Aalesund vs Tromso Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Tromso win or draw
19%
25%
56%
Home Win · 3.70
Draw · 3.81
Away Win · 2.03
Aalesund vs Tromso prediction: Sportiko gives Aalesund a 19% chance of winning, Tromso 56% and the draw 25%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 16:58.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
▮
7'
Mathias Tonnessen
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
9'
David Edvardsson
assist: Troy Nyhammer
Isak Vadebu
Own Goal
42'
⚽
1–1
Henrik Melland
Goal Disallowed - video review
44'
🖵
HT 1–1
Simen Haram
46'
⇄
⚽
1–2
48'
Alexander Warneryd
⚽
1–3
55'
Alexander Warneryd
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
59'
⚽
2–3
⇄ Elias Heggland Myrlid
60'
⇄
Marius Andresen
⇄ Kristoffer Nessø
60'
⇄
⚽
2–4
69'
Alexander Warneryd
⇄
72'
Troy Nyhammer
Ólafur Guðmundsson
77'
⇄
Kristian Lonebu
⇄ Ivan Djantou
77'
⇄
⚽
2–5
81'
Heine Asen Larsen
assist: David Edvardsson
⇄
90'
Lars Olden Larsen
⇄ Jesper Andreas Grundt
⚽
2–6
90+2'
Own Goal
⇄
90+3'
Alexander Warneryd
⇄ Sander Innvær
⇄
90+4'
Heine Asen Larsen
⇄ Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
FT 2–6
Aalesund
Match Stats
Tromso
54%
Ball Possession
46%
2.58
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
22
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
6
10
Shots off Goal
4
9
Blocked Shots
2
15
Shots insidebox
9
7
Shots outsidebox
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
488
Total passes
450
415
Passes accurate
363
85%
Passes %
81%
-0.98
goals_prevented
-0.98
Aalesund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Endre Hjertager Osenbroch F | 8.9 | 92' | 1 | – | 1 | 44 (35%) | – |
| 6 Hakon Butli Hammer M | 7.3 | 60' | – | 1 | – | 23 (21%) | 2 |
| 18 Elias Kristoffersen Hagen M | 7.2 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 50 (47%) | 1 |
| 8 Henrik Melland M | 7.0 | 92' | – | – | 4 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 14 Uba Charles D | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 1 |
| 39 Kristian Lonebu F | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 20 Ivan Djantou F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Kristoffer Nessø M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 13 (13%) | – |
| 17 Elias Heggland Myrlid F | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 10 Mathias Kristensen M | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 2 Marius Andresen D | 6.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 4 Simen Haram D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 29 (20%) | – |
| 3 Ólafur Guðmundsson D | 5.9 | 77' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | 1 |
| 22 Emil Engqvist D | 5.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 72 (60%) | 1 |
| 25 Ulrik Syversen D | 5.7 | 47' | – | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | 3 |
| 1 Luca Podlech G | 5.2 | 92' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
Tromso
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Alexander Warneryd D | 9.0 | 92' | 3 | – | 3 | 27 (16%) | – |
| 5 David Edvardsson M | 8.9 | 92' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 (33%) | 4 |
| 22 Heine Asen Larsen F | 7.9 | 92' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 Jakob Haugaard G | 7.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 64 (46%) | – |
| 3 Mathias Tonnessen D | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 4 Vetle Skjaervik D | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 66 (63%) | – |
| 20 Ieltsin Camões F | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 11 Ruben Jenssen M | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | – |
| 7 Lars Olden Larsen M | 6.3 | 89' | – | 1 | 1 | 28 (24%) | 2 |
| 30 Isak Vadebu D | 6.2 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 44 (32%) | 3 |
| 10 Troy Nyhammer F | 6.2 | 72' | – | 1 | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 17 Isak Dahlqvist D | 6.2 | 92' | – | 1 | – | 24 (14%) | 3 |
| 8 Jesper Andreas Grundt M | — | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on Aalesund vs Tromso
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Value Edge — model vs market
- Live in-play co-pilot
Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Tromso win or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Aalesund
LDLDD
Tromso
WWLLW
Last 3 meetings
Aalesund · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Aalesund currently sits in the mid-table of the Eliteserien, having displayed a solid home record this season with a high goal-scoring rate, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home. Tromsø, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, showing inconsistencies in both defense and attack, with only 1.0 goals per game away from home. Aalesund's offensive strength could exploit Tromsø's defensive vulnerabilities, leading to a potentially favorable outcome for the hosts. However, Tromsø must capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Aalesund's backline effectively. Overall, Aalesund will look to maintain pressure and control the match.
