Tromso vs Valerenga Prediction
FT
Romssa Arena, Tromsø
AI call
Tromso to win or draw
65%
24%
11%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Tromso vs Valerenga prediction: Sportiko gives Tromso a 65% chance of winning, Valerenga 11% and the draw 24%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.
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- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
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Timeline
12'
⚽
1–0
22'
⚽
2–0
45+2'
⚽
3–0
HT 3–0
⇄
60'
67'
⇄
67'
⇄
⇄
72'
⇄
73'
Yellow Card
74'
▮
75'
⇄
75'
⇄
80'
⚽
4–0
81'
⇄
⇄
82'
⇄
82'
▮
86'
Yellow Card
FT 4–0
Tromso
Match Stats
Valerenga
38%
Ball Possession
62%
1.39
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
13
Total Shots
18
8
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
6
1
Blocked Shots
9
7
Shots insidebox
12
6
Shots outsidebox
6
4
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
407
Total passes
639
328
Passes accurate
556
81%
Passes %
87%
-1.55
goals_prevented
-1.55
Tromso
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Heine Asen Larsen F | 8.2 | 67' | 2 | – | 4 | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 37 Sander Innvær D | 8.0 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | 3 |
| 6 Jens Hjertø-Dahl M | 8.0 | 75' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (22%) | 1 |
| 10 Troy Nyhammer M | 7.9 | 23' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 21 Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (46%) | – |
| 5 David Edvardsson M | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 43 (37%) | 4 |
| 4 Vetle Skjaervik D | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 45 (34%) | 2 |
| 30 Isak Vadebu D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (53%) | 3 |
| 11 Ruben Jenssen M | 7.3 | 67' | – | 1 | – | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 1 Jakob Haugaard G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (26%) | – |
| 3 Mathias Tonnessen D | 7.0 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 2 Leo Cornic D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 14 Sigurd Prestmo F | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 Lars Olden Larsen F | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | – |
| 9 Daniel Braut F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 8 Jesper Andreas Grundt M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
Valerenga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Henrik Bjørdal F | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (62%) | 1 |
| 29 Ambina Fidèle Brice M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 76 (69%) | 5 |
| 55 Sebastian Jarl D | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 24 Petter Strand M | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | – | 37 (34%) | 2 |
| 77 Lucas Haren M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 4 Aaron Kiil Olsen D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 97 (84%) | 1 |
| 28 Magnus Westergaard M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | 1 |
| 10 Carl Lange M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (56%) | – |
| 17 Mathias Grundetjern F | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 37 Ivan Näsberg D | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 59 (52%) | 1 |
| 7 Mohamed Ofkir M | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 5 Kevin Tshiembe D | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 9 Gabriel Rajkovic F | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 1 Oscar Hedvall G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | – |
| 2 Kolbeinn Finnsson D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 2 |
| 3 Hakon Sjatil D | 5.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 57 (52%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (65%)
At a glance
Our lean
Tromso to win or draw
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Tromso
WWLLD
Valerenga
DWLDL
Last 3 meetings
Tromso · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eliteserien clash, Tromsø will face Valerenga on July 12, 2026. Tromsø currently sits mid-table, showcasing a solid home record with a strong defensive unit, allowing only 1.2 goals per match. Valerenga, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per away game. Key players to watch include Tromsø’s top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Valerenga's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. Tactical battles in midfield could be crucial in determining the match outcome.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
65%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
11%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Tromso
H. Larsen
10 gls
J. Hjertø-Dahl
7 gls
Valerenga
L. Haren
8 gls
C. Lange
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Tromso vs Valerenga
1
Tromso Wins
1
Draws
1
Valerenga Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct 2025 | Valerenga | 1 - 0 | Tromso |
| 31 May 2025 | Tromso | 2 - 1 | Valerenga |
| 03 Dec 2023 | Valerenga | 1 - 1 | Tromso |
Tromso — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Ham-Kam | W | 3 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | A Alta | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Rosenborg | L | 5 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Kristiansund BK | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Sarpsborg 08 FF | D | 0 - 0 |
Valerenga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Fredrikstad | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Skeid | W | 1 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | A Lillestrom | L | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Sarpsborg 08 FF | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Molde | L | 3 - 4 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | +34 | 50 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 50 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 38 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 36 |
| 5 |
Rosenborg
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |
Lillestrom
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 |
Sandefjord
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 |
Valerenga
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 |
Start
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 |
Tromso
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Jorgen Vik
1
Haugaard
37
Innvær
30
Vadebu
21
Guddal
4
Skjaervik
2
Cornic
6
Hjertø-Dahl
11
Jenssen
5
Edvardsson
22
Larsen
7
Larsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jakob Haugaard | G |
| 2 | Leo Cornic | D |
| 4 | Vetle Skjaervik | D |
| 21 | Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal | D |
| 30 | Isak Vadebu | D |
| 37 | Sander Innvær | D |
| 5 | David Edvardsson | M |
| 11 | Ruben Jenssen | M |
| 6 | Jens Hjertø-Dahl | M |
| 7 | Lars Olden Larsen | F |
| 22 | Heine Asen Larsen | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | Troy Nyhammer | M |
| 9 | Daniel Braut | F |
| 3 | Mathias Tonnessen | D |
| 14 | Sigurd Prestmo | F |
| 8 | Jesper Andreas Grundt | M |
| 12 | Ole Lauvli | G |
| 27 | Mads Mikkelsen | M |
| 19 | Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu | M |
Valerenga
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Johannes Moesgaard
1
Hedvall
2
Finnsson
37
Näsberg
4
Olsen
3
Sjatil
24
Strand
10
Lange
29
Brice
28
Westergaard
17
Grundetjern
8
Bjørdal
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oscar Hedvall | G |
| 3 | Hakon Sjatil | D |
| 4 | Aaron Kiil Olsen | D |
| 37 | Ivan Näsberg | D |
| 2 | Kolbeinn Finnsson | D |
| 28 | Magnus Westergaard | M |
| 29 | Ambina Fidèle Brice | M |
| 10 | Carl Lange | M |
| 24 | Petter Strand | M |
| 8 | Henrik Bjørdal | F |
| 17 | Mathias Grundetjern | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | Mohamed Ofkir | M |
| 77 | Lucas Haren | M |
| 5 | Kevin Tshiembe | D |
| 55 | Sebastian Jarl | D |
| 9 | Gabriel Rajkovic | F |
| 30 | Alexander Svensen Ordal | G |
| 6 | Vegar Eggen Hedenstad | D |
| 22 | Stian Sjøvold Thorstensen | M |
| 90 | Ole Christian Saeter | F |