Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund Prediction

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Aalesund

Away

Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg

AI call Difficult Sarpsborg 08 FF win or draw

63%

25%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund prediction: Sportiko gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 63% chance of winning, Aalesund 12% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Sarpsborg 08 FF

LDDDL

Aalesund

WWLWL

Last 3 meetings Sarpsborg 08 FF · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eliteserien clash, Sarpsborg 08 FF will host Aalesund on July 4, 2026. Sarpsborg 08 has shown a solid home record, winning 60% of their games at home last season, while Aalesund struggles with away performances, managing only a 25% win rate on the road. Key players for Sarpsborg include their leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, while Aalesund will rely on their midfield to control the game tempo. Historical data suggests a slight advantage for Sarpsborg, having won three of their last five encounters against Aalesund. This match is critical for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

12%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aalesund goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	13	12	4	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Sarpsborg 08 FF goals · most likely 2–0 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Sarpsborg 08 FF

D. Karlsbakk 7 gls

Aalesund

M. Christensen 8 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

25%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

25%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	4.2%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	13.4%	11.5%	3.5%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.7%	9.4%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	8.4%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	3.9%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Draw	Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08 FF	41.2%	3.2%	0.7%
Draw	21.4%	16.2%	5.3%
Aalesund	2.2%	3.2%	6.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund

2 Sarpsborg 08 FF Wins

0 Draws

1 Aalesund Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Oct 2023	Aalesund	3 - 2	Sarpsborg 08 FF
29 May 2023	Sarpsborg 08 FF	3 - 1	Aalesund
11 Sep 2022	Aalesund	1 - 3	Sarpsborg 08 FF

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sarpsborg 08 FF — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H KFUM Oslo	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Fredrikstad	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Valerenga	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Tromso	D	0 - 0
16 Aug	H Sandefjord	L	1 - 2

Aalesund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Molde	W	1 - 2
16 Sep	A Førde	W	3 - 4
13 Sep	A KFUM Oslo	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Start	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Viking	L	2 - 1

Eliteserien Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	54	20	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	53	19	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	39	32	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	24	29	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	25	35	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	21	27	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	-9	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	-13	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	-22	16

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.