Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

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TSV Hartberg

Away

Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim

AI call Difficult Red Bull Salzburg win or draw

57%

24%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg prediction: Sportiko gives Red Bull Salzburg a 57% chance of winning, TSV Hartberg 19% and the draw 24%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Red Bull Salzburg win or draw

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Red Bull Salzburg

WWDWW

TSV Hartberg

DDWWW

Last 3 meetings Red Bull Salzburg · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Red Bull Salzburg hosts TSV Hartberg in a Bundesliga clash on March 1, 2026. Salzburg has been dominant in the league, showcasing an impressive home record and high goal-scoring capabilities, averaging over 2.5 goals per match this season. In contrast, Hartberg struggles defensively, with a tendency to concede multiple goals, particularly in away fixtures. Historical data favors Salzburg, who have won the last five encounters against Hartberg, often by significant margins. Expect Salzburg to control possession and apply relentless pressure, aiming for a decisive victory to bolster their title chase.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

TSV Hartberg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	3	1
1	12	11	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Red Bull Salzburg goals · most likely 1–0 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Red Bull Salzburg

Kerim-Sam Alajbegović 9 gls

P. Ratkov 9 gls

Y. Vertessen 8 gls

K. Konaté 7 gls

TSV Hartberg

E. Havel 13 gls

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Head to Head: Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg

3 Red Bull Salzburg Wins

0 Draws

0 TSV Hartberg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Aug 2026	Red Bull Salzburg	1 - 0	TSV Hartberg
16 Aug 2025	TSV Hartberg	1 - 2	Red Bull Salzburg
04 Dec 2024	Red Bull Salzburg	4 - 0	TSV Hartberg

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Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sturm Graz	W	3 - 0
17 Sep	A Levski Sofia	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Ried	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A SKN ST. Polten	W	0 - 3
02 Sep	H Rapid Vienna	W	5 - 1

TSV Hartberg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lask Linz	D	3 - 3
13 Sep	A WSG Wattens	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A SK Vorwarts Steyr	W	0 - 4
30 Aug	H Ried	W	3 - 2
22 Aug	A SCR Altach	W	1 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

Bundesliga: Championship Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lask Linz	32	17	7	8	56	42	+14	39
2	Sturm Graz	32	16	8	8	51	35	+16	37
3	Red Bull Salzburg	32	13	9	10	56	41	+15	29
4	Austria Vienna	32	14	5	13	45	50	-5	29
5	Rapid Vienna	32	12	8	12	36	41	-5	27
6	TSV Hartberg	32	10	12	10	40	40	0	25

Bundesliga: Relegation Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Ried	32	12	6	14	38	42	-4	28
8	Wolfsberger AC	32	11	8	13	41	42	-1	28
9	Grazer AK	32	9	10	13	42	45	-3	27
10	SCR Altach	32	10	12	10	36	39	-3	27
11	WSG Wattens	32	10	10	12	40	52	-12	24
12	FC BW Linz	32	8	5	19	37	49	-12	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.