Celtic vs ST Mirren Prediction

Premiership Premiership · 1st Phase - 33
FT
Post on X
Celtic Park, Glasgow
AI call Celtic to win
74%
18%
8%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Celtic vs ST Mirren prediction: Sportiko gives Celtic a 74% chance of winning, ST Mirren 8% and the draw 18%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
15' 1–0
32'
Shamal George ⇄ Ryan Mullen
HT 1–0
50'
Liam Donnelly Yellow Card
Tomáš Čvančara ⇄ Kelechi Iheanacho
62'
Benjamin Nygren
62'
Callum McGregor ⇄ Reo Hatate
73'
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain ⇄ Luke McCowan
73'
73'
⇄ Jayden Richardson
73'
Jonah Ayunga ⇄ Jake Young
80'
Mikael Mandron ⇄ Conor McMenamin
81'
Declan John ⇄ Roland Idowu
83'
Alexander Gogić Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Celtic

Match Stats

ST Mirren
56% Ball Possession 44%
0.94 Expected Goals (xG) 0.25
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 1
1 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
3 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Corner Kicks 7
2 Offsides 5
12 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
602 Total passes 464
547 Passes accurate 400
91% Passes % 86%
0.46 goals_prevented 0.46
Celtic
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Auston Trusty D 7.9 90' 102 (99%)
21 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain M 7.9 73' 1 1 18 (17%) 1
63 Kieran Tierney D 7.7 90' 68 (58%) 1
56 Tony Ralston D 7.5 90' 97 (84%) 2
42 Callum McGregor M 7.3 73' 1 42 (40%) 1
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M 7.2 90' 46 (43%) 1
8 Benjamin Nygren M 7.2 62' 1 30 (27%) 2
12 Viljami Sinisalo G 7.0 90' 49 (47%)
5 Liam Scales D 7.0 90' 81 (75%) 1
14 Luke McCowan M 6.9 17' 18 (18%) 1
11 Tomáš Čvančara F 6.7 62' 1 10 (5%)
38 Daizen Maeda M 6.6 90' 16 (13%) 3
27 Arne Engels M 6.6 28' 11 (9%)
17 Kelechi Iheanacho F 6.5 28' 1 4 (2%)
41 Reo Hatate M 6.2 17' 10 (10%)
ST Mirren
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Liam Donnelly D 7.9 90' 1 72 (69%) 6
2 Jayden Richardson D 7.2 17' 4 (4%) 1
31 Ryan Mullen G 7.2 58' 28 (19%)
21 Miguel Freckleton D 7.0 90' 1 76 (66%) 3
88 Killian Phillips F 6.9 90' 25 (21%) 2
8 Jacob Devaney M 6.9 90' 50 (46%) 2
16 Allan Campbell M 6.9 90' 32 (31%) 1
1 Shamal George G 6.6 32' 10 (8%)
24 Declan John M 6.6 81' 36 (29%)
6 Mark O'Hara M 6.5 73' 28 (26%) 1
11 Jonah Ayunga F 6.5 73' 1 14 (10%)
7 Roland Idowu M 6.5 9' 4 (4%)
10 Conor McMenamin F 6.5 10'
20 Jake Young F 6.5 17' 3 (2%) 1
9 Mikael Mandron F 6.3 80' 1 21 (15%) 1
13 Alexander Gogić D 6.0 90' 61 (50%)
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean
Celtic to win
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Celtic
WDLDW
ST Mirren
WLWWL
Last 3 meetings Celtic · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Celtic will host St Mirren in a crucial Premiership clash on April 11, 2026. Historically, Celtic has dominated this fixture, winning 75% of their last 20 encounters, with St Mirren securing only 10%. Celtic's home advantage is significant, as they boast a 90% win rate at Parkhead this season. St Mirren's away form, with just 20% of points gained on the road, suggests they will struggle against a high-scoring Celtic side averaging over 2.5 goals per game. Expect Celtic to control possession and create numerous chances, while St Mirren will need a solid defensive game plan to avoid conceding early.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Celtic
B. Nygren 1 gls
K. Tierney 0 gls
ST Mirren
K. Phillips 2 gls
R. Idowu 0 gls

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Head to Head: Celtic vs ST Mirren

2 Celtic Wins
1 Draws
0 ST Mirren Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Nov 2025 ST Mirren 0 - 1 Celtic
03 Aug 2025 Celtic 1 - 0 ST Mirren
17 May 2025 Celtic 1 - 1 ST Mirren
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Celtic — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Aug H Dundee W 1 - 0
25 Jul H AC Milan D 2 - 2
14 Jul A Sporting CP L 4 - 1
07 Jul A Shelbourne D 1 - 1
11 Apr H ST Mirren W 1 - 0

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Aug A Falkirk W 0 - 2
26 Jul H Dunfermline L 0 - 1
21 Jul H East Kilbride W 4 - 3
18 Jul A Cove Rangers W 0 - 4
11 Apr A Celtic L 1 - 0

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ST Mirren
1 1 0 0 +2 3
2
ST Johnstone
1 1 0 0 +1 3
3
Motherwell
1 1 0 0 +1 3
4
Aberdeen
1 1 0 0 +1 3
5
Celtic
1 1 0 0 +1 3
6
Dundee Utd
1 0 1 0 0 1
7
Rangers
1 0 1 0 0 1
8
Kilmarnock
1 0 0 1 -1 0
9
Heart Of Midlothian
1 0 0 1 -1 0
10
Hibernian
1 0 0 1 -1 0
11
Dundee
1 0 0 1 -1 0
12
Falkirk
1 0 0 1 -2 0

Celtic

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Martin O'Neill
12 Sinisalo
63 Tierney
5 Scales
6 Trusty
56 Ralston
21 Oxlade-Chamberlain
42 McGregor
38 Maeda
8 Nygren
13 Hyun-Jun
11 Cvancara

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 V. Sinisalo G
56 A. Ralston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
42 C. McGregor M
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
8 B. Nygren M
38 D. Maeda M
11 T. Cvancara F

Substitutes

31 R. Doohan G
49 J. Forrest M
17 K. Iheanacho F
23 S. Tounekti F
43 B. Arthur D
36 M. Saracchi D
41 R. Hatate M
14 L. McCowan M
27 A. Engels M

ST Mirren

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Craig McLeish
1 George
21 Freckleton
13 Gogic
4 Donnelly
24 John
16 Campbell
8 Devaney
6 O'Hara
88 Phillips
9 Mandron
11 Ayunga

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. George G
4 L. Donnelly D
13 A. Gogic D
21 M. Freckleton D
6 M. O'Hara -
8 J. Devaney M
16 A. Campbell M
24 D. John M
88 K. Phillips F
11 J. Ayunga F
9 M. Mandron F

Substitutes

31 R. Mullen G
10 C. McMenamin F
2 J. Richardson D
20 J. Young F
7 R. Idowu M
5 R. King D
35 L. Douglas F
3 S. Tanser D
29 K. Etete F

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