Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Post on X

Internacional

Away

AI call Difficult Atletico Paranaense win or draw

56%

28%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional prediction: Sportiko gives Atletico Paranaense a 56% chance of winning, Internacional 17% and the draw 28%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 23:26.

Premium picks

Premium

Under 2.5 Goals 72%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Leozinho assist: Kevin Viveros

45+1' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Kevin Viveros

60' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 62'

Matheus Bahia ⇄ Braian Aguirre

⇄ 63'

Félix Torres ⇄ Bruno Henrique

Steven Mendoza

65' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Alerrandro ⇄ Alan Patrick

Gilberto ⇄ Gastón Benavídez

81' ⇄

Leozinho

81' ⇄

Jádson ⇄ Juan Portilla

81' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Rodrigo Villagra ⇄ João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo

FT 2–0

Atletico Paranaense

Match Stats

Internacional

46% Ball Possession 54%

2.92 Expected Goals (xG) 1.15

14 Total Shots 13

4 Shots on Goal 3

9 Shots off Goal 5

1 Blocked Shots 5

11 Shots insidebox 9

3 Shots outsidebox 4

3 Corner Kicks 7

2 Offsides 4

13 Fouls 8

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

345 Total passes 409

276 Passes accurate 317

80% Passes % 78%

-0.07 goals_prevented -0.07

Atletico Paranaense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Leozinho F	8.7	81'	1	–	4	20 (15%)	3
9 Kevin Viveros F	7.9	93'	1	1	5	10 (6%)	–
37 Lucas Esquivel D	7.7	93'	–	–	–	46 (32%)	5
23 Santos G	7.3	93'	–	–	–	23 (14%)	–
12 Gilberto M	7.3	81'	–	–	1	30 (23%)	1
29 Gastón Benavídez D	7.3	12'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	–
16 Jádson M	7.0	81'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	4
8 João Cruz M	7.0	28'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
22 Carlos Terán D	7.0	93'	–	–	–	54 (49%)	2
14 Luiz Gustavo M	6.9	93'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	2
26 Claudinho M	6.6	93'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	2
7 Steven Mendoza F	6.3	65'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	–
11 Isaac F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	1	–
27 Juan Portilla M	6.2	12'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–

Internacional

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Anthoni G	6.9	93'	–	–	–	25 (16%)	–
5 Rodrigo Villagra M	6.9	84'	–	–	–	48 (45%)	2
26 Alexandro Bernabei F	6.9	93'	–	–	1	19 (13%)	–
15 Bruno Gomes M	6.7	93'	–	–	2	44 (35%)	1
35 Braian Aguirre D	6.7	31'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	2
8 Bruno Henrique M	6.7	30'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	1
7 Johan Carbonero F	6.6	93'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
6 Matheus Bahia M	6.5	62'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
10 Alan Patrick M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	1
49 João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo F	6.3	9'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
3 Guillermo Maripán D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	54 (40%)	–
28 Vitinho M	6.2	93'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	–
9 Alerrandro F	6.0	69'	–	–	2	14 (11%)	–
4 Félix Torres D	5.9	63'	–	–	1	49 (37%)	3
18 Jose Juninho D	5.9	93'	–	–	–	59 (43%)	1

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Live in-play co-pilot

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Atletico Paranaense win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 23.4%

Both teams to score

21%

Over 2.5 goals

28%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Atletico Paranaense

LWDWW

Internacional

LWDLL

Last 3 meetings Atletico Paranaense · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Atletico Paranaense faces Internacional in a Serie A clash that promises to be competitive. Atletico Paranaense has shown a solid home record, with a strong defense allowing just 22 goals at home last season. In contrast, Internacional struggled on the road, securing only 4 wins in 19 away matches. Both teams possess talented attacking players, but Atletico's home form may give them an edge. Key battles in midfield will be crucial, as both teams aim to control possession and create goal-scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Internacional goals →

	0	1	2
0	16	4	1
1	23	8	1
2	19	6	1
3	10	3
4	4	1
5	1

↑ Atletico Paranaense goals · most likely 1–0 (23.4%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 12 gls

Internacional

J. Carbonero 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

79% BTTS No 21% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

79% BTTS No 21% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

27%

28%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.5%	3.7%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	23.4%	8.3%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.1%	5.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	10.0%	3.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
4	3.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

43%

35%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

37%

36%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico Paranaense	Draw	Internacional
Atletico Paranaense	43.2%	1.6%	0.1%
Draw	25.1%	20.4%	2.5%
Internacional	1.3%	2.2%	3.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional

2 Atletico Paranaense Wins

1 Draws

0 Internacional Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Jan 2026	Internacional	0 - 1	Atletico Paranaense
11 Aug 2024	Internacional	2 - 2	Atletico Paranaense
21 Apr 2024	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Internacional

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Vitoria	L	4 - 0
04 Aug	H Vitoria	W	2 - 0
30 Jul	A Corinthians	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	H Internacional	W	2 - 0
23 Jul	A Sao Paulo	W	1 - 2

Internacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Corinthians	L	2 - 1
02 Aug	H Corinthians	W	2 - 0
29 Jul	H Flamengo	D	1 - 1
25 Jul	A Atletico Paranaense	L	2 - 0
23 Jul	H Cruzeiro	L	1 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	14	5	2	38	16	+22	47
2	Flamengo	20	11	6	3	37	18	+19	39
3	Atletico Paranaense	21	11	4	6	28	19	+9	37
4	Fluminense	21	9	7	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bahia	21	8	8	5	29	25	+4	32
6	RB Bragantino	20	9	4	7	26	20	+6	31
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
8	Botafogo	20	8	5	7	34	32	+2	29
9	Corinthians	21	7	8	6	22	20	+2	29
10	Atletico-MG	20	8	4	8	25	25	0	28
11	Coritiba	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3	27
12	Sao Paulo	20	7	5	8	25	23	+2	26
13	Vitoria	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9	26
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4	23
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4	22
16	Internacional	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4	22
17	Gremio	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8	21
19	Remo	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10	21
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Internacional

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Paulo Pezzolano

12 Anthoni

18 Juninho

3 Maripán

4 Torres

6 Bahia

5 Villagra

15 Gomes

28 Vitinho

26 Bernabei

7 Carbonero

9 Alerrandro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Anthoni	G
4	Félix Torres	D
3	Guillermo Maripán	D
18	Jose Juninho	D
28	Vitinho	M
15	Bruno Gomes	M
5	Rodrigo Villagra	M
6	Matheus Bahia	M
7	Johan Carbonero	F
26	Alexandro Bernabei	F
9	Alerrandro	F

Substitutes

23	Matheus Cunha	G
25	Gabriel Mercado	D
53	Luiz Felipe	D
35	Braian Aguirre	D
46	Pedro Kauã	D
8	Bruno Henrique	M
10	Alan Patrick	M
31	Allex	M
27	Paulinho Paula	M
14	Alan Rodríguez	M
49	João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo	F
54	Fabricio Zechmeister do Prado	F