Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction
AI call
Fluminense or draw
27%
30%
43%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Gremio vs Fluminense prediction: Sportiko gives Gremio a 27% chance of winning, Fluminense 43% and the draw 30%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 23:32.
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Premium- Under 2.5 Goals 74%
- Away to Score 71%
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Timeline
▮
12'
Hércules
Yellow Card
▮
13'
Guga
Yellow Card
⇄
21'
Guilherme Arana
⇄ Renê
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
65'
Hulk
Penalty
▮
69'
Thiago Silva
Yellow Card
Cristian Pavón
⇄ Diego Caito
69'
⇄
Erick Noriega
⇄ Martin Braithwaite
69'
⇄
⇄
75'
Hulk
⇄ Germán Cano
⇄
75'
Luciano Acosta
⇄ Nonato
Carlos Vinícius
Yellow Card
77'
▮
Francis Amuzu
⇄ Jovane Cabral
78'
⇄
Tetê
⇄ José Enamorado
78'
⇄
▮
79'
Agustín Canobbio
Yellow Card
Marlon
⇄ Pedro Gabriel
80'
⇄
⇄
87'
Kevin Serna
⇄ Yeferson Soteldo
⇄
87'
Hércules
⇄ Ignácio
Diego Caito
assist: Jovane Cabral
89'
⚽
1–1
Juan Nardoni
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
FT 1–1
Gremio
Match Stats
Fluminense
44%
Ball Possession
56%
0.49
Expected Goals (xG)
0.10
6
Total Shots
3
2
Shots on Goal
1
2
Shots off Goal
1
2
Blocked Shots
1
4
Shots insidebox
1
2
Shots outsidebox
2
2
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
5
0
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
218
Total passes
299
184
Passes accurate
265
84%
Passes %
89%
0.20
goals_prevented
0.20
Gremio
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Cristian Pavón D | 7.2 | 49' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | 1 |
| 23 Marlon D | 7.0 | 49' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | 1 |
| 6 Gustavo Martins D | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | 3 |
| 9 Francis Amuzu M | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 12 Gabriel Grando G | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | – |
| 20 Mathias Villasanti M | 6.7 | 49' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | – |
| 21 Tetê M | 6.7 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 4 Walter Kannemann D | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | – |
| 95 Carlos Vinícius F | 6.5 | 49' | – | – | 3 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 5 Juan Nardoni M | 6.3 | 49' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 19 Erick Noriega M | 6.3 | 49' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 1 |
Fluminense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fábio G | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 22 Juan Pablo Freytes D | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | – |
| 3 Thiago Silva D | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 39 (34%) | – |
| 32 Luciano Acosta M | 6.7 | 49' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | – |
| 17 Agustín Canobbio M | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 35 Hércules M | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 35 (35%) | 1 |
| 8 Martinelli M | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | – | 48 (46%) | – |
| 7 Hulk F | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 13 Guilherme Arana D | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 23 Guga D | 6.3 | 49' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 6 Renê D | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 90 Kevin Serna M | 6.3 | 49' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Fluminense or draw
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Gremio
WDLDL
Fluminense
LDDDD
Last 3 meetings
Gremio · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Grêmio faces Fluminense, both teams aiming for crucial points in their league campaigns. Grêmio has been solid defensively, with a goal-conceded average of 1.2 per match this season, while Fluminense boasts a more potent attack, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game. The match will likely hinge on Grêmio's ability to contain Fluminense's offensive threats, especially considering their recent form, which shows Fluminense winning 3 of their last 5 matches. Expect a tactical battle, with both teams needing to capitalize on scoring opportunities to secure a vital victory.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
43%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Gremio
Carlos Vinícius
10 gls
Fluminense
John Kennedy
9 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Gremio vs Fluminense
0
Gremio Wins
0
Draws
3
Fluminense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | Fluminense | 2 - 1 | Gremio |
| 02 Dec 2025 | Gremio | 1 - 2 | Fluminense |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Fluminense | 1 - 0 | Gremio |
Gremio — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | H Mirassol | W | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Aug | A Mirassol | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Jul | H Bolívar | L | 0 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | H Fluminense | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | A Bolívar | L | 3 - 2 |
Fluminense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Vasco DA Gama | L | 1 - 3 |
| 01 Aug | A Vasco DA Gama | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | H Bahia | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | A Gremio | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Jul | H RB Bragantino | D | 1 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Fluminense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
1
Fábio
13
Arana
22
Freytes
3
Silva
23
Guga
35
Hércules
8
Martinelli
17
Canobbio
32
Acosta
90
Serna
7
Hulk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fábio | G |
| 23 | Guga | D |
| 3 | Thiago Silva | D |
| 22 | Juan Pablo Freytes | D |
| 13 | Guilherme Arana | D |
| 8 | Martinelli | M |
| 35 | Hércules | M |
| 90 | Kevin Serna | M |
| 32 | Luciano Acosta | M |
| 17 | Agustín Canobbio | M |
| 7 | Hulk | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | Renê | D |
| 27 | Marcelo Pitaluga | G |
| 2 | Samuel Xavier | D |
| 21 | Igor Rabello | D |
| 4 | Ignácio | D |
| 46 | Júlio Fidelis | D |
| 94 | Otávio | M |
| 28 | Riquelme Felipe | F |
| 30 | Yeferson Soteldo | F |
| 10 | Ganso | M |
| 16 | Nonato | M |
| 14 | Germán Cano | F |
Gremio
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Luis Castro
12
Grando
23
Marlon
4
Kannemann
6
Martins
7
Pavón
19
Noriega
9
Amuzu
5
Nardoni
20
Villasanti
21
Tetê
95
Vinícius
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gabriel Grando | G |
| 7 | Cristian Pavón | D |
| 6 | Gustavo Martins | D |
| 4 | Walter Kannemann | D |
| 23 | Marlon | D |
| 19 | Erick Noriega | M |
| 21 | Tetê | M |
| 20 | Mathias Villasanti | M |
| 5 | Juan Nardoni | M |
| 9 | Francis Amuzu | M |
| 95 | Carlos Vinícius | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | Thiago Beltrame | G |
| 54 | Pedro Gabriel | D |
| 27 | Diego Caito | D |
| 43 | Luis Guedes | D |
| 3 | Wagner Leonardo | D |
| 37 | Gabriel Mec | F |
| 65 | Riquelme Freitas | M |
| 17 | Dodi | M |
| 99 | José Enamorado | F |
| 22 | Martin Braithwaite | F |
| 30 | Matheus Nascimento | F |
| 77 | Jovane Cabral | F |