Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction
FT
Aker Stadion, Molde
AI call
Molde or draw
49%
26%
25%
Home Win · 1.68
Draw · 4.33
Away Win · 5.08
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction: Sportiko gives Molde a 49% chance of winning, Sarpsborg 08 FF 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 16:56.
Premium picks
Premium- Under 3.5 Goals 76% @ 1.78
- Home to Score 73%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
- Away to Score 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Sondre Milian Granaas
22'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
33'
Daniel Karlsbakk
assist: Claus Niyukuri
Eirik Hestad
Yellow Card
40'
▮
HT 1–1
⚽
1–2
52'
Andreas Hansen
Eirik Hestad
assist: Emil Breivik
56'
⚽
2–2
Daniel Daga
assist: Emil Breivik
60'
⚽
3–2
⇄
63'
Noa Williams
⇄ Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
⇄
63'
Andreas Hansen
⇄ Olaus Skarsem
Trent Kone Doherty
⇄ Jalal Abdullai
64'
⇄
Caleb Zady Sery
⇄ Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
64'
⇄
⇄
72'
Claus Niyukuri
⇄ Eirik Wichne
▮
74'
Sander Christiansen
Yellow Card
Martin Linnes
⇄ Mathias Løvik
74'
⇄
Daniel Daga
⇄ Mads Enggård
74'
⇄
⇄
81'
Sondre Sörli
⇄ Michael Opoku
⇄
81'
Aimar Sher
⇄ Camil Mmaee
Eirik Hestad
⇄ Seydina Mohamed Diop
87'
⇄
⚽
3–3
90'
Albert Posiadała
Own Goal
FT 3–3
Molde
Match Stats
Sarpsborg 08 FF
64%
Ball Possession
36%
1.54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
16
Total Shots
10
9
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
3
Blocked Shots
1
11
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
694
Total passes
391
601
Passes accurate
308
87%
Passes %
79%
-1.33
goals_prevented
-1.33
Molde
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Eirik Hestad M | 8.3 | 87' | 1 | – | 1 | 48 (40%) | 2 |
| 23 Sondre Milian Granaas M | 7.9 | 95' | 1 | – | 1 | 62 (52%) | 2 |
| 21 Oskar Spiten-Nysæter F | 7.5 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 33 Birk Risa D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 109 (96%) | 2 |
| 10 Emil Breivik M | 7.2 | 95' | – | 2 | 3 | 63 (53%) | 2 |
| 20 Mads Enggård M | 7.2 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 25 Martin Linnes D | 6.9 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 49 (42%) | 5 |
| 24 Trent Kone Doherty F | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 4 Sivert Sira Hansen D | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 93 (85%) | 2 |
| 8 Mathias Løvik D | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 2 |
| 11 Caleb Zady Sery M | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | 3 |
| 29 Seydina Mohamed Diop F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 26 Samukelo Kabini D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 84 (74%) | 3 |
| 30 Daniel Daga M | 6.3 | 74' | 1 | – | 3 | 58 (56%) | 3 |
| 9 Jalal Abdullai F | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 22 Albert Posiadała G | 5.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | – |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Andreas Hansen M | 7.3 | 64' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 2 |
| 11 Daniel Karlsbakk F | 7.2 | 95' | 1 | – | 2 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 4 Bjorn Utvik D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 47 (40%) | 1 |
| 6 Aimar Sher M | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | 2 |
| 32 Eirik Wichne D | 6.9 | 23' | – | – | – | 15 (9%) | 2 |
| 77 Olaus Skarsem M | 6.9 | 31' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | 2 |
| 22 Victor Emanuel Halvorsen M | 6.6 | 31' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | – |
| 2 Marius Lode D | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 46 (39%) | 1 |
| 12 Claus Niyukuri D | 6.5 | 72' | – | 1 | – | 29 (24%) | 2 |
| 87 Leander Øy G | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 28 (13%) | – |
| 8 Sander Christiansen M | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 35 (29%) | – |
| 17 Noa Williams M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 7 Camil Mmaee M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 10 Sondre Sörli M | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 15 Michael Opoku M | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 21 Anders Hiim D | 5.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 53 (42%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (49%)
At a glance
Our lean
Molde or draw
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Molde
DWLDL
Sarpsborg 08 FF
DWDWW
Last 3 meetings
Molde · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
Molde currently holds a strong position in the Eliteserien, boasting a solid home record and a potent attacking lineup that has scored an average of 2.1 goals per match this season. Sarpsborg 08 FF, meanwhile, has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals per match. Molde's defense has been resilient, conceding just 0.9 goals per game, which could pose a challenge for Sarpsborg's offense. Expect Molde to leverage their attacking prowess and defensive stability to secure a vital three points in this matchup.
