Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF Prediction

Allsvenskan Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 22
FT
Post on X
Hitachi Energy Arena, Västerås
AI call Malmo FF or draw
29%
27%
44%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF prediction: Sportiko gives Vasteras SK FK a 29% chance of winning, Malmo FF 44% and the draw 27%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 14:53.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Home to Score 72%
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Timeline

Taonsa Axel assist: Jens Magnusson
14' ⚽ 1–0
Karl Gunnarsson Yellow Card
39' ▮
⇄ 45'
Otto Rosengren ⇄ M. Lahdo
HT 1–0
Taonsa Axel assist: Jens Magnusson
52' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 61'
Theodor Lundbergh ⇄ Jovan Milosavljević
Ismet Lushaku ⇄ Mattias Hellisdal
64' ⇄
Karl Gunnarsson ⇄ Abdelrahman Boudah
65' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen ⇄ Viggo Jeppsson
Jack Tagesson ⇄ Frédéric Nsabiyumva
81' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Stian Gregersen ⇄ Bleon Kurtulus
⇄ 82'
Sead Hakšabanović ⇄ Malte Palsson
Jens Magnusson ⇄ M. Ljungqvist
87' ⇄
Herman Magnusson ⇄ P. Amoran
87' ⇄
FT 2–0
Vasteras SK FK

Match Stats

Malmo FF
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 15
4 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 7
5 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
355 Total passes 597
293 Passes accurate 531
7 Free Kicks 14
Vasteras SK FK
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Taonsa Axel F 9.3 90' 2 – 4 18 (11%) 3
2 Herman Magnusson D 7.4 87' – – – 45 (39%) 2
4 Philip Bonde D 7.4 90' – – – 44 (41%) 1
24 Jack Tagesson D 7.4 81' – – – 32 (30%) 1
8 Mamadou Diagne M 7.2 90' – – 1 35 (33%) 3
19 Jens Magnusson F 7.2 87' – 2 – 29 (18%) –
18 Frédéric Nsabiyumva D 7.1 9' – – – 2 (2%) –
14 Ismet Lushaku M 7.0 64' – – – 34 (31%) 1
23 P. Amoran D 7.0 3' – – – – –
11 Simon Gefvert M 6.9 90' – – 2 36 (30%) 3
20 M. Ljungqvist D 6.9 3' – – – 2 –
30 Mattias Hellisdal M 6.8 26' – – – 5 (2%) 2
15 Jonathan Karlsson M 6.7 90' – – – 19 (18%) 4
34 Elis Jäger G 6.6 90' – – – 28 (17%) –
7 Abdelrahman Boudah F 6.4 25' – – 2 11 (10%) –
5 Karl Gunnarsson F 6.3 65' – – 1 12 (9%) –
Malmo FF
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Andrej Đurić D 7.2 90' – – 6 88 (86%) –
25 Busanello D 7.0 90' – – 3 81 (67%) 2
7 Otto Rosengren M 6.9 46' – – 1 20 (18%) –
15 M. Lahdo F 6.7 44' – – – 16 (15%) –
37 Adrian Skogmar M 6.6 90' – – – 59 (55%) 2
45 Anton Höög F 6.6 90' – – – 22 (21%) 2
2 Stian Gregersen D 6.5 82' – – – 86 (83%) 1
17 Jens Stryger Larsen D 6.4 90' – – 3 67 (62%) –
32 Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen F 6.4 73' – – 2 17 (12%) –
28 Jovan Milosavljević M 6.3 29' – – 1 4 (4%) 1
44 Malte Palsson D 6.2 8' – – – 9 (8%) 1
29 Sead Hakšabanović F 6.2 82' – – 3 39 (30%) –
4 Bleon Kurtulus D 6.1 8' – – – 10 (8%) –
42 Viggo Jeppsson M 6.1 17' – – – 6 (6%) 1
47 Theodor Lundbergh M 5.9 61' – – – 25 (20%) 2
1 Robin Olsen G 5.7 90' – – – 33 (22%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean
Malmo FF or draw
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Vasteras SK FK
WWLWD
Malmo FF
LWDWW
Last 3 meetings Vasteras SK FK · 1W 1D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Vasteras SK FK leads 2-0. Win probability: 97.5%. Comeback chance: 2.5%.

