Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction
AI call
Sao Paulo or draw
29%
29%
42%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction: Sportiko gives Corinthians a 29% chance of winning, Sao Paulo 42% and the draw 29%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Raniele
assist: Rodrigo Garro
17'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
41'
Luciano
assist: Damián Bobadilla
Gabriel Paulista
Yellow Card
45+1'
▮
Matheus Bidu
Yellow Card
45+1'
▮
▮
45+1'
Sabino
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Jonathan Calleri
Yellow Card
🖵
45+6'
Damián Bobadilla
Card reviewed
HT 1–1
Matheuzinho
assist: André Carrillo
52'
⚽
2–1
Breno Bidon
assist: Rodrigo Garro
57'
⚽
3–1
⇄
69'
Ferreirinha
⇄ Cauly
⇄
69'
Danielzinho
⇄ Luan Santos
▮
73'
Enzo Díaz
Yellow Card
André Carrillo
⇄ Dieguinho
83'
⇄
⇄
83'
Enzo Díaz
⇄ Wendell
Rodrigo Garro
⇄ Zakaria Labyad
88'
⇄
Yuri Alberto
⇄ Pedro Raul
88'
⇄
⚽
3–2
89'
Matheuzinho
Own Goal
⇄
90+2'
Damián Bobadilla
⇄ André Silva
Zakaria Labyad
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
▮
90+4'
Luan Santos
Yellow Card
Pedro Raul
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
FT 3–2
Corinthians
Match Stats
Sao Paulo
50%
Ball Possession
50%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
0
4
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots insidebox
2
4
Shots outsidebox
5
7
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
4
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
379
Total passes
401
309
Passes accurate
325
82%
Passes %
81%
-0.65
goals_prevented
-0.65
Corinthians
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Rodrigo Garro M | 8.2 | 88' | – | 2 | – | 41 (31%) | 1 |
| 7 Breno Bidon M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 3 |
| 19 André Carrillo M | 7.5 | 83' | – | 1 | – | 50 (49%) | – |
| 2 Matheuzinho D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 2 |
| 14 Raniele M | 6.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 3 Gabriel Paulista D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 2 |
| 52 Zakaria Labyad F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 18 Pedro Raul F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 77 Jesse Lingard M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 35 (30%) | – |
| 1 Hugo Souza G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (12%) | – |
| 13 Gustavo Henrique D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | – |
| 21 Matheus Bidu D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | 2 |
| 9 Yuri Alberto F | 6.2 | 88' | – | – | 5 | 27 (20%) | – |
| 61 Dieguinho M | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | – | – | – |
Sao Paulo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Damián Bobadilla M | 7.2 | 89' | – | 1 | – | 42 (37%) | 3 |
| 10 Luciano M | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 94 Danielzinho M | 7.0 | 69' | – | – | – | 52 (48%) | 2 |
| 18 Wendell D | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 80 Cauly M | 6.6 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Jonathan Calleri F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 33 Luan Santos M | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 37 Artur M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | 1 |
| 11 Ferreirinha M | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 4 Dória D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | 1 |
| 23 Rafael G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (15%) | – |
| 35 Sabino D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (34%) | 2 |
| 21 Cédric Soares D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (26%) | 2 |
| 13 Enzo Díaz D | 5.9 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 37 (33%) | 1 |
| 17 André Silva F | — | 1' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
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Confidence
Medium (58%)
At a glance
Our lean
Sao Paulo or draw
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Corinthians
LLLDL
Sao Paulo
WDLLW
Last 3 meetings
Corinthians · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Corinthians will host Sao Paulo in a highly anticipated derby. Historically, Corinthians have a slight edge with a 44% win rate in their last 35 encounters, while Sao Paulo stands at 31%. Corinthians have displayed strong defensive capabilities this season, conceding only 0.9 goals per game, compared to Sao Paulo’s 1.2. However, Sao Paulo’s attacking prowess, averaging 1.5 goals per match, could challenge the home side’s backline. Given the significance of this rivalry and the current form of both teams, expect a tightly contested match with potential playoff implications.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Corinthians
No scorer data.
Sao Paulo
Luciano
8 gls
J. Calleri
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
1
Corinthians Wins
0
Draws
2
Sao Paulo Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | Corinthians | 3 - 1 | Sao Paulo |
| 19 Jul 2025 | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | Corinthians |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Sao Paulo | 3 - 1 | Corinthians |
Corinthians — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Fluminense | L | 1 - 3 |
| 17 Sep | H Estudiantes L.P. | L | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Flamengo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 10 Sep | A Estudiantes L.P. | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Chapecoense-sc | L | 1 - 2 |
Sao Paulo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Internacional | W | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Boca Juniors | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Palmeiras | L | 2 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | A Boca Juniors | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Atletico-MG | W | 2 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Sao Paulo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Machado Roger
23
Rafael
13
Diaz
35
Sabino
4
Doria
21
Soares
94
Danielzinho
16
Bobadilla
11
Ferreira
10
Luciano
37
Artur
9
Calleri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rafael | G |
| 21 | C. Soares | D |
| 4 | Matheus Doria | D |
| 35 | Sabino | D |
| 13 | E. Diaz | D |
| 16 | D. Bobadilla | M |
| 94 | Danielzinho | M |
| 37 | Artur | M |
| 10 | Luciano | M |
| 11 | Ferreira | M |
| 9 | Jonathan Calleri | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Carlos Coronel | G |
| 80 | Cauly | M |
| 17 | Andre Silva | F |
| 33 | Luan Silva | M |
| 30 | Felipe Negrucci | M |
| 40 | Igor Felisberto | - |
| 54 | Luis Osorio | D |
| 46 | Pedro Ferreira | M |
| 45 | Lucca Marques | F |
| 18 | Wendell | D |
| 14 | G. Tapia | F |
| 48 | Djhordney | M |
Corinthians
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Fernando Diniz
1
Souza
21
Bidu
13
Henrique
3
Paulista
2
Matheuzinho
14
Raniele
19
Carrillo
77
Lingard
8
Garro
7
Bidon
9
Alberto
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hugo Souza | G |
| 2 | Matheuzinho | D |
| 3 | Gabriel Paulista | D |
| 13 | Gustavo Henrique | D |
| 21 | Matheus Bidu | D |
| 19 | A. Carrillo | M |
| 14 | Raniele | M |
| 7 | Breno Bidon | M |
| 8 | R. Garro | M |
| 77 | J. Lingard | M |
| 9 | Yuri Alberto | F |
Substitutes
| 51 | Kaue | G |
| 52 | Z. Labyad | F |
| 5 | Andre Ramalho | D |
| 26 | F. Angileri | D |
| 23 | M. Pereira | M |
| 20 | P. Milans | D |
| 37 | Kaio Cesar | F |
| 56 | Gui Negao | F |
| 80 | Alex Santana | M |
| 18 | Pedro Raul | F |
| 61 | Dieguinho | M |
| 55 | I. Machado | D |