FC Lugano vs FC Thun Prediction
FT
Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
AI call
Difficult FC Thun win or draw
18%
21%
60%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC Lugano vs FC Thun prediction: Sportiko gives FC Lugano a 18% chance of winning, FC Thun 60% and the draw 21%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Timeline
▮
5'
Genís Montolio
Yellow Card
Antonios Papadopoulos
Yellow Card
42'
▮
HT 0–0
Yanis Cimignani
Yellow Card
56'
▮
Daniel Dos Santos
assist: Renato Steffen
59'
⚽
1–0
▮
64'
Michael Heule
Yellow Card
⇄
66'
Brighton Labeau
⇄ Furkan Dursun
⇄
67'
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
⇄ Valmir Matoshi
⇄
67'
Kastriot Imeri
⇄ Nils Reichmuth
Yanis Cimignani
71'
⇄
⇄
79'
⇄ Justin Roth
Mattia Zanotti
⇄ Ezgjan Alioski
84'
⇄
Renato Steffen
84'
⇄
Daniel Dos Santos
84'
⇄
⇄
86'
Mattias Käit
⇄ Marc Gutbub
⇄ Elias Pihlström
90'
⇄
▮
90+3'
Niklas Steffen
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
FC Lugano
Match Stats
FC Thun
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
15
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
6
5
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
1
9
Shots insidebox
10
6
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
436
Total passes
318
342
Passes accurate
234
78%
Passes %
74%
0.53
goals_prevented
0.53
FC Lugano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Daniel Dos Santos F | 9.0 | 84' | 1 | – | 2 | 30 (21%) | 2 |
| 1 Amir Saipi G | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (30%) | – |
| 8 Anto Grgić M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (35%) | – |
| 25 Uran Bislimi M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (50%) | 3 |
| 6 Antonios Papadopoulos D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 17 Lars Lukas Mai D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 3 |
| 3 Hannes Delcroix D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (49%) | 1 |
| 29 Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud M | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 46 Mattia Zanotti M | 6.9 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 11 Renato Steffen F | 6.9 | 84' | – | 1 | 2 | 37 (28%) | – |
| 10 Mattia Bottani F | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 26 Martim Marques D | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 7 Ezgjan Alioski D | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 21 Yanis Cimignani M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 3 | 39 (31%) | – |
| 9 Georgios Koutsias F | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 24 Elias Pihlström F | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
FC Thun
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Michael Heule D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (16%) | 1 |
| 47 Fabio Fehr D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (19%) | 2 |
| 14 Mattias Käit M | 7.2 | 86' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | – |
| 24 Niklas Steffen G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (21%) | – |
| 74 Elmin Rastoder F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (15%) | – |
| 19 Jan Bamert D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (42%) | 1 |
| 33 Marc Gutbub F | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Leonardo Bertone M | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 31 (23%) | – |
| 70 Nils Reichmuth M | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 4 Genís Montolio D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (33%) | 2 |
| 77 Franz-Ethan Meichtry M | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 16 Justin Roth M | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 78 Valmir Matoshi M | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 9 Furkan Dursun F | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 96 Brighton Labeau F | 5.9 | 66' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | – |
| 7 Kastriot Imeri M | 5.9 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (59%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult FC Thun win or draw
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FC Lugano
WWDWW
FC Thun
WLLLD
Last 3 meetings
FC Lugano · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Super League match, FC Lugano will host FC Thun on April 4, 2026. FC Lugano has been consistent at home, with a solid win rate of around 60% in their last 10 home matches, showcasing a strong defensive record. FC Thun, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with only 30% of their away games resulting in victories this season. Key players to watch include Lugano's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Thun's playmaker, who contributes significantly to their attacking plays. This match could be pivotal for both teams in their pursuit of league standings, with Lugano likely to leverage their home advantage.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Lugano
D. Moncada
3 gls
H. Delcroix
3 gls
FC Thun
B. Labeau
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Lugano vs FC Thun
1
FC Lugano Wins
1
Draws
1
FC Thun Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | FC Thun | 0 - 1 | FC Lugano |
| 27 Jul 2025 | FC Lugano | 1 - 2 | FC Thun |
| 15 Jul 2020 | FC Lugano | 1 - 1 | FC Thun |
FC Lugano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Lausanne | W | 0 - 4 |
| 16 Sep | H FC ST. Gallen | W | 4 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H BSC Young Boys | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A FC Basel 1893 | W | 1 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Servette FC | W | 1 - 0 |
FC Thun — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A FC Vaduz | W | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | H Servette FC | L | 2 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Grasshoppers | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A FC Sion | L | 3 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Lausanne | D | 0 - 0 |
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |
BSC Young Boys
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |
FC Sion
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 |
FC Basel 1893
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 |
FC ST. Gallen
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |
FC Luzern
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |
FC Zurich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Servette FC
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |
FC Thun
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 |
FC Vaduz
|
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lausanne
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
1
Saipi
3
Delcroix
17
Mai
6
Papadopoulos
21
Cimignani
8
Grgic
25
Bislimi
46
Zanotti
27
Santos
11
Steffen
9
Koutsias
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Saipi | G |
| 6 | A. Papadopoulos | D |
| 17 | L. Mai | D |
| 3 | H. Delcroix | D |
| 46 | M. Zanotti | M |
| 25 | U. Bislimi | M |
| 8 | A. Grgic | M |
| 21 | Y. Cimignani | M |
| 11 | R. Steffen | F |
| 27 | D. Dos Santos | F |
| 9 | G. Koutsias | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | D. Mina | G |
| 7 | E. Alioski | D |
| 18 | H. Mahou | M |
| 29 | M. Belhadj | M |
| 4 | D. Kelvin | D |
| 24 | E. Pihlstrom | F |
| 10 | M. Bottani | F |
| 14 | A. Kendouci | M |
| 26 | M. Marques | D |
FC Thun
Formation: 4-2-2-2
Coach: Mauro Lustrinelli
24
Steffen
27
Heule
19
Bamert
4
Montolio
47
Fehr
14
Kait
6
Bertone
7
Imeri
77
Meichtry
74
Rastoder
96
Labeau
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | N. Steffen | G |
| 47 | F. Fehr | D |
| 4 | G. Montolio | D |
| 19 | J. Bamert | D |
| 27 | M. Heule | D |
| 6 | L. Bertone | M |
| 14 | M. Kait | M |
| 77 | F. Meichtry | M |
| 7 | K. Imeri | M |
| 96 | B. Labeau | F |
| 74 | E. Rastoder | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | T. Spycher | G |
| 5 | D. Franke | D |
| 9 | F. Dursun | F |
| 78 | V. Matoshi | M |
| 16 | J. Roth | M |
| 70 | N. Reichmuth | M |
| 20 | N. Rupp | M |
| 37 | L. Dahler | D |
| 33 | M. Gutbub | F |