Atletico-MG vs Botafogo Prediction
AI call
Too close to call
36%
25%
39%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo prediction: Sportiko gives Atletico-MG a 36% chance of winning, Botafogo 39% and the draw 25%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Atletico-MG
Match Stats
Botafogo
44%
Ball Possession
56%
0.92
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
17
Total Shots
18
7
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
11
5
Blocked Shots
2
12
Shots insidebox
10
5
Shots outsidebox
8
6
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
307
Total passes
407
234
Passes accurate
329
76%
Passes %
81%
-0.06
goals_prevented
-0.06
Atletico-MG
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Everson G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (13%) | – |
| 9 Mateo Cassierra F | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 28 Tomás Cuello M | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | 3 | 32 (19%) | 1 |
| 16 Renan Lodi D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 8 Maycon M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (32%) | – |
| 3 Iván Román D | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 2 Natanael D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | – |
| 6 Junior Alonso D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 2 |
| 27 Alan Minda M | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 25 Tomás Pérez M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 11 Bernard M | 6.5 | 49' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 14 Vitor Hugo D | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 39 Mamady Cissé M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 5 Alexsander M | 6.2 | 41' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 19 Reinier M | — | 2' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
Botafogo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Alexander Barboza D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 84 (65%) | 2 |
| 22 Neto G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 19 Arthur Cabral F | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| 5 Nahuel Ferraresi D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (41%) | 2 |
| 21 Marçal D | 7.0 | 15' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 6 Cristian Medina M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (35%) | 1 |
| 11 Matheus Martins F | 6.7 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | 1 |
| 10 Álvaro Montoro M | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 28 Newton D | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 39 (34%) | 1 |
| 8 Danilo Santos M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 31 (26%) | – |
| 14 Jordan Barrera M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 88 Edenilson F | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 37 Kadir Barría F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 13 Alex Telles M | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | – |
| 4 Mateo Ponte M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (17%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (58%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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Atletico-MG
WDWDW
Botafogo
WDWLD
Last 3 meetings
Atletico-MG · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Atletico-MG hosts Botafogo in a crucial Serie A clash on May 10, 2026. Atletico-MG has been strong at home, boasting a solid win rate, while Botafogo struggles with consistency away from home. Historically, Atletico-MG has had the upper hand in their last five encounters, with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws. Key players to watch include Atletico’s leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Botafogo’s goalkeeper, who will need to be in top form to withstand pressure. This match could significantly impact both teams' standings in the league, making it a must-watch for fans.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Atletico-MG
No scorer data.
Botafogo
Danilo Santos
7 gls
Arthur Cabral
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atletico-MG vs Botafogo
1
Atletico-MG Wins
1
Draws
1
Botafogo Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | Atletico-MG |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Atletico-MG | 1 - 0 | Botafogo |
| 20 Nov 2024 | Atletico-MG | 0 - 0 | Botafogo |
Atletico-MG — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | A Juventude | W | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Aug | H Juventude | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | A Palmeiras | W | 1 - 2 |
| 21 Jul | H Bahia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 May | A Vasco DA Gama | W | 0 - 1 |
Botafogo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | A Cruzeiro | W | 0 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | H Vitoria | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Jul | H Santos | W | 2 - 1 |
| 30 May | A Bahia | L | 2 - 1 |
| 23 May | A Sao Paulo | D | 1 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Botafogo
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
22
Neto
20
Barboza
28
Newton
5
Ferraresi
13
Telles
6
Medina
8
Danilo
4
Ponte
11
Martins
19
Cabral
88
Edenilson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Neto | G |
| 5 | N. Ferraresi | D |
| 28 | Newton | D |
| 20 | A. Barboza | D |
| 4 | M. Ponte | M |
| 8 | Danilo | M |
| 6 | C. Medina | M |
| 13 | Alex Telles | M |
| 88 | Edenilson | F |
| 19 | Arthur Cabral | F |
| 11 | Matheus Martins | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Raul Steffens | G |
| 30 | J. Correa | F |
| 27 | Caio Roque | D |
| 14 | J. Barrera | M |
| 21 | Marcal | D |
| 3 | Ythallo | D |
| 77 | L. M. Villalba Jaume | F |
| 10 | A. Montoro | M |
| 42 | Kadu Santos | D |
| 34 | G. Justino | D |
| 75 | Huguinho | M |
| 37 | K. Barria | F |
Atletico-MG
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
22
Everson
16
Lodi
6
Alonso
3
Roman
2
Natanael
25
Perez
8
Maycon
11
Bernard
27
Minda
28
Cuello
9
Cassierra
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Everson | G |
| 2 | Natanael | D |
| 3 | I. Roman | D |
| 6 | J. Alonso | D |
| 16 | R. Lodi | D |
| 8 | Maycon | M |
| 25 | T. Perez | M |
| 28 | Cuello | M |
| 27 | A. Minda | M |
| 11 | Bernard | M |
| 9 | M. Cassierra | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Gabriel Delfim | G |
| 14 | Vitor Hugo | D |
| 23 | A. Preciado | D |
| 19 | Reinier | M |
| 5 | Alexsander | M |
| 48 | Mateus Iseppe | M |
| 92 | Dudu | F |
| 17 | Igor Gomes | M |
| 29 | Caua | F |
| 36 | K. Pascini | D |
| 39 | M. Cisse | M |