Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol Prediction
AI call
Vasco DA Gama or draw
37%
29%
33%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol prediction: Sportiko gives Vasco DA Gama a 37% chance of winning, Mirassol 33% and the draw 29%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 01:28.
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Premium- Away to Score 74%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
30'
Igor Formiga
assist: Reinaldo
⇄
36'
José Aldo
⇄ Lucas Oliveira
HT 0–1
⇄
46'
Gustavo Silva
Tchê Tchê
⇄ Nuno Moreira
59'
⇄
Adson
⇄ David
60'
⇄
▮
66'
Walter
Yellow Card
⇄
69'
Edson Carioca
⇄ Fernandinho
⇄
69'
Japa
⇄ Eduardo
Ramon Rique
⇄ Jair
70'
⇄
Cuiabano
⇄ Lucas Piton
71'
⇄
Cauan Barros
⇄ Johan Rojas
74'
⇄
Andrés Gómez
80'
⚽
1–1
⇄
82'
Denilson
⇄ Chico
Nuno Moreira
Yellow Card
83'
▮
FT 1–1
Vasco DA Gama
Match Stats
Mirassol
58%
Ball Possession
42%
1.83
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
20
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots off Goal
4
10
Blocked Shots
1
16
Shots insidebox
5
4
Shots outsidebox
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
464
Total passes
349
372
Passes accurate
280
80%
Passes %
80%
1.12
goals_prevented
1.12
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Andrés Gómez M | 8.3 | 94' | 1 | – | 4 | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 46 Carlos Cuesta D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 54 (49%) | 1 |
| 30 Robert Renan D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 47 (37%) | 1 |
| 28 Adson M | 7.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 8 Jair M | 7.0 | 24' | – | – | – | 26 (25%) | 2 |
| 2 Puma Rodríguez D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 52 (43%) | 4 |
| 3 Tchê Tchê M | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 6 Lucas Piton D | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 10 Johan Rojas F | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 23 (22%) | – |
| 17 Nuno Moreira M | 6.6 | 34' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | – |
| 7 David F | 6.6 | 34' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 77 Claudio Spinelli F | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 11 (6%) | 1 |
| 1 Léo Jardim G | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 88 Cauan Barros M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | 2 |
| 66 Cuiabano D | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | 1 |
| 83 Ramon Rique M | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 27 (15%) | 1 |
Mirassol
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Walter G | 8.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | – |
| 34 João Victor D | 8.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | 1 |
| 32 Igor Formiga D | 7.9 | 94' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (23%) | 3 |
| 5 Japa M | 7.3 | 69' | – | – | 3 | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 6 Reinaldo D | 7.2 | 94' | – | 1 | – | 34 (24%) | 1 |
| 95 Edson Carioca F | 7.0 | 69' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 1 |
| 21 José Aldo M | 6.7 | 36' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | – |
| 33 Eduardo M | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 8 Denilson M | 6.6 | 82' | – | – | – | 45 (38%) | 1 |
| 2 Lucas Oliveira D | 6.6 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 Fernandinho F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 2 |
| 96 Carlos Eduardo F | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 10 Chico M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 19 Gustavo Silva F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 30 Bruno Santos F | 6.0 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 18 (12%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Our lean
Vasco DA Gama or draw
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Vasco DA Gama
WDWDL
Mirassol
LDWDW
Last 3 meetings
Vasco DA Gama · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
Vasco da Gama faces Mirassol in an important Serie A clash. Vasco has shown a strong home record this season, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Mirassol has been solid defensively, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Both teams will aim to capitalize on their respective strengths; Vasco's attacking prowess against Mirassol's disciplined defense. The match promises to be competitive, with key players on both sides potentially influencing the outcome.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
33%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol
0
Vasco DA Gama Wins
0
Draws
3
Mirassol Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | Mirassol | 2 - 1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| 02 Dec 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 0 - 2 | Mirassol |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Mirassol | 3 - 2 | Vasco DA Gama |
Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Fluminense | W | 1 - 3 |
| 01 Aug | H Fluminense | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Jul | H Independiente Medellin | W | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Jul | H Mirassol | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Jul | A Vitoria | L | 1 - 0 |
Mirassol — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | A Gremio | L | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Aug | H Gremio | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Jul | H Remo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 25 Jul | A Vasco DA Gama | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Jul | H Gremio | W | 2 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Vasco DA Gama
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1
Jardim
66
Cuiabano
30
Renan
46
Cuesta
2
Rodríguez
3
Tchê
88
Barros
11
Gómez
83
Rique
28
Adson
77
Spinelli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Léo Jardim | G |
| 2 | Puma Rodríguez | D |
| 46 | Carlos Cuesta | D |
| 30 | Robert Renan | D |
| 66 | Cuiabano | D |
| 88 | Cauan Barros | M |
| 3 | Tchê Tchê | M |
| 28 | Adson | M |
| 83 | Ramon Rique | M |
| 11 | Andrés Gómez | M |
| 77 | Claudio Spinelli | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Daniel Fuzato | G |
| 96 | Paulo Henrique | D |
| 43 | Lucas Freitas | D |
| 6 | Lucas Piton | D |
| 29 | Paulinho | D |
| 17 | Nuno Moreira | M |
| 60 | João Vitor Silva | F |
| 18 | Marino Hinestroza | F |
| 98 | JP | M |
| 8 | Jair | M |
| 10 | Johan Rojas | F |
| 7 | David | F |
Mirassol
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Guanaes Rafael
22
Walter
6
Reinaldo
44
Knesowitsch
34
Victor
32
Formiga
5
Japa
21
Aldo
8
Denilson
95
Carioca
30
Santos
19
Silva
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Walter | G |
| 32 | Igor Formiga | D |
| 34 | João Victor | D |
| 44 | Gabriel Knesowitsch | D |
| 6 | Reinaldo | D |
| 8 | Denilson | M |
| 21 | José Aldo | M |
| 5 | Japa | M |
| 19 | Gustavo Silva | F |
| 30 | Bruno Santos | F |
| 95 | Edson Carioca | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | Lucas Oliveira | D |
| 90 | Thomazella | G |
| 3 | Willian Machado | D |
| 12 | Victor Luis | D |
| 18 | Elias | D |
| 7 | Shaylon | M |
| 33 | Eduardo | M |
| 10 | Chico | M |
| 27 | Antonio Galeano | F |
| 17 | Fernandinho | F |
| 9 | André Luis | F |
| 96 | Carlos Eduardo | F |