Bahia vs Santos Prediction
AI call
Difficult Bahia win or draw
59%
24%
17%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Bahia vs Santos prediction: Sportiko gives Bahia a 59% chance of winning, Santos 17% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Bahia
Match Stats
Santos
64%
Ball Possession
36%
1.20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
18
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
2
10
Shots insidebox
8
8
Shots outsidebox
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
4
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
519
Total passes
293
450
Passes accurate
220
87%
Passes %
75%
-0.35
goals_prevented
-0.35
Bahia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Luciano Juba D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 39 (33%) | 2 |
| 12 Willian José F | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 22 (19%) | 2 |
| 10 Everton Ribeiro M | 7.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 5 Nicolás Acevedo D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 95 (83%) | 3 |
| 8 Caio Alexandre M | 7.3 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 63 (56%) | 3 |
| 22 Leo Vieira G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | – |
| 99 Cristian Olivera F | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 38 (33%) | – |
| 21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (41%) | 2 |
| 2 Gilberto D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | – |
| 14 Erick M | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 15 Michel Araújo M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | 5 |
| 16 Erick Pulga F | 6.5 | 89' | – | 1 | 2 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 3 Gabriel Xavier D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 54 (51%) | – |
| 27 Everaldo F | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 | – |
| 6 Jean Lucas M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 7 Ademir F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Santos
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Benjamín Rollheiser M | 7.3 | 65' | 2 | – | 2 | 27 (23%) | – |
| 26 João Paulo Ananias D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | 4 |
| 21 Moisés F | 7.3 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 49 Gabriel Bontempo M | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | – |
| 1 Diogenes G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (7%) | – |
| 4 Lucas Veríssimo D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 14 Luan Peres D | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 31 Gonzalo Escobar D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 2 |
| 16 Thaciano M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 2 |
| 19 Lautaro Díaz F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 8 Tomás Rincón M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 28 Christian Oliva M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (18%) | 3 |
| 5 João Schmidt M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 2 |
| 11 Rony F | 6.0 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 16 (9%) | – |
| 12 Mayke D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (25%) | – |
| 30 Miguelito M | 5.9 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Bahia win or draw
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Bahia
LWWWW
Santos
WWWWD
Last 3 meetings
Bahia · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Bahia will host Santos on April 26, 2026. Bahia, known for their strong home form, has averaged 1.8 goals per game at home this season, while Santos has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game on the road. Bahia's key players, including their top scorer, will look to exploit Santos' defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Santos will rely on their counter-attacking prowess, as they have recorded a higher average of shots on target per game compared to Bahia. This match promises to be competitive, with both teams needing points to secure their league positions.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Bahia
Luciano Juba
9 gls
Santos
Gabriel Barbosa
11 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bahia vs Santos
1
Bahia Wins
1
Draws
1
Santos Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2025 | Bahia | 2 - 0 | Santos |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Santos | 2 - 2 | Bahia |
| 18 Sep 2023 | Bahia | 1 - 2 | Santos |
Bahia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Atletico Paranaense | L | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | H Remo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A RB Bragantino | W | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H Internacional | W | 3 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 2 |
Santos — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Remo | W | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Cruzeiro | W | 2 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Atletico-MG | W | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Internacional | W | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Palmeiras | D | 0 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Bahia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Ceni Rogerio
22
Vieira
46
Juba
21
Ramos
3
Xavier
5
Acevedo
6
Lucas
8
Alexandre
15
Araujo
16
Pulga
12
Jose
99
Olivera
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Leo Vieira | G |
| 5 | Nicolas Acevedo | D |
| 3 | Gabriel Xavier | D |
| 21 | S. Ramos | D |
| 46 | Luciano Juba | D |
| 15 | Michel Araujo | M |
| 8 | Caio Alexandre | M |
| 6 | Jean Lucas | M |
| 99 | C. Olivera | F |
| 12 | Willian Jose | F |
| 16 | Erick Pulga | F |
Substitutes
| 91 | J. C. Neres dos Santos I. | - |
| 10 | Everton Ribeiro | M |
| 7 | Ademir | F |
| 23 | M. Sanabria | F |
| 31 | R. Gomez | D |
| 2 | Gilberto | D |
| 27 | Everaldo | F |
| 25 | Iago Borduchi | D |
| 4 | Kanu | D |
| 14 | Erick | M |
| 11 | Rodrigo | M |
| 57 | Kaue Junior | M |
Santos
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Cuca
1
Diogenes
31
Escobar
26
Ananias
4
Verissimo
12
Mayke
28
Oliva
5
Schmidt
16
Thaciano
32
Rollheiser
49
Bontempo
11
Rony
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diogenes | G |
| 12 | Mayke | D |
| 4 | Lucas Verissimo | D |
| 26 | Joao Ananias | D |
| 31 | G. Escobar | D |
| 5 | Joao Schmidt | M |
| 28 | C. Oliva | M |
| 49 | Gabriel Bontempo | M |
| 32 | B. Rollheiser | M |
| 16 | Thaciano | M |
| 11 | Rony | F |
Substitutes
| 79 | Joao Lucio | G |
| 8 | T. Rincon | M |
| 19 | L. Diaz | F |
| 30 | Miguelito | M |
| 47 | Mateus Xavier | F |
| 38 | Rafael Gonzaga | D |
| 14 | Luan Peres | D |
| 98 | A. Frias | D |
| 22 | A. Barreal | M |
| 21 | Moises | F |
| 7 | J. Robinho | F |