Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom Prediction

Eliteserien Eliteserien · Regular Season - 13
FT
Post on X
AI call Lillestrom or draw
32%
34%
35%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom prediction: Sportiko gives Fredrikstad a 32% chance of winning, Lillestrom 35% and the draw 34%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Timeline

▮ 15'
M. Karlsbakk Yellow Card
FT 0–2
Fredrikstad
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
F. Holmé 6.9 20' – – – 9 (8%) –
O. Øhlenschlæger 6.8 20' – – – 10 (7%) 1
M. Børsheim 6.8 20' – – – 8 (6%) –
D. Eid 6.7 20' – – – 11 (10%) –
U. Fredriksen 6.6 20' – – – 12 (10%) –
S. Rafn 6.6 20' – – – 10 (9%) –
H. Skogvold 6.5 20' – – 1 8 (4%) –
F. Ghebreyohannes 6.5 20' – – – 6 (6%) –
B. Thoresen 6.4 20' – – 1 9 (7%) –
M. Nilsson 6.3 20' – – 1 11 (9%) –
S. Laghzaoui 6.1 20' – – – 3 (3%) –
Lillestrom
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
R. Gabrielsen 6.8 20' – – – 16 (14%) –
F. Elkær 6.7 20' – – – 12 (10%) –
P. Dahlberg 6.7 20' – – – 10 (7%) –
S. Drammeh 6.5 20' – – – 3 (1%) –
S. Ottesen 6.4 20' – – – 15 (11%) –
M. Karlsbakk 6.3 20' – – 1 8 (5%) –
T. Lehne Olsen 6.2 20' – – 1 2 (2%) –
Y. Ibrahimaj 6.1 20' – – – 14 (13%) –
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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Our lean
Lillestrom or draw
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Fredrikstad
LWLLD
Lillestrom
LWWWL
Last 3 meetings Fredrikstad · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eliteserien match, Fredrikstad faces Lillestrom, each team bringing distinct strengths. Fredrikstad has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Lillestrom's attacking unit boasts a higher goal average of 1.8 per match. Both teams will aim to capitalize on their respective tactical styles, with Fredrikstad likely focusing on a structured defense against Lillestrom's fluid attacking play. The match could hinge on individual performances, particularly in midfield, where control of possession will be crucial.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
45%
Draw
34%
45%
Away
35%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fredrikstad

No scorer data.

Lillestrom
Vá 8 gls
F. Gulbrandsen 7 gls

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Head to Head: Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom

3 Fredrikstad Wins
0 Draws
0 Lillestrom Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Aug 2026 Lillestrom 1 - 4 Fredrikstad
20 Oct 2024 Fredrikstad 2 - 1 Lillestrom
20 May 2024 Lillestrom 0 - 3 Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H Rosenborg L 0 - 3
28 Oct A Ranheim W 2 - 5
25 Oct A Molde L 5 - 1
17 Oct A Viking L 3 - 2
11 Oct H Tromso D 1 - 1

Lillestrom — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Plzen L 0 - 1
01 Nov A Start W 0 - 1
28 Oct H Sogndal W 2 - 1
25 Oct H Brann W 3 - 2
22 Oct H Real Sociedad L 0 - 6

Eliteserien Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Viking
25 19 2 4 +38 59
2
Bodo/Glimt
25 19 2 4 +38 59
3
Rosenborg
26 14 4 8 +21 46
4
Molde
25 13 4 8 +20 43
5
Lillestrom
25 13 3 9 +3 42
6
Tromso
25 11 7 7 +5 40
7
Brann
25 10 2 13 +3 32
8
Valerenga
25 9 5 11 -3 32
9
Sarpsborg 08 FF
25 8 7 10 -7 31
10
KFUM Oslo
25 8 7 10 -9 31
11
Fredrikstad
25 8 5 12 -15 29
12
Sandefjord
25 7 6 12 -8 27
13
Ham-Kam
25 7 6 12 -18 27
14
Aalesund
25 5 9 11 -14 24
15
Kristiansund BK
25 6 5 14 -22 23
16
Start
26 5 4 17 -32 19

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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