Rosenborg vs Aalesund Prediction
FT
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
AI call
Difficult Rosenborg win or draw
51%
26%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Rosenborg vs Aalesund prediction: Sportiko gives Rosenborg a 51% chance of winning, Aalesund 23% and the draw 26%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Amin Chiakha
assist: Mads Bomholt
3'
⚽
1–0
▮
5'
Kristoffer Klaesson
Yellow Card
⚽
1–1
29'
Kristian Lonebu
assist: Marius Andresen
Tomáš Nemčík
Yellow Card
39'
▮
HT 1–1
Ole Selnaes
⇄ Iver Fossum
46'
⇄
Jonas Mortensen
⇄ Adrian Nilsen Pereira
46'
⇄
⚽
1–2
50'
assist: Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
▮
55'
Mathias Christensen
Yellow Card
▮
66'
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Yellow Card
Simen Nordli
⇄ Dino Islamović
68'
⇄
Mads Bomholt
⇄ Noah Sahsah
68'
⇄
⇄
76'
⇄ Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Emil Konradsen Ceide
78'
⚽
2–2
⚽
2–3
80'
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
assist: Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
⇄
81'
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
⇄
81'
Marcus Haagensen Reed
⇄ Elias Heggland Myrlid
⇄
84'
Marius Andresen
⇄ Kristoffer Nessø
⇄ Dávid Ďuriš
88'
⇄
▮
90'
Uba Charles
Yellow Card
Dino Islamović
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
▮
90+3'
Aleksander Kjelsen
Yellow Card
▮
90+8'
Elias Heggland Myrlid
Yellow Card
FT 2–3
Rosenborg
Match Stats
Aalesund
67%
Ball Possession
33%
1.13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots off Goal
2
6
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
5
3
Shots outsidebox
4
11
Corner Kicks
0
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
6
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
515
Total passes
263
423
Passes accurate
175
82%
Passes %
67%
-0.33
goals_prevented
-0.33
Rosenborg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Ole Selnaes M | 8.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 46 (45%) | 2 |
| 35 Emil Konradsen Ceide M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 37 (31%) | – |
| 18 Amin Chiakha F | 6.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (9%) | 2 |
| 7 Simen Nordli F | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 6 Santeri Väänänen M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (48%) | 6 |
| 11 Noah Sahsah F | 6.9 | 22' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 2 |
| 8 Iver Fossum M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 34 (33%) | – |
| 9 Dino Islamović F | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 17 Mads Bomholt M | 6.6 | 68' | – | 1 | – | 23 (14%) | 3 |
| 3 Tobias Solheim Dahl D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (49%) | 2 |
| 21 Tomáš Nemčík D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 80 (71%) | 2 |
| 19 Adrian Nilsen Pereira D | 6.3 | 43' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 2 |
| 29 Dávid Ďuriš F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 2 Håkon Røsten D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 3 |
| 15 Jonas Mortensen D | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | 1 |
| 1 Leopold Wahlstedt G | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | – |
Aalesund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Marius Andresen D | 7.9 | 84' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (13%) | 4 |
| 15 Endre Hjertager Osenbroch M | 7.7 | 81' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 (12%) | 2 |
| 21 Mathias Christensen M | 6.9 | 76' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (7%) | – |
| 18 Elias Kristoffersen Hagen M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (23%) | 1 |
| 39 Kristian Lonebu F | 6.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 6 Hakon Butli Hammer M | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 11 Davíð Snær Jóhannsson M | 6.9 | 14' | – | 1 | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 5 Aleksander Kjelsen D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 7 Kristoffer Nessø M | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| 14 Uba Charles D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | 7 |
| 3 Ólafur Guðmundsson D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | 2 |
| 17 Elias Heggland Myrlid F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (1%) | – |
| 4 Simen Haram D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | 3 |
| 1 Kristoffer Klaesson G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 27 Marcus Haagensen Reed F | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Rosenborg win or draw
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Rosenborg
WWWWL
Aalesund
WWLWL
Last 3 meetings
Rosenborg · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eliteserien clash on May 16, 2026, Rosenborg will host Aalesund at Lerkendal Stadium. Historically, Rosenborg has a strong home advantage, boasting a win rate of over 70% in their last 10 home matches. Aalesund, however, has shown resilience, securing points in five of their last seven fixtures. Key players to watch will be Rosenborg’s forward, who leads the team in goals, and Aalesund’s midfield playmaker, who has been pivotal in creating scoring opportunities. Expect a competitive match, with Rosenborg likely favored due to their home form and historical dominance over Aalesund.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Rosenborg
Amin Chiakha
13 gls
Aalesund
M. Christensen
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Rosenborg vs Aalesund
2
Rosenborg Wins
0
Draws
1
Aalesund Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2023 | Rosenborg | 4 - 0 | Aalesund |
| 02 Jul 2023 | Aalesund | 1 - 0 | Rosenborg |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Rosenborg | 2 - 1 | Aalesund |
Rosenborg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Kristiansund BK | W | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Fløya | W | 1 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Tromso | W | 5 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | H Ham-Kam | W | 4 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Bodo/Glimt | L | 4 - 2 |
Aalesund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Molde | W | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | A Førde | W | 3 - 4 |
| 13 Sep | A KFUM Oslo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Start | W | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Viking | L | 2 - 1 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | +34 | 50 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 50 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 38 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 36 |
| 5 |
Rosenborg
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |
Lillestrom
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 |
Sandefjord
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 |
Valerenga
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 |
Start
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 |
Rosenborg
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Alfred Johansson
1
Wahlstedt
3
Dahl
21
Nemcik
2
Rosten
15
Mortensen
35
Ceide
10
Selnaes
6
Vaananen
17
Bomholt
7
Nordli
18
Chiakha
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Wahlstedt | G |
| 15 | J. Mortensen | D |
| 2 | H. Rosten | D |
| 21 | T. Nemcik | D |
| 3 | T. Dahl | D |
| 17 | M. Bomholt | M |
| 6 | S. Vaananen | M |
| 10 | O. Selnaes | M |
| 35 | E. K. Ceide | M |
| 18 | A. Chiakha | F |
| 7 | S. Nordli | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | R. Sandberg | G |
| 29 | D. Duris | F |
| 4 | M. K. Ceide | D |
| 8 | I. Fossum | M |
| 9 | D. Islamovic | F |
| 19 | A. Pereira | D |
| 25 | J. Bakke | M |
| 11 | N. Sahsah | F |
| 5 | H. Volden | D |
Aalesund
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
1
Klaesson
14
Charles
3
Gudmundsson
5
Kjelsen
4
Haram
2
Andresen
15
Osenbroch
18
Hagen
21
Christensen
27
Reed
39
Lonebu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Klaesson | G |
| 2 | M. Andresen | D |
| 4 | S. Haram | D |
| 5 | A. Kjelsen | - |
| 3 | O. Gudmundsson | D |
| 14 | U. Charles | D |
| 21 | M. Christensen | - |
| 18 | E. Hagen | M |
| 15 | E. Osenbroch | M |
| 39 | K. Lonebu | F |
| 27 | M. Reed | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | T. Larsen | G |
| 11 | D. Johannsson | M |
| 22 | E. Engqvist | D |
| 8 | H. Melland | M |
| 20 | I. Djantou | F |
| 7 | K. Nesso | M |
| 6 | H. Hammer | - |
| 16 | J. Orsahl | - |
| 17 | E. Myrlid | F |