Live insights
90'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 3-3. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Molde leads 3-2. Win probability: 85.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.8%.
61'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 3-2. Molde win: 77.9%. BTTS: 100%.
57'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 50.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
52'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-2. Sarpsborg 08 FF win: 72.6%. BTTS: 100%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
49%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
25%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Molde
E. Breivik
7 gls
E. Hestad
6 gls
Sarpsborg 08 FF
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
Molde Wins
0
Draws
3
Sarpsborg 08 FF Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 2 - 1 | Molde |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1 - 0 | Molde |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Molde | 0 - 2 | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
Molde — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug | H Sarpsborg 08 FF | D | 3 - 3 |
| 26 Jul | A KFUM Oslo | W | 2 - 4 |
| 18 Jul | H Brann | L | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Jul | A Aalesund | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Jul | A Rosenborg | L | 2 - 1 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug | A Molde | D | 3 - 3 |
| 26 Jul | H Ham-Kam | W | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Jul | A Kristiansund BK | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Jul | H Viking | W | 1 - 0 |
| 29 May | A Brann | W | 1 - 2 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | +30 | 38 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | +23 | 37 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |
Lillestrom
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 25 |
| 5 |
Molde
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |
Ham-Kam
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 |
Valerenga
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 |
Rosenborg
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |
KFUM Oslo
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 |
Fredrikstad
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 |
Sandefjord
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |
Start
|
16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 |
Molde
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland
22
Posiadała
26
Kabini
33
Risa
4
Hansen
25
Linnes
30
Daga
10
Breivik
11
Sery
23
Granaas
5
Hestad
24
Doherty
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Albert Posiadała | G |
| 25 | Martin Linnes | D |
| 4 | Sivert Sira Hansen | D |
| 33 | Birk Risa | D |
| 26 | Samukelo Kabini | D |
| 10 | Emil Breivik | M |
| 30 | Daniel Daga | M |
| 5 | Eirik Hestad | M |
| 23 | Sondre Milian Granaas | M |
| 11 | Caleb Zady Sery | M |
| 24 | Trent Kone Doherty | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Oskar Spiten-Nysæter | F |
| 9 | Jalal Abdullai | F |
| 12 | Peder Hoel Lervik | G |
| 8 | Mathias Løvik | D |
| 52 | Daniel Bayam Sylte | D |
| 20 | Mads Enggård | M |
| 28 | Viktor Bender | M |
| 6 | Niklas Odegard | M |
| 29 | Seydina Mohamed Diop | F |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Even Sel
87
Øy
21
Hiim
2
Lode
4
Utvik
12
Niyukuri
6
Sher
8
Christiansen
17
Williams
33
Hansen
10
Sörli
11
Karlsbakk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 87 | Leander Øy | G |
| 12 | Claus Niyukuri | D |
| 4 | Bjorn Utvik | D |
| 2 | Marius Lode | D |
| 21 | Anders Hiim | D |
| 8 | Sander Christiansen | M |
| 6 | Aimar Sher | M |
| 10 | Sondre Sörli | M |
| 33 | Andreas Hansen | M |
| 17 | Noa Williams | M |
| 11 | Daniel Karlsbakk | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | M |
| 77 | Olaus Skarsem | M |
| 32 | Eirik Wichne | D |
| 13 | Carljohan Eriksson | G |
| 50 | Magnus Mevik Eidal | D |
| 81 | Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn | M |
| 15 | Michael Opoku | M |
| 18 | Bop Guèye | M |
| 7 | Camil Mmaee | M |