Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 21
FT
Post on X
AI call Corinthians or draw
43%
31%
25%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense prediction: Sportiko gives Corinthians a 43% chance of winning, Atletico Paranaense 25% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 00:32.

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Timeline

44'
Gastón Benavídez Yellow Card
45+1'
Jádson Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Zakaria Labyad ⇄ Kaio César
46'
Dieguinho ⇄ Yuri Alberto
46'
46'
Claudinho
65'
Leozinho ⇄ Dudu
65'
Steven Mendoza
Matheus Pereira ⇄ Breno Bidon
77'
Yuri Alberto ⇄ Rodrigo Garro
78'
82'
Kevin Viveros ⇄ Jorge Rivaldo
André Carrillo ⇄ André Luiz
83'
André Ramalho Yellow Card
86'
Matheuzinho Yellow Card
87'
Rodrigo Garro Yellow Card
90+2'
90+3'
Carlos Terán ⇄ Juan Felipe Aguirre
90+5'
Santos Yellow Card
FT 0–0
Corinthians

Match Stats

Atletico Paranaense
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.35 Expected Goals (xG) 0.66
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 0
4 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 1
6 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
409 Total passes 400
355 Passes accurate 329
87% Passes % 82%
1.41 goals_prevented 1.41
Corinthians
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Raniele D 7.6 96' 58 (52%) 3
2 Matheuzinho D 7.5 96' 1 36 (26%) 3
5 André Ramalho D 7.5 96' 1 54 (52%) 1
1 Hugo Souza G 6.9 96' 22 (19%)
29 Allan M 6.9 96' 60 (56%)
19 André Carrillo M 6.9 83' 39 (37%)
37 Kaio César F 6.7 51' 1 11 (9%)
9 Yuri Alberto F 6.7 33' 2 7 (4%)
23 Matheus Pereira M 6.7 77' 46 (36%) 1
77 Jesse Lingard F 6.6 96' 1 27 (24%)
7 Breno Bidon M 6.5 19' 2 (1%)
61 Dieguinho M 6.5 45' 7 (7%)
8 Rodrigo Garro M 6.5 18' 3 (2%) 2
49 André Luiz M 6.3 13' 2 (2%)
52 Zakaria Labyad M 6.3 45' 10 (8%) 2
20 Pedro Milans D 6.3 96' 25 (20%) 2
Atletico Paranaense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Santos G 8.2 96' 12 (9%)
16 Jádson M 7.0 96' 32 (32%) 2
22 Carlos Terán D 7.0 93' 67 (56%) 2
27 Juan Portilla M 6.9 96' 42 (35%) 2
29 Gastón Benavídez D 6.9 96' 61 (54%)
4 Arthur Dias D 6.7 96' 69 (57%)
19 Jorge Rivaldo F 6.7 14' 1
12 Gilberto M 6.6 96' 1 34 (26%)
8 João Cruz M 6.6 31' 1 8 (5%)
6 Leonardo Derik D 6.6 51' 11 (6%) 2
26 Claudinho M 6.6 45' 20 (17%) 2
53 Dudu M 6.6 31' 1 3 (3%) 1
21 Leozinho F 6.3 65' 17 (12%) 1
7 Steven Mendoza F 6.2 65' 18 (14%)
9 Kevin Viveros F 5.9 82' 1 5 (3%)
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D 3'
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean
Corinthians or draw
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Corinthians
WLDDW
Atletico Paranaense
LWDWW
Last 3 meetings Corinthians · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Corinthians will face Atletico Paranaense, both teams striving for crucial points. Corinthians' recent form shows a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 matches, while their attacking unit has been inconsistent, averaging just 1.2 goals per game. On the other hand, Atletico Paranaense has demonstrated offensive prowess, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game, but they have struggled defensively, allowing 1.4 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on whether Corinthians can capitalize on their defensive solidity or if Atletico can break through with their attacking flair. Expect a tactical battle where set pieces and midfield control might play pivotal roles.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Corinthians

No scorer data.

Atletico Paranaense
K. Viveros 12 gls

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Head to Head: Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense

2 Corinthians Wins
1 Draws
0 Atletico Paranaense Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Feb 2026 Atletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Corinthians
17 Oct 2024 Corinthians 5 - 2 Atletico Paranaense
23 Jun 2024 Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 Corinthians
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Corinthians — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug H Internacional W 2 - 1
02 Aug A Internacional L 2 - 0
30 Jul H Atletico Paranaense D 0 - 0
26 Jul A Bahia D 1 - 1
23 Jul H Remo W 3 - 0

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug A Vitoria L 4 - 0
04 Aug H Vitoria W 2 - 0
30 Jul A Corinthians D 0 - 0
25 Jul H Internacional W 2 - 0
23 Jul A Sao Paulo W 1 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras
21 14 5 2 +22 47
2
Flamengo
20 11 6 3 +19 39
3
Atletico Paranaense
21 11 4 6 +9 37
4
Fluminense
21 9 7 5 +5 34
5
Bahia
21 8 8 5 +4 32
6
RB Bragantino
20 9 4 7 +6 31
7
Cruzeiro
21 8 6 7 -3 30
8
Botafogo
20 8 5 7 +2 29
9
Corinthians
21 7 8 6 +2 29
10
Atletico-MG
20 8 4 8 0 28
11
Coritiba
21 7 6 8 -3 27
12
Sao Paulo
20 7 5 8 +2 26
13
Vitoria
21 7 5 9 -9 26
14
Mirassol
20 6 5 9 -4 23
15
Santos
20 5 7 8 -4 22
16
Internacional
21 5 7 9 -4 22
17
Gremio
20 5 7 8 -4 22
18
Vasco DA Gama
20 5 6 9 -8 21
19
Remo
21 5 6 10 -10 21
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
20 1 7 12 -22 10

Corinthians

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Diniz
1 Souza
2 Matheuzinho
14 Raniele
5 Ramalho
20 Milans
29 Allan
19 Carrillo
52 Labyad
23 Pereira
61 Dieguinho
77 Lingard

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Hugo Souza G
20 Pedro Milans D
5 André Ramalho D
14 Raniele D
2 Matheuzinho D
19 André Carrillo M
29 Allan M
61 Dieguinho M
23 Matheus Pereira M
52 Zakaria Labyad M
77 Jesse Lingard F

Substitutes

51 Kauê G
3 Gabriel Paulista D
13 Gustavo Henrique D
55 Iago Machado D
4 João Pedro Tchoca D
49 André Luiz M
7 Breno Bidon M
8 Rodrigo Garro M
35 Charles M
37 Kaio César F
9 Yuri Alberto F
56 Gui Negão F

Atletico Paranaense

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joao Correia
23 Santos
4 Dias
22 Terán
29 Benavídez
26 Claudinho
27 Portilla
16 Jádson
12 Gilberto
7 Mendoza
21 Leozinho
9 Viveros

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Santos G
29 Gastón Benavídez D
22 Carlos Terán D
4 Arthur Dias D
12 Gilberto M
16 Jádson M
27 Juan Portilla M
26 Claudinho M
21 Leozinho F
7 Steven Mendoza F
9 Kevin Viveros F

Substitutes

42 Matheus Soares G
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D
6 Leonardo Derik D
3 Léo D
2 Gilberto Junior D
53 Dudu M
11 Isaac F
10 Bruno Zapelli M
5 Felipinho D
8 João Cruz M
19 Jorge Rivaldo F
70 Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno F

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