Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund Prediction
FT
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
AI call
Difficult Sarpsborg 08 FF win or draw
50%
24%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund prediction: Sportiko gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 50% chance of winning, Aalesund 26% and the draw 24%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 17:54.
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Timeline
Sigurd Rosted
Yellow Card
13'
▮
⚽
0–1
19'
Mathias Christensen
assist: Sander Erik Kartum
▮
35'
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Red Card
⇄
40'
Stefano Vecchia
⇄ Emil Engqvist
⇄
45'
I. Skotheim
⇄ P. Ngongo
P. Reinhardsen
⇄ Anders Hiim
45'
⇄
Noa Williams
⇄ Bop Guèye
45'
⇄
HT 0–1
▮
47'
Marius Andresen
Yellow Card
Bjorn Utvik
⇄ Marius Lode
62'
⇄
Sander Christiansen
⇄ Aimar Sher
62'
⇄
Eirik Wichne
⇄ Camil Mmaee Nwameben
79'
⇄
Daniel Karlsbakk
Yellow Card
80'
▮
⇄
84'
Marius Andresen
⇄ Aleksander Kjelsen
Camil Mmaee Nwameben
assist: Daniel Karlsbakk
85'
⚽
1–1
Anders Hiim
90+4'
⚽
2–1
FT 2–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Stats
Aalesund
72%
Ball Possession
28%
2.36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32
28
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Goal
2
13
Shots off Goal
3
12
Blocked Shots
2
23
Shots insidebox
2
5
Shots outsidebox
5
20
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
549
Total passes
223
477
Passes accurate
138
8
Free Kicks
10
Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Camil Mmaee Nwameben M | 7.8 | 11' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 32 Eirik Wichne D | 7.5 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 73 (64%) | 3 |
| 11 Daniel Karlsbakk F | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 5 | 14 (7%) | – |
| 77 Olaus Skarsem M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 72 (62%) | – |
| 4 Bjorn Utvik D | 7.0 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 50 (44%) | – |
| 10 Sondre Sörli M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 36 (32%) | – |
| 20 P. Reinhardsen D | 6.9 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 27 (25%) | – |
| 6 Aimar Sher M | 6.8 | 28' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | – |
| 24 Sigurd Rosted D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 77 (69%) | 1 |
| 21 Anders Hiim D | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | 2 |
| 18 Bop Guèye M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 4 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 2 Marius Lode D | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | – |
| 8 Sander Christiansen M | 6.5 | 62' | – | – | 3 | 41 (37%) | 1 |
| 87 Leander Øy G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 22 V. Halvorsen F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 35 (28%) | 1 |
| 17 Noa Williams M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
Aalesund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mathias Christensen M | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (14%) | – |
| 19 Sander Erik Kartum M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (10%) | 3 |
| 28 Cheick Mbacke Diop D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 14 Uba Charles D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | 6 |
| 18 Elias Kristoffersen Hagen M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (11%) | – |
| 8 I. Skotheim F | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 1 |
| 5 Aleksander Kjelsen D | 6.6 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 23 Stefano Vecchia F | 6.6 | 40' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 9 P. Ngongo F | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | – | 10 (4%) | 1 |
| 22 Emil Engqvist D | 6.5 | 50' | – | – | – | 10 (4%) | 1 |
| 2 Marius Andresen D | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | 2 |
| 7 Kristoffer Nessø D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (12%) | 3 |
| 1 Luca Podlech G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (15%) | – |
| 3 Ólafur Guðmundsson D | 5.7 | 35' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (50%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Sarpsborg 08 FF win or draw
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Sarpsborg 08 FF
LWWLW
Aalesund
LWLWL
Last 3 meetings
Sarpsborg 08 FF · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eliteserien clash, Sarpsborg 08 FF will host Aalesund on July 4, 2026. Sarpsborg 08 has shown a solid home record, winning 60% of their games at home last season, while Aalesund struggles with away performances, managing only a 25% win rate on the road. Key players for Sarpsborg include their leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, while Aalesund will rely on their midfield to control the game tempo. Historical data suggests a slight advantage for Sarpsborg, having won three of their last five encounters against Aalesund. This match is critical for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Sarpsborg 08 FF
No scorer data.
Aalesund
M. Christensen
11 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund
2
Sarpsborg 08 FF Wins
0
Draws
1
Aalesund Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Aalesund | 2 - 4 | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Aalesund | 3 - 2 | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
| 29 May 2023 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 3 - 1 | Aalesund |
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | H Kristiansund BK | L | 2 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | H Valerenga | W | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Aalesund | W | 2 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Rosenborg | L | 0 - 3 |
| 11 Oct | A Aalesund | W | 2 - 4 |
Aalesund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Sandefjord | L | 3 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | A Kristiansund BK | W | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Sarpsborg 08 FF | L | 2 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Kristiansund BK | W | 1 - 4 |
| 11 Oct | H Sarpsborg 08 FF | L | 2 - 4 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 26 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 61 | 23 | +38 | 59 |
| 3 |
Rosenborg
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 32 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 39 | +20 | 43 |
| 5 |
Lillestrom
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 |
Tromso
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 38 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Valerenga
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 |
Sandefjord
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |
Start
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 19 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: E. Sel
87
Øy
20
Reinhardsen
24
Rosted
4
Utvik
32
Wichne
17
Williams
77
Skarsem
8
Christiansen
10
Sørli
11
Karlsbakk
22
Halvorsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 87 | L. Øy | G |
| 32 | E. Wichne | D |
| 4 | B. Utvik | D |
| 24 | S. Rosted | D |
| 20 | P. Reinhardsen | D |
| 10 | S. Sørli | M |
| 8 | S. Christiansen | M |
| 77 | O. Skarsem | M |
| 17 | N. Williams | M |
| 22 | V. Halvorsen | F |
| 11 | D. Karlsbakk | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | Camil Mmaee Nwameben | M |
| 18 | Bop Gueye | M |
| 21 | A. Hiim | D |
| 5 | L. Høyland | D |
| 1 | J. Pryts | G |
| 2 | M. Lode | D |
| 33 | A. Nibe | M |
| 12 | C. Niyukuri | D |
| 6 | A. Sher | M |
Aalesund
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: K. Rekdal
1
Podlech
14
Charles
3
Guðmundsson
28
Mbacke
2
Andresen
7
Nessø
19
Kartum
18
Hagen
21
Christensen
23
Vecchia
8
Skotheim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luca Podlech | G |
| 7 | K. Nessø | D |
| 2 | M. Andresen | D |
| 28 | D. Mbacke | D |
| 3 | Ó. Guðmundsson | D |
| 14 | U. Charles | D |
| 21 | M. Christensen | M |
| 18 | E. Hagen | M |
| 19 | S. Kartum | M |
| 8 | I. Skotheim | F |
| 23 | S. Vecchia | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | E. Osenbroch | M |
| 16 | J. Ørsahl | D |
| 9 | P. Ngongo | F |
| 17 | E. Myrlid | F |
| 26 | T. Larsen | G |
| 5 | A. Hammer Kjelsen | D |
| 22 | E. Engqvist | D |
| 38 | T. Leikanger | M |