1 |
| 18 Mauricio F | 7.2 | 45' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (20%) | – |
| 8 Andreas Pereira M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 50 (45%) | 3 |
| 2 Alexander Barboza D | 7.0 | 65' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 15 Gustavo Gómez D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 1 Carlos Miguel G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 12 Khellven D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | – |
| 17 Marlon Freitas M | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | – |
| 30 Lucas Evangelista M | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | – |
| 40 Allan M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (24%) | 1 |
| 32 Emiliano Martínez M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | – |
| 22 Joaquín Piquerez M | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 55 (51%) | – |
| 9 Vitor Roque F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 42 José Manuel López F | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Palmeiras win or draw
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Vitoria
WLLLD
Palmeiras
LWWLW
Last 3 meetings
Vitoria · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
Vitoria faces Palmeiras in a Serie A clash on July 30, 2026. Palmeiras currently boasts a strong squad depth and has performed consistently well, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, with an impressive away record. Vitoria, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. This match will be pivotal for Vitoria to secure points to climb the standings, while Palmeiras will aim to maintain pressure on the top teams. Both teams will need to exploit their strengths, with Palmeiras focusing on their attacking prowess and Vitoria seeking to tighten their defense.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
18%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
56%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Vitoria
No scorer data.
Palmeiras
J. López
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Vitoria vs Palmeiras
0
Vitoria Wins
2
Draws
1
Palmeiras Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb 2026 | Palmeiras | 5 - 1 | Vitoria |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Palmeiras | 0 - 0 | Vitoria |
| 03 Aug 2025 | Vitoria | 2 - 2 | Palmeiras |
Vitoria — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Atletico Paranaense | W | 4 - 0 |
| 04 Aug | A Atletico Paranaense | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | H Palmeiras | L | 0 - 4 |
| 26 Jul | A Remo | L | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | A Botafogo | D | 0 - 0 |
Palmeiras — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Fortaleza EC | L | 3 - 2 |
| 02 Aug | H Fortaleza EC | W | 3 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 4 |
| 26 Jul | H Atletico-MG | L | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Jul | A Coritiba | W | 1 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Palmeiras
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Ferreira Abel
1
Miguel
2
Barboza
15
Gómez
26
Murilo
22
Piquerez
17
Freitas
8
Pereira
40
Allan
11
Arias
19
Sosa
18
Mauricio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Miguel | G |
| 26 | Murilo | D |
| 15 | Gustavo Gómez | D |
| 2 | Alexander Barboza | D |
| 40 | Allan | M |
| 8 | Andreas Pereira | M |
| 17 | Marlon Freitas | M |
| 22 | Joaquín Piquerez | M |
| 11 | Jhon Arias | F |
| 18 | Mauricio | F |
| 19 | Ramón Sosa | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | Marcelo Lomba | G |
| 21 | Kaique | G |
| 12 | Khellven | D |
| 43 | Luis Benedetti | D |
| 4 | Agustín Giay | D |
| 56 | Arthur Gabriel | D |
| 7 | Felipe Anderson | M |
| 30 | Lucas Evangelista | M |
| 32 | Emiliano Martínez | M |
| 42 | José Manuel López | F |
| 9 | Vitor Roque | F |
| 37 | Riquelme Fillipi | F |
Vitoria
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Ventura Jair
1
Arcanjo
13
Ramon
36
Cândido
25
Cacá
2
Brítez
70
Souza
6
Martínez
95
Gonçalves
44
Baralhas
10
Matheuzinho
91
Sousa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Arcanjo | G |
| 70 | Fabiano Souza | D |
| 2 | Emanuel Brítez | D |
| 25 | Cacá | D |
| 36 | Luan Cândido | D |
| 13 | Ramon | D |
| 10 | Matheuzinho | M |
| 44 | Gabriel Baralhas | M |
| 95 | Caique Gonçalves | M |
| 6 | Emmanuel Martínez | M |
| 91 | Renê Sousa | F |
Substitutes
| 71 | Yuri Sena | G |
| 83 | Jamerson | D |
| 98 | Mateusinho | D |
| 33 | Erick | F |
| 12 | Diego Tarzia | D |
| 88 | Zé Vitor | M |
| 15 | Walace | D |
| 8 | Tomás Pochettino | M |
| 11 | Osvaldo | F |
| 23 | Fabrício Santos | F |
| 79 | Renato Kayzer | F |
| 7 | Marinho | F |