Coritiba vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 12
FT
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AI call Coritiba or draw
42%
28%
30%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Coritiba vs Atletico-MG prediction: Sportiko gives Coritiba a 42% chance of winning, Atletico-MG 30% and the draw 28%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Coritiba

Match Stats

Atletico-MG
23% Ball Possession 77%
1.04 Expected Goals (xG) 1.15
2 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Goal 7
0 Shots off Goal 9
0 Blocked Shots 7
2 Shots insidebox 11
0 Shots outsidebox 12
2 Corner Kicks 8
3 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 1
7 Goalkeeper Saves 0
196 Total passes 638
126 Passes accurate 574
64% Passes % 90%
-1.00 goals_prevented -1.00
Coritiba
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Pedro Rangel G 9.3 95' 30 (16%)
32 Pedro Rocha F 7.9 86' 1 1 8 (1%)
2 Tinga D 7.5 95' 27 (15%) 3
3 Maicon D 7.2 95' 16 (14%)
36 Vini Paulista M 7.2 86' 16 (10%) 5
77 Breno Lopes M 7.2 58' 1 1 6 (4%)
55 Jacy Maranhão D 7.0 95' 14 (11%) 4
6 Felipe Jonatan D 6.9 61' 7 (7%) 1
10 Josué M 6.9 58' 14 (10%) 2
26 Bruno Melo D 6.9 34' 8 (6%) 1
21 Thiago Santos M 6.7 37' 3 (2%)
11 Lucas Ronier M 6.6 95' 19 (14%) 3
23 Tiago Cóser D 6.6 9' 1 (1%)
78 Renato Marques F 6.3 4' 2
7 Joaquín Lavega F 6.2 37' 8 (3%)
19 Sebastian Gomez M 6.2 95' 17 (12%) 3
Atletico-MG
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
92 Dudu F 7.0 29' 2 11 (10%)
23 Ángelo Preciado D 6.9 11' 7 (7%)
9 Mateo Cassierra F 6.9 23' 2 (2%) 1
21 Alan Franco M 6.7 95' 54 (50%)
8 Maycon M 6.7 66' 1 61 (55%)
39 Mamady Cissé M 6.6 29' 1 22 (21%) 1
19 Reinier F 6.6 84' 1 31 (30%)
11 Bernard M 6.6 11' 6 (6%)
16 Renan Lodi D 6.5 90' 1 79 (73%) 1
30 Victor Hugo M 6.5 95' 1 46 (40%) 1
13 Lyanco D 6.5 95' 3 93 (86%) 1
7 Hulk F 6.3 72' 2 25 (19%)
22 Everson G 6.3 95' 31 (25%)
4 Ruan D 6.3 95' 84 (79%)
2 Natanael D 6.2 66' 1 37 (36%) 3
28 Tomás Cuello M 6.2 84' 3 49 (35%) 1
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean
Coritiba or draw
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Coritiba
LDLWW
Atletico-MG
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings Coritiba · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Coritiba will host Atletico-MG on April 19, 2026. Coritiba's home record has been inconsistent, with a win rate of approximately 40% this season, while Atletico-MG has maintained a solid away performance, boasting a 60% win rate. Key players to watch include Coritiba’s leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Atletico-MG's star midfielder, contributing significantly to their offensive play. Historically, Atletico-MG has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 7 out of the last 10 encounters. Coritiba will need to capitalize on home advantage to secure a crucial three points against a formidable opponent.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Coritiba
Pedro Rocha 8 gls
Breno Lopes 8 gls
Atletico-MG

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Coritiba vs Atletico-MG

1 Coritiba Wins
0 Draws
2 Atletico-MG Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Oct 2023 Atletico-MG 1 - 2 Coritiba
20 May 2023 Coritiba 1 - 2 Atletico-MG
14 Aug 2022 Coritiba 0 - 1 Atletico-MG
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Coritiba — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Vasco DA Gama L 5 - 0
12 Sep H Atletico Paranaense D 3 - 3
06 Sep H Mirassol L 1 - 2
31 Aug A Remo W 2 - 3
23 Aug H Corinthians W 2 - 1

Atletico-MG — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Chapecoense-sc D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Fluminense W 3 - 1
09 Sep A Santos L 2 - 0
05 Sep A Sao Paulo L 2 - 0
02 Sep H Cruzeiro W 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Coritiba

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seabra Fernando
22 Rangel
26 Melo
55 Maranhão
3 Maicon
2 Tinga
36 Paulista
19 Gomez
77 Lopes
10 Josué
11 Ronier
32 Rocha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Pedro Rangel G
2 Tinga D
3 Maicon D
55 Jacy Maranhão D
26 Bruno Melo D
19 Sebastian Gomez M
36 Vini Paulista M
11 Lucas Ronier M
10 Josué M
77 Breno Lopes M
32 Pedro Rocha F

Substitutes

6 Felipe Jonatan D
21 Thiago Santos M
7 Joaquín Lavega F
23 Tiago Cóser D
78 Renato Marques F
13 Keiller G
44 João Pedro Chermont D
88 Fernando Sobral M
29 Willian Oliveira M
33 David Alves França F
14 Enzo F
28 Fabinho F

Atletico-MG

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
22 Everson
16 Lodi
13 Lyanco
4 Ruan
2 Natanael
28 Cuello
8 Maycon
21 Franco
30 Hugo
19 Reinier
7 Hulk

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Everson G
2 Natanael D
4 Ruan D
13 Lyanco D
16 Renan Lodi D
30 Victor Hugo M
21 Alan Franco M
8 Maycon M
28 Tomás Cuello M
7 Hulk F
19 Reinier F

Substitutes

39 Mamady Cissé M
92 Dudu F
9 Mateo Cassierra F
23 Ángelo Preciado D
11 Bernard M
1 Gabriel Delfim G
6 Junior Alonso D
14 Vitor Hugo D
25 Tomás Pérez M
5 Alexsander M
17 Igor Gomes M
10 Gustavo Scarpa M

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