Valerenga vs Aalesund Prediction
FT
Intility Arena, Oslo
AI call
Difficult Valerenga win or draw
56%
28%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Valerenga vs Aalesund prediction: Sportiko gives Valerenga a 56% chance of winning, Aalesund 16% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.
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Valerenga
Match Stats
Aalesund
45%
Ball Possession
55%
2.26
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
21
Total Shots
18
9
Shots on Goal
6
9
Shots off Goal
8
3
Blocked Shots
4
10
Shots insidebox
11
11
Shots outsidebox
7
8
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
4
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
372
Total passes
460
299
Passes accurate
370
80%
Passes %
80%
-1.69
goals_prevented
-1.69
Valerenga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Filip Thorvaldsen F | 10.0 | 72' | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 77 Lucas Haren M | 8.9 | 58' | 2 | – | 3 | 7 (6%) | 4 |
| 8 Henrik Bjørdal M | 8.7 | 87' | – | 3 | 3 | 45 (37%) | 3 |
| 55 Sebastian Jarl D | 7.7 | 87' | – | – | – | 48 (37%) | 2 |
| 29 Ambina Fidèle Brice M | 7.5 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 32 (29%) | 6 |
| 2 Kolbeinn Finnsson D | 7.3 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | 7 |
| 7 Mohamed Ofkir M | 7.3 | 15' | 1 | – | 2 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 17 Mathias Grundetjern F | 7.2 | 72' | – | 1 | 1 | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 1 Oscar Hedvall G | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 26 (13%) | – |
| 4 Aaron Kiil Olsen D | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | – |
| 37 Ivan Näsberg D | 6.7 | 87' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | – |
| 24 Petter Strand M | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 9 Gabriel Rajkovic F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 10 Carl Lange M | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | – | 31 (23%) | 2 |
| 5 Kevin Tshiembe D | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 28 Magnus Westergaard M | — | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Aalesund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Endre Hjertager Osenbroch F | 8.3 | 87' | 1 | – | 3 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 21 Mathias Christensen M | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | 4 | 52 (47%) | 2 |
| 6 Hakon Butli Hammer M | 6.6 | 42' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | 2 |
| 18 Elias Kristoffersen Hagen M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 5 Aleksander Kjelsen D | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 22 Emil Engqvist D | 6.3 | 42' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 3 Ólafur Guðmundsson D | 6.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 65 (52%) | 4 |
| 39 Kristian Lonebu F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 17 Elias Heggland Myrlid F | 6.2 | 42' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 14 Uba Charles D | 5.9 | 87' | – | 1 | 1 | 28 (20%) | – |
| 4 Simen Haram D | 5.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (24%) | – |
| 25 Ulrik Syversen D | 5.3 | 59' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | – |
| 8 Henrik Melland M | 5.2 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 35 (25%) | – |
| 26 Tor Erik Larsen G | 5.0 | 87' | – | – | – | 33 (21%) | – |
| 7 Kristoffer Nessø D | 4.9 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 37 (28%) | 1 |
| 20 Ivan Djantou F | — | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Valerenga win or draw
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Valerenga
DWLDL
Aalesund
WWLWL
Last 3 meetings
Valerenga · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
Valerenga faces off against Aalesund in this Eliteserien clash. Valerenga has demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Aalesund has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Both teams have experienced fluctuations in form, but Valerenga's home record indicates a slight edge. Key players to watch include Valerenga's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Aalesund's midfield playmaker, who contributes significantly to their attack. Overall, this match could hinge on Valerenga's ability to exploit Aalesund's defensive vulnerabilities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Valerenga
L. Haren
8 gls
C. Lange
6 gls
Aalesund
M. Christensen
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Valerenga vs Aalesund
2
Valerenga Wins
1
Draws
0
Aalesund Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Aalesund | 5 - 5 | Valerenga |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Valerenga | 3 - 1 | Aalesund |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Aalesund | 0 - 1 | Valerenga |
Valerenga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Fredrikstad | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Skeid | W | 1 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | A Lillestrom | L | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Sarpsborg 08 FF | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Molde | L | 3 - 4 |
Aalesund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Molde | W | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | A Førde | W | 3 - 4 |
| 13 Sep | A KFUM Oslo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Start | W | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Viking | L | 2 - 1 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | +34 | 50 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 50 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 38 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 36 |
| 5 |
Rosenborg
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |
Lillestrom
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 |
Sandefjord
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 |
Valerenga
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 |
Start
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 |
Valerenga
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Johannes Moesgaard
1
Hedvall
2
Finnsson
37
Näsberg
4
Olsen
55
Jarl
10
Lange
77
Haren
29
Brice
8
Bjørdal
17
Grundetjern
26
Thorvaldsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oscar Hedvall | G |
| 55 | Sebastian Jarl | D |
| 4 | Aaron Kiil Olsen | D |
| 37 | Ivan Näsberg | D |
| 2 | Kolbeinn Finnsson | D |
| 8 | Henrik Bjørdal | M |
| 29 | Ambina Fidèle Brice | M |
| 77 | Lucas Haren | M |
| 10 | Carl Lange | M |
| 26 | Filip Thorvaldsen | F |
| 17 | Mathias Grundetjern | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | Petter Strand | M |
| 5 | Kevin Tshiembe | D |
| 7 | Mohamed Ofkir | M |
| 9 | Gabriel Rajkovic | F |
| 30 | Alexander Svensen Ordal | G |
| 3 | Hakon Sjatil | D |
| 6 | Vegar Eggen Hedenstad | D |
| 28 | Magnus Westergaard | M |
| 19 | Promise Meliga | F |
Aalesund
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
26
Larsen
7
Nessø
3
Guðmundsson
5
Kjelsen
4
Haram
14
Charles
8
Melland
18
Hagen
21
Christensen
39
Lonebu
15
Osenbroch
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Tor Erik Larsen | G |
| 14 | Uba Charles | D |
| 4 | Simen Haram | D |
| 5 | Aleksander Kjelsen | D |
| 3 | Ólafur Guðmundsson | D |
| 7 | Kristoffer Nessø | D |
| 21 | Mathias Christensen | M |
| 18 | Elias Kristoffersen Hagen | M |
| 8 | Henrik Melland | M |
| 15 | Endre Hjertager Osenbroch | F |
| 39 | Kristian Lonebu | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Ulrik Syversen | D |
| 22 | Emil Engqvist | D |
| 6 | Hakon Butli Hammer | M |
| 17 | Elias Heggland Myrlid | F |
| 1 | Luca Podlech | G |
| 16 | Jakob Nyland Örsahl | D |
| 2 | Marius Andresen | D |
| 45 | Philip Sandvik Aukland | D |
| 20 | Ivan Djantou | F |