Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Prediction
FT
AI call
Lillestrom or draw
48%
28%
24%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad prediction: Sportiko gives Lillestrom a 48% chance of winning, Fredrikstad 24% and the draw 28%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 19:14.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
8'
S. Owusu
assist: Sondre Sørløkk
F. Elkær
Yellow Card
17'
▮
⚽
0–2
18'
M. Nilsson
Penalty
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Penalty
37'
⚽
1–2
HT 1–2
F. Elkær
⇄ Daniel Bassi
46'
⇄
▮
54'
B. Thoresen
Yellow Card
⇄
59'
Samuel Leach Holm
⇄ Jakub Jezierski
⇄
59'
S. Laghzaoui
⇄ Gabriel Wesseh
⇄
59'
D. Eid
⇄ Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
⇄ T. Lehne Olsen
64'
⇄
⚽
1–3
65'
B. Thoresen
assist: H. Skogvold
⇄
67'
S. Owusu
⇄ S. Rafn
Eric Kitolano
⇄ H. Woxen
72'
⇄
⚽
1–4
79'
B. Thoresen
⇄
83'
Isak Helstad Amundsen
⇄ U. Fredriksen
H. Woxen
Yellow Card
86'
▮
FT 1–4
Lillestrom
Match Stats
Fredrikstad
53%
Ball Possession
47%
2.06
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
15
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
9
7
Shots off Goal
3
5
Blocked Shots
1
9
Shots insidebox
8
6
Shots outsidebox
5
9
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
489
Total passes
448
393
Passes accurate
357
80%
Passes %
80%
0.16
goals_prevented
0.16
Lillestrom
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Y. Ibrahimaj M | 7.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 70 (60%) | 2 |
| 8 Fredrik Gulbrandsen F | 7.2 | 64' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (4%) | 2 |
| 20 Vá M | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | 2 |
| 22 Daniel Bassi F | 6.6 | 47' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 12 P. Dahlberg G | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | – |
| 26 Y. Paintsil M | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 42 (33%) | 1 |
| 16 Henrik Melland M | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 2 |
| 10 T. Lehne Olsen F | 6.2 | 28' | – | – | 3 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 17 Eric Kitolano M | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 4 Espen Bjørnsen Garnås D | 6.0 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 80 (70%) | – |
| 47 Stian Kristiansen D | 6.0 | 92' | – | – | – | 75 (63%) | 1 |
| 11 F. Elkær D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | 2 |
| 6 H. Woxen M | 5.9 | 20' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 3 S. Ottesen D | 5.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 59 (42%) | 2 |
Fredrikstad
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 B. Thoresen F | 8.5 | 92' | 2 | – | 3 | 24 (16%) | – |
| 14 M. Nilsson M | 8.0 | 92' | 1 | – | 1 | 64 (57%) | 3 |
| 28 S. Owusu D | 7.9 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 47 (40%) | 3 |
| 6 Samuel Leach Holm M | 7.6 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 47 (41%) | – |
| 23 H. Skogvold F | 7.2 | 92' | – | 1 | 2 | 17 (15%) | 2 |
| 4 F. Holmé D | 7.0 | 92' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | – |
| 38 Isak Helstad Amundsen D | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | – | 52 (39%) | 6 |
| 29 Gabriel Wesseh M | 6.9 | 33' | – | 1 | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 16 D. Eid M | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 44 (32%) | 1 |
| 12 U. Fredriksen D | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 9 S. Laghzaoui F | 6.7 | 59' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 19 Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem D | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 21 Jakub Jezierski M | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 77 M. Børsheim G | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 32 (16%) | – |
| 5 S. Rafn D | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 13 Sondre Sørløkk M | 6.2 | 59' | – | 1 | 1 | 18 (11%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (48%)
At a glance
Our lean
Lillestrom or draw
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Lillestrom
LWWWL
Fredrikstad
LWLLD
Last 3 meetings
Lillestrom · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
48%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
24%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Lillestrom
Vá
8 gls
F. Gulbrandsen
7 gls
Fredrikstad
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad
1
Lillestrom Wins
0
Draws
2
Fredrikstad Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | Fredrikstad | 0 - 2 | Lillestrom |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Fredrikstad | 2 - 1 | Lillestrom |
| 20 May 2024 | Lillestrom | 0 - 3 | Fredrikstad |
Lillestrom — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Plzen | L | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Start | W | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Sogndal | W | 2 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Brann | W | 3 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Real Sociedad | L | 0 - 6 |
Fredrikstad — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Rosenborg | L | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | A Ranheim | W | 2 - 5 |
| 25 Oct | A Molde | L | 5 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Viking | L | 3 - 2 |
| 11 Oct | H Tromso | D | 1 - 1 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 26 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 61 | 23 | +38 | 59 |
| 3 |
Rosenborg
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 32 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 39 | +20 | 43 |
| 5 |
Lillestrom
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 |
Tromso
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 38 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Valerenga
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 |
Sandefjord
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |
Start
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 19 |
Fredrikstad
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Casper Rojkjaer
77
Borsheim
28
Owusu
4
Holmé
38
Amundsen
13
Sørløkk
14
Nilsson
6
Holm
16
Eid
9
Laghzaoui
23
Skogvold
7
Faraas
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Martin Borsheim | G |
| 38 | Isak Helstad Amundsen | D |
| 4 | Fredrik Holmé | D |
| 28 | Solomon Owusu | D |
| 16 | Daniel Eid | M |
| 6 | Samuel Leach Holm | M |
| 14 | Max Nilsson | M |
| 13 | Sondre Sørløkk | M |
| 7 | Benjamin Faraas | F |
| 23 | Henrik Langaas Skogvold | F |
| 9 | Salim Laghzaoui | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Oystein Ovretveit | G |
| 12 | Ulrik Fredriksen | D |
| 5 | Simen Rafn | D |
| 19 | Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem | D |
| 24 | Leonard Owusu | M |
| 21 | Jakub Jezierski | M |
| 29 | Gabriel Wesseh | M |
| 18 | Bryan Fiabema | F |
| 10 | Johannes Núñez | F |
Lillestrom
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Hans Odegaard
12
Dahlberg
11
Elkær
47
Kristiansen
4
Garnås
3
Ottesen
29
Ibrahimaj
20
Vá
17
Kitolano
16
Melland
26
Paintsil
8
Gulbrandsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pontus Dahlberg | G |
| 3 | Sturla Ottesen | D |
| 4 | Espen Bjørnsen Garnås | D |
| 47 | Stian Kristiansen | D |
| 11 | Frederik Elkær | D |
| 29 | Ylldren Ibrahimaj | M |
| 26 | Yaw Paintsil | M |
| 16 | Henrik Melland | M |
| 17 | Eric Kitolano | M |
| 20 | Felix Vá | M |
| 8 | Fredrik Gulbrandsen | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Daniel Bassi | F |
| 1 | Stephan Hagerup | G |
| 2 | Lars Ranger | D |
| 5 | Sander Moen Foss | D |
| 6 | Harald Woxen | M |
| 15 | Gustav Nordh | F |
| 25 | Seun Akanji | F |
| 10 | Thomas Lehne Olsen | F |