54' Goal 85% sure

Vasteras SK FK now leads 2-0 with 90.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 67.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Vasteras SK FK leads. Win probability: 65.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.2%.

15' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Vasteras SK FK win: 58.5%. BTTS: 74.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
29%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
44%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Vasteras SK FK
M. Ladefoged 9 gls
A. Taonsa 8 gls
Malmo FF
E. Botheim 10 gls

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Head to Head: Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF

1 Vasteras SK FK Wins
1 Draws
1 Malmo FF Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 May 2026 Malmo FF 2 - 3 Vasteras SK FK
19 Oct 2024 Vasteras SK FK 1 - 1 Malmo FF
20 Apr 2024 Malmo FF 1 - 0 Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Malmo FF W 2 - 0
12 Sep A AIK Stockholm W 1 - 4
05 Sep H Sirius L 0 - 1
29 Aug A BK Hacken W 1 - 3
23 Aug H Kalmar FF D 0 - 0

Malmo FF — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Vasteras SK FK L 2 - 0
13 Sep H Orgryte IS W 4 - 1
07 Sep H AIK Stockholm D 0 - 0
31 Aug A Sirius W 0 - 1
27 Aug A Lindo FF W 1 - 5

Allsvenskan Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sirius
22 16 3 3 +24 51
2
Hammarby FF
22 13 4 5 +29 43
3
Djurgardens IF
22 13 2 7 +26 41
4
IF Elfsborg
22 10 7 5 +9 37
5
BK Hacken
22 9 9 4 +9 36
6
Vasteras SK FK
22 10 5 7 -1 35
7
Malmo FF
22 10 3 9 +4 33
8
AIK Stockholm
22 9 6 7 -3 33
9
IFK Goteborg
22 9 5 8 -10 32
10
Gais
22 8 6 8 +8 30
11
IF Brommapojkarna
22 7 6 9 -6 27
12
Mjallby AIF
22 5 7 10 -11 22
13
Kalmar FF
22 5 4 13 -15 19
14
Degerfors IF
22 5 4 13 -15 19
15
Orgryte IS
22 3 6 13 -24 15
16
Halmstad
22 3 5 14 -24 14

Malmo FF

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: G. Helstrup
1 Olsen
25 Busanello
2 Gregersen
5 Đurić
17 Larsen
47 Lundbergh
37 Skogmar
7 Rosengren
29 Hakšabanović
32 Guðjohnsen
45 Hoog

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
5 A. Đurić D
2 S. Gregersen D
25 Busanello D
7 O. Rosengren M
37 A. Skogmar M
47 Theodor Lundbergh M
45 A. Hoog F
32 D. Guðjohnsen F
29 S. Hakšabanović F

Substitutes

50 William Nieroth Lundgren G
28 J. Milosavljević M
15 M. Lahdo F
4 B. Kurtulus D
42 V. Jeppsson M
44 M. Pålsson D
6 Y. Karabelyov M
27 J. Dahlin G
51 V. Hidalgo D

Vasteras SK FK

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Ramón Catalá
34 Jäger
24 Tagesson
4 Bonde
2 Magnusson
15 Karlsson
8 Diagne
14 Lushaku
11 Gefvert
5 Gunnarsson
17 Taonsa
19 Magnusson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
34 E. Jäger G
2 H. Magnusson D
4 P. Bonde D
24 J. Tagesson D
11 S. Gefvert M
14 I. Lushaku M
8 M. Diagne M
15 J. Karlsson M
19 J. Magnusson F
17 A. Taonsa F
5 K. Gunnarsson F

Substitutes

23 P. Amoran D
7 A. Boudah F
1 A. Fagerström G
30 M. Hellisdal M
28 Madiou Keita D
20 M. Ljungqvist D
18 F. Nsabiyumva D
9 C. Risbjerg F
21 V. Wernersson D

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