Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom Prediction

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 13

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Lillestrom

Away

AI call Lillestrom or draw

32%

34%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom prediction: Sportiko gives Fredrikstad a 32% chance of winning, Lillestrom 35% and the draw 34%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Home or Draw 74%

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Timeline

▮ 15'

M. Karlsbakk Yellow Card

FT 0–2

Fredrikstad

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
F. Holmé	6.9	20'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
O. Øhlenschlæger	6.8	20'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	1
M. Børsheim	6.8	20'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
D. Eid	6.7	20'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
U. Fredriksen	6.6	20'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
S. Rafn	6.6	20'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
H. Skogvold	6.5	20'	–	–	1	8 (4%)	–
F. Ghebreyohannes	6.5	20'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
B. Thoresen	6.4	20'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	–
M. Nilsson	6.3	20'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	–
S. Laghzaoui	6.1	20'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

Lillestrom

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
R. Gabrielsen	6.8	20'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
F. Elkær	6.7	20'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
P. Dahlberg	6.7	20'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
S. Drammeh	6.5	20'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
S. Ottesen	6.4	20'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	–
M. Karlsbakk	6.3	20'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	–
T. Lehne Olsen	6.2	20'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
Y. Ibrahimaj	6.1	20'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Our lean

Lillestrom or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Fredrikstad

DWDLW

Lillestrom

LLWWL

Last 3 meetings Fredrikstad · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eliteserien match, Fredrikstad faces Lillestrom, each team bringing distinct strengths. Fredrikstad has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Lillestrom's attacking unit boasts a higher goal average of 1.8 per match. Both teams will aim to capitalize on their respective tactical styles, with Fredrikstad likely focusing on a structured defense against Lillestrom's fluid attacking play. The match could hinge on individual performances, particularly in midfield, where control of possession will be crucial.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

45%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

35%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lillestrom goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	11	7	3	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	6	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Fredrikstad goals · most likely 1–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Fredrikstad

No scorer data.

Lillestrom

F. Gulbrandsen 6 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Draw

34%

Home Win

32%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Draw

34%

Home Win

32%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

52% Away (No Draw) 48% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 34% Equal Goals 32% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.0%	11.5%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
1	10.8%	15.3%	7.3%	2.6%	0.7%
2	6.4%	6.9%	3.7%	1.3%	0.4%
3	2.2%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fredrikstad	Draw	Lillestrom
Fredrikstad	18.3%	4.1%	1.5%
Draw	13.1%	23.0%	14.1%
Lillestrom	1.4%	4.2%	20.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom

3 Fredrikstad Wins

0 Draws

0 Lillestrom Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Lillestrom	1 - 4	Fredrikstad
20 Oct 2024	Fredrikstad	2 - 1	Lillestrom
20 May 2024	Lillestrom	0 - 3	Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valerenga	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Stjørdals-Blink	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	H Sarpsborg 08 FF	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Lillestrom	W	1 - 4

Lillestrom — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Viking	L	3 - 0
17 Sep	H Torreense	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Valerenga	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Brann	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Fredrikstad	L	1 - 4

Eliteserien Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	54	20	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	53	19	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	39	32	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	24	29	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	25	35	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	21	27	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	-9	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	-13	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	-22	16

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.