Corinthians vs Atletico-MG Prediction
AI call
Corinthians or draw
45%
28%
27%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG prediction: Sportiko gives Corinthians a 45% chance of winning, Atletico-MG 27% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
▮
37'
Tomás Cuello
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Jesse Lingard
⇄ Kaio César
46'
⇄
▮
55'
Ruan
Yellow Card
Yuri Alberto
Yellow Card
61'
▮
André Luiz
⇄ M. Depay
61'
⇄
Raniele
⇄ Allan
61'
⇄
⇄
67'
Victor Hugo
⇄ Alan Minda
Rodrigo Garro
⇄ Zakaria Labyad
77'
⇄
⇄
79'
Bernard
⇄ Mamady Cissé
Breno Bidon
⇄ André Carrillo
81'
⇄
Zakaria Labyad
assist: Matheuzinho
88'
⚽
1–0
⇄
90+1'
Alan Franco
⇄ Cauã Campos Soares
FT 1–0
Corinthians
Match Stats
Atletico-MG
58%
Ball Possession
42%
0.56
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
5
3
Shots insidebox
8
7
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
0
3
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
515
Total passes
371
460
Passes accurate
318
89%
Passes %
86%
-0.40
goals_prevented
-0.40
Corinthians
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hugo Souza G | 8.0 | 96' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 52 Zakaria Labyad F | 7.5 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 2 Matheuzinho D | 7.3 | 96' | – | 1 | 1 | 50 (41%) | 1 |
| 21 Matheus Bidu D | 7.3 | 96' | – | – | – | 57 (51%) | 1 |
| 3 Gabriel Paulista D | 7.2 | 96' | – | – | – | 48 (46%) | – |
| 13 Gustavo Henrique D | 7.0 | 96' | – | – | 1 | 54 (53%) | 1 |
| 29 Allan M | 7.0 | 35' | – | – | – | 36 (35%) | – |
| 49 André Luiz M | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 7 Breno Bidon M | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 65 (60%) | 1 |
| 37 Kaio César F | 6.9 | 51' | – | – | 2 | 15 (15%) | 1 |
| 14 Raniele M | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | 2 |
| 8 Rodrigo Garro M | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 52 (41%) | 1 |
| 19 André Carrillo M | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 77 Jesse Lingard M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | 1 |
| 10 M. Depay F | 6.5 | 35' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 9 Yuri Alberto F | 6.3 | 96' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
Atletico-MG
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Renan Lodi D | 7.3 | 96' | – | – | 1 | 40 (39%) | 2 |
| 28 Tomás Cuello M | 7.2 | 96' | – | – | 2 | 25 (19%) | 2 |
| 30 Victor Hugo M | 7.0 | 67' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 22 Everson G | 6.9 | 96' | – | – | – | 31 (19%) | – |
| 4 Ruan D | 6.9 | 96' | – | – | – | 49 (47%) | – |
| 8 Maycon M | 6.9 | 96' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | 2 |
| 27 Alan Minda F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 9 Mateo Cassierra F | 6.6 | 96' | – | – | 2 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 11 Bernard M | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 6 Junior Alonso D | 6.5 | 96' | – | – | – | 63 (60%) | – |
| 21 Alan Franco M | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 2 |
| 2 Natanael D | 6.5 | 96' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 2 |
| 39 Mamady Cissé M | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 29 Cauã Campos Soares F | — | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Our lean
Corinthians or draw
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Corinthians
LLLDL
Atletico-MG
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings
Corinthians · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash on May 24, 2026, Corinthians will host Atletico-MG, two teams with contrasting forms. Corinthians, known for their solid defensive structure, will look to leverage home advantage, where they historically perform well, having won 60% of their last 10 home matches. Meanwhile, Atletico-MG, featuring a potent attacking lineup, has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 outings. Key players to watch include Corinthians' center-back, who has been pivotal in defensive contributions, and Atletico's forward, who leads the league in goals. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams aiming for crucial points in the title race.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Corinthians vs Atletico-MG
1
Corinthians Wins
1
Draws
1
Atletico-MG Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Corinthians | 1 - 0 | Atletico-MG |
| 24 May 2025 | Atletico-MG | 0 - 0 | Corinthians |
| 28 Jul 2024 | Atletico-MG | 2 - 1 | Corinthians |
Corinthians — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Fluminense | L | 1 - 3 |
| 17 Sep | H Estudiantes L.P. | L | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Flamengo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 10 Sep | A Estudiantes L.P. | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Chapecoense-sc | L | 1 - 2 |
Atletico-MG — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Chapecoense-sc | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Fluminense | W | 3 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Santos | L | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Sao Paulo | L | 2 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | H Cruzeiro | W | 2 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Corinthians
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Fernando Diniz
1
Souza
21
Bidu
13
Henrique
3
Paulista
2
Matheuzinho
14
Raniele
49
Andre
77
Lingard
8
Garro
7
Bidon
9
Alberto
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hugo Souza | G |
| 2 | Matheuzinho | D |
| 3 | Gabriel Paulista | D |
| 13 | Gustavo Henrique | D |
| 21 | Matheus Bidu | D |
| 49 | Andre | M |
| 14 | Raniele | M |
| 7 | Breno Bidon | M |
| 8 | R. Garro | M |
| 77 | J. Lingard | M |
| 9 | Yuri Alberto | F |
Substitutes
| 51 | Kaue | G |
| 52 | Z. Labyad | F |
| 10 | M. Depay | F |
| 5 | Andre Ramalho | D |
| 26 | F. Angileri | D |
| 23 | M. Pereira | M |
| 20 | P. Milans | D |
| 37 | Kaio Cesar | F |
| 19 | A. Carrillo | M |
| 29 | Allan | M |
| 18 | Pedro Raul | F |
| 61 | Dieguinho | M |
Atletico-MG
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
22
Everson
16
Lodi
6
Alonso
4
Tressoldi
2
Natanael
8
Maycon
11
Bernard
21
Franco
30
Hugo
28
Cuello
9
Cassierra
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Everson | G |
| 2 | Natanael | D |
| 4 | Ruan Tressoldi | D |
| 6 | J. Alonso | D |
| 16 | R. Lodi | D |
| 8 | Maycon | M |
| 28 | Cuello | M |
| 30 | Victor Hugo | M |
| 21 | A. Franco | M |
| 11 | Bernard | M |
| 9 | M. Cassierra | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Gabriel Delfim | G |
| 14 | Vitor Hugo | D |
| 23 | A. Preciado | D |
| 19 | Reinier | M |
| 5 | Alexsander | M |
| 92 | Dudu | F |
| 13 | Lyanco | D |
| 27 | A. Minda | F |
| 25 | T. Perez | M |
| 29 | Caua | F |
| 36 | K. Pascini | D |
| 39 | M. Cisse | M |