Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord Prediction
FT
AI call
Fredrikstad or draw
43%
30%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord prediction: Sportiko gives Fredrikstad a 43% chance of winning, Sandefjord 26% and the draw 30%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 15:58.
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Timeline
⇄
10'
Marcus Melchior
⇄ Jakob Vester
O. Øhlenschlæger
Yellow Card
26'
▮
F. Holmé
assist: M. Nilsson
39'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
S. Owusu
⇄ Isak Helstad Amundsen
46'
⇄
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
⇄ S. Rafn
64'
⇄
B. Thoresen
⇄ Gabriel Wesseh
64'
⇄
⇄
70'
Sander Risan Mörk
⇄ Daniel Skaarud
⇄
70'
Bendik Berntsen
⇄ Foster Apetorgbor
⇄
70'
Evangelos Patoulidis
⇄ Jakob Maslo Dunsby
O. Øhlenschlæger
⇄ L. Owusu
76'
⇄
M. Nilsson
⇄ Jakub Jezierski
88'
⇄
⇄
89'
Xander Lambrix
⇄ Hakon Krogelien
FT 1–0
Fredrikstad
Match Stats
Sandefjord
38%
Ball Possession
62%
1.42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
14
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots off Goal
5
2
Blocked Shots
8
9
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
8
6
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
371
Total passes
615
301
Passes accurate
548
81%
Passes %
89%
0.61
goals_prevented
0.61
Fredrikstad
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 F. Holmé D | 9.2 | 94' | 1 | – | 2 | 46 (42%) | – |
| 19 Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem D | 7.5 | 64' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | 4 |
| 7 B. Thoresen F | 7.3 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | – |
| 14 M. Nilsson M | 7.0 | 88' | – | 1 | – | 44 (36%) | – |
| 12 U. Fredriksen D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 2 |
| 20 O. Øhlenschlæger M | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 28 (28%) | 3 |
| 77 M. Børsheim G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 33 (21%) | – |
| 16 D. Eid M | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 1 |
| 24 L. Owusu M | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 28 S. Owusu D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
| 38 Isak Helstad Amundsen D | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | – |
| 29 Gabriel Wesseh M | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 23 H. Skogvold F | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 19 (11%) | 1 |
| 5 S. Rafn D | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 9 S. Laghzaoui F | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 21 Jakub Jezierski M | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
Sandefjord
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Elias Hadaya G | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | – |
| 6 Sander Risan Mörk M | 7.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 73 (69%) | 1 |
| 14 Edvard Pettersen M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 35 (30%) | 4 |
| 44 Xander Lambrix D | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | – | 101 (90%) | 1 |
| 13 Rasmus Holten D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 104 (94%) | – |
| 19 Bendik Berntsen M | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 27 Jakob Maslo Dunsby F | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 24 Sebastian Holm Mathisen F | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 17 Foster Apetorgbor F | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 4 Fredrik Carson Pedersen D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 63 (57%) | 1 |
| 20 Marcus Melchior M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 32 Daniel Skaarud F | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 37 Jakob Vester M | 6.5 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | 1 |
| 3 Vetle Walle Egeli D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 79 (70%) | 2 |
| 7 Evangelos Patoulidis M | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 27 (24%) | – |
| 16 Hakon Krogelien D | — | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Fredrikstad or draw
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Fredrikstad
DWDLW
Sandefjord
WLDDW
Last 3 meetings
Fredrikstad · 1W 2D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eliteserien clash, Fredrikstad faces Sandefjord, with both teams aiming to secure vital points. Fredrikstad has shown a solid home record this season, capitalizing on defensive stability, having conceded only 10 goals in their last 10 matches. Sandefjord, on the other hand, struggles on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their defensive setup. The match could hinge on Fredrikstad's ability to exploit Sandefjord's away form, making set pieces and counter-attacks crucial for both sides.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
1
Fredrikstad Wins
2
Draws
0
Sandefjord Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | Sandefjord | 1 - 1 | Fredrikstad |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sandefjord | 0 - 0 | Fredrikstad |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Fredrikstad | 3 - 1 | Sandefjord |
Fredrikstad — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Valerenga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | A Stjørdals-Blink | W | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Sarpsborg 08 FF | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Bodo/Glimt | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | A Lillestrom | W | 1 - 4 |
Sandefjord — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Start | W | 3 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | A Bodo/Glimt | L | 3 - 2 |
| 04 Sep | H Viking | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brann | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Aug | A Sarpsborg 08 FF | W | 1 - 2 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | +34 | 50 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 50 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 38 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 36 |
| 5 |
Rosenborg
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |
Lillestrom
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 |
Sandefjord
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 |
Valerenga
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 |
Start
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 |
Fredrikstad
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Andreas Hagen
77
Borsheim
19
Yrga-Alem
12
Fredriksen
4
Holmé
28
Owusu
20
Øhlenschlaeger
14
Nilsson
16
Eid
9
Laghzaoui
23
Skogvold
7
Faraas
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Martin Borsheim | G |
| 28 | Solomon Owusu | D |
| 4 | Fredrik Holmé | D |
| 12 | Ulrik Fredriksen | D |
| 19 | Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem | D |
| 16 | Daniel Eid | M |
| 14 | Max Nilsson | M |
| 20 | Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | M |
| 7 | Benjamin Faraas | F |
| 23 | Henrik Langaas Skogvold | F |
| 9 | Salim Laghzaoui | F |
Substitutes
| 38 | Isak Helstad Amundsen | D |
| 5 | Simen Rafn | D |
| 29 | Gabriel Wesseh | M |
| 1 | Oystein Ovretveit | G |
| 3 | Aleksander Andresen | D |
| 21 | Jakub Jezierski | M |
| 6 | Samuel Leach Holm | M |
| 24 | Leonard Owusu | M |
| 10 | Johannes Núñez | F |
Sandefjord
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
30
Hadaya
3
Egeli
44
Lambrix
13
Holten
4
Pedersen
6
Mörk
19
Berntsen
20
Melchior
14
Pettersen
7
Patoulidis
24
Mathisen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Elias Hadaya | G |
| 4 | Fredrik Carson Pedersen | D |
| 13 | Rasmus Holten | D |
| 44 | Xander Lambrix | D |
| 3 | Vetle Walle Egeli | D |
| 6 | Sander Risan Mörk | M |
| 7 | Evangelos Patoulidis | M |
| 14 | Edvard Pettersen | M |
| 20 | Marcus Melchior | M |
| 19 | Bendik Berntsen | M |
| 24 | Sebastian Holm Mathisen | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | Jakob Vester | M |
| 27 | Jakob Maslo Dunsby | F |
| 32 | Daniel Skaarud | F |
| 17 | Foster Apetorgbor | F |
| 1 | Alf Grønneberg | G |
| 2 | Martin Hellan | D |
| 31 | Henrik Skretteberg | D |
| 16 | Hakon Krogelien | D |
| 21 | Jakob Swift | M |