Live insights
90'
Goal
85% sure
Tromso now leads 2-6 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
88'
time check
80% sure
Min 88: Tromso leads 2-5. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
83'
Goal
85% sure
Tromso now leads 2-5 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 17.2%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Tromso leads 2-4. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.
70'
Goal
85% sure
Tromso now leads 2-4 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 38.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
19%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
56%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Aalesund
K. Lonebu
5 gls
Tromso
H. Larsen
7 gls
J. Hjertø-Dahl
7 gls
A. Warneryd
5 gls
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Aalesund vs Tromso
1
Aalesund Wins
1
Draws
1
Tromso Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | Tromso | 1 - 1 | Aalesund |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Tromso | 1 - 2 | Aalesund |
| 11 Jun 2023 | Aalesund | 2 - 3 | Tromso |
Aalesund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug | H Tromso | L | 2 - 6 |
| 26 Jul | H Viking | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Jul | A Valerenga | L | 6 - 1 |
| 11 Jul | H Molde | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 May | H Ham-Kam | D | 2 - 2 |
Tromso — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A CFR 1907 Cluj | W | 0 - 5 |
| 02 Aug | A Aalesund | W | 2 - 6 |
| 30 Jul | A Hradec Králové | L | 3 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | H Hradec Králové | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Jul | A Ham-Kam | W | 1 - 4 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | +30 | 38 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | +23 | 37 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |
Lillestrom
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 25 |
| 5 |
Molde
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |
Ham-Kam
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 |
Valerenga
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 |
Rosenborg
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |
KFUM Oslo
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 |
Fredrikstad
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 |
Sandefjord
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |
Start
|
16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 |
Tromso
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Jorgen Vik
1
Haugaard
29
Warneryd
30
Vadebu
3
Tonnessen
4
Skjaervik
17
Dahlqvist
22
Larsen
11
Jenssen
5
Edvardsson
7
Larsen
10
Nyhammer
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jakob Haugaard | G |
| 17 | Isak Dahlqvist | D |
| 4 | Vetle Skjaervik | D |
| 3 | Mathias Tonnessen | D |
| 30 | Isak Vadebu | D |
| 29 | Alexander Warneryd | D |
| 5 | David Edvardsson | M |
| 11 | Ruben Jenssen | M |
| 22 | Heine Asen Larsen | M |
| 10 | Troy Nyhammer | F |
| 7 | Lars Olden Larsen | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Ole Lauvli | G |
| 27 | Mads Mikkelsen | M |
| 25 | Casper Öyvann | D |
| 37 | Sander Innvær | M |
| 16 | Benjamin Myrvold | D |
| 8 | Jesper Andreas Grundt | M |
| 9 | Daniel Braut | F |
| 19 | Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu | M |
| 20 | Ieltsin Camões | F |
Aalesund
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
1
Podlech
14
Charles
3
Guðmundsson
22
Engqvist
4
Haram
2
Andresen
8
Melland
18
Hagen
6
Hammer
15
Osenbroch
39
Lonebu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luca Podlech | G |
| 2 | Marius Andresen | D |
| 4 | Simen Haram | D |
| 22 | Emil Engqvist | D |
| 3 | Ólafur Guðmundsson | D |
| 14 | Uba Charles | D |
| 6 | Hakon Butli Hammer | M |
| 18 | Elias Kristoffersen Hagen | M |
| 8 | Henrik Melland | M |
| 39 | Kristian Lonebu | F |
| 15 | Endre Hjertager Osenbroch | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Tor Erik Larsen | G |
| 45 | Philip Sandvik Aukland | D |
| 7 | Kristoffer Nessø | M |
| 16 | Jakob Nyland Örsahl | D |
| 25 | Ulrik Syversen | D |
| 10 | Mathias Kristensen | M |
| 11 | Davíð Snær Jóhannsson | M |
| 17 | Elias Heggland Myrlid | F |
| 20 | Ivan Djantou | F |