Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG Prediction
AI call
Palmeiras to win
66%
22%
12%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG prediction: Sportiko gives Palmeiras a 66% chance of winning, Atletico-MG 12% and the draw 22%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 00:27.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
- Over 1.5 Goals 71%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline
Joaquín Piquerez
Penalty cancelled
16'
🖵
▮
31'
Ángelo Preciado
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Maycon
⇄ Mamady Cissé
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
54'
Victor Hugo
Agustín Giay
⇄ Felipe Anderson
59'
⇄
Emiliano Martínez
⇄ Vitor Roque
59'
⇄
Paulinho
65'
⇄
⇄
71'
Bernard
⇄ Alan Minda
⇄
71'
Victor Hugo
⇄ Igor Gomes
Felipe Anderson
assist: Vitor Roque
75'
⚽
1–1
▮
76'
Ruan
Yellow Card
⚽
1–2
77'
Igor Gomes
assist: Alan Minda
Joaquín Piquerez
⇄ Arthur Gabriel
78'
⇄
Mauricio
⇄ Lucas Evangelista
78'
⇄
⇄
85'
Ángelo Preciado
⇄ Vitor Hugo
⇄
90'
Tomás Pérez
⇄ Alexsander
▮
90+3'
Renan Lodi
Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Palmeiras
Match Stats
Atletico-MG
69%
Ball Possession
31%
22
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
1
14
Shots insidebox
6
8
Shots outsidebox
3
10
Corner Kicks
5
7
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
661
Total passes
303
585
Passes accurate
218
10
Free Kicks
7
Palmeiras
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Felipe Anderson M | 7.7 | 31' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 26 Murilo D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 105 (93%) | – |
| 8 Andreas Pereira M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 67 (63%) | – |
| 17 Marlon Freitas M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 130 (121%) | 1 |
| 32 Emiliano Martínez M | 6.8 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 32 (28%) | 1 |
| 10 Paulinho F | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 26 (23%) | – |
| 15 Gustavo Gómez D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (45%) | 1 |
| 9 Vitor Roque F | 6.6 | 31' | – | 1 | 2 | 1 | – |
| 11 Jhon Arias M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 6 | 44 (35%) | 4 |
| 56 Arthur Gabriel D | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 22 Joaquín Piquerez D | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | – | 49 (45%) | 2 |
| 4 Agustín Giay D | 6.4 | 59' | – | – | – | 57 (48%) | 2 |
| 30 Lucas Evangelista M | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 18 Mauricio M | 6.0 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 40 (35%) | – |
| 1 Carlos Miguel G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
Atletico-MG
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Igor Gomes M | 8.0 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 30 Victor Hugo M | 7.6 | 71' | 1 | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 22 Everson G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (16%) | – |
| 27 Alan Minda F | 6.9 | 19' | – | 1 | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 13 Lyanco D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (26%) | – |
| 11 Bernard M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 14 Vitor Hugo D | 6.6 | 5' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 2 Natanael D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 16 Renan Lodi D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (24%) | 1 |
| 39 Mamady Cissé M | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 8 Maycon M | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 9 Mateo Cassierra F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (22%) | – |
| 25 Tomás Pérez M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 2 |
| 23 Ángelo Preciado M | 6.1 | 85' | – | – | – | 24 (13%) | – |
| 4 Ruan D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (14%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (66%)
At a glance
Our lean
Palmeiras to win
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Palmeiras
LWWLW
Atletico-MG
WDWDW
Last 3 meetings
Palmeiras · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A match, Palmeiras faces Atletico-MG, both teams having shown strong performances this season. Palmeiras boasts a solid home record, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game while conceding 0.8. On the other hand, Atletico-MG has been effective on the road, with a goal-scoring average of 1.9 per match and a defensive record conceding 1.2. Key players to watch include Palmeiras’ leading scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season, and Atletico-MG's playmaker, contributing significantly to their attacking play. This clash promises to be competitive, with both teams vying for crucial points in the title race.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
66%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
12%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Palmeiras
J. López
6 gls
Atletico-MG
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG
2
Palmeiras Wins
1
Draws
0
Atletico-MG Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | Atletico-MG | 2 - 2 | Palmeiras |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Atletico-MG | 0 - 3 | Palmeiras |
| 20 Jul 2025 | Palmeiras | 3 - 2 | Atletico-MG |
Palmeiras — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Fortaleza EC | L | 3 - 2 |
| 02 Aug | H Fortaleza EC | W | 3 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 4 |
| 26 Jul | H Atletico-MG | L | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Jul | A Coritiba | W | 1 - 3 |
Atletico-MG — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | A Juventude | W | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Aug | H Juventude | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | A Palmeiras | W | 1 - 2 |
| 21 Jul | H Bahia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 May | A Vasco DA Gama | W | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Palmeiras
Formation: 4-3-2-1
Coach: Ferreira Abel
1
Miguel
22
Piquerez
26
Murilo
15
Gómez
4
Giay
8
Pereira
32
Martínez
17
Freitas
11
Arias
18
Mauricio
10
Paulinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Miguel | G |
| 4 | Agustín Giay | D |
| 15 | Gustavo Gómez | D |
| 26 | Murilo | D |
| 22 | Joaquín Piquerez | D |
| 17 | Marlon Freitas | M |
| 32 | Emiliano Martínez | M |
| 8 | Andreas Pereira | M |
| 18 | Mauricio | M |
| 11 | Jhon Arias | M |
| 10 | Paulinho | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | Marcelo Lomba | G |
| 21 | Kaique | G |
| 56 | Arthur Gabriel | D |
| 43 | Luis Benedetti | D |
| 48 | Larson | M |
| 45 | Erick Belé | M |
| 30 | Lucas Evangelista | M |
| 7 | Felipe Anderson | M |
| 9 | Vitor Roque | F |
| 37 | Riquelme Fillipi | F |
| 39 | Heittor | F |
Atletico-MG
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
22
Everson
16
Lodi
13
Lyanco
4
Ruan
2
Natanael
8
Maycon
25
Pérez
11
Bernard
30
Hugo
23
Preciado
9
Cassierra
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Everson | G |
| 2 | Natanael | D |
| 4 | Ruan | D |
| 13 | Lyanco | D |
| 16 | Renan Lodi | D |
| 25 | Tomás Pérez | M |
| 8 | Maycon | M |
| 23 | Ángelo Preciado | M |
| 30 | Victor Hugo | M |
| 11 | Bernard | M |
| 9 | Mateo Cassierra | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Gabriel Delfim | G |
| 14 | Vitor Hugo | D |
| 36 | Kauã Pascini | D |
| 3 | Iván Román | D |
| 19 | Reinier | M |
| 48 | João Pedro Porto Lucrécio "Gutte" | M |
| 5 | Alexsander | M |
| 17 | Igor Gomes | M |
| 39 | Mamady Cissé | M |
| 92 | Dudu | F |
| 27 | Alan Minda | F |
| 29 | Cauã Campos Soares | F |