Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24
FT
Post on X
AI call Casa Pia or draw
36%
30%
34%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Casa Pia vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives Casa Pia a 36% chance of winning, Moreirense 34% and the draw 30%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean
Casa Pia or draw
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Casa Pia
WLDLL
Moreirense
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings Casa Pia · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Casa Pia hosts Moreirense on March 1, 2026. Casa Pia has shown solid form at home, boasting a strong defensive record, having conceded only 0.9 goals per match this season. Moreirense, however, struggles on the road, with a win rate of just 25% in away fixtures. Given Casa Pia's home advantage and defensive solidity, they are favored to secure a crucial three points in this encounter. Key players to watch include Casa Pia's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Moreirense's playmaker, who creates an average of 2.5 chances per game.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
34%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

Moreirense
Guilherme Schettine 9 gls

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Head to Head: Casa Pia vs Moreirense

0 Casa Pia Wins
0 Draws
3 Moreirense Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Aug 2026 Casa Pia 0 - 1 Moreirense
27 Sep 2025 Moreirense 2 - 1 Casa Pia
15 Feb 2025 Moreirense 3 - 2 Casa Pia
See all 6 meetings — Premium

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Estoril W 1 - 2
12 Sep H FC Porto L 1 - 4
06 Sep A Vitória SC D 0 - 0
30 Aug H Moreirense L 0 - 1
24 Aug A GIL Vicente L 2 - 0

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Vitória SC D 1 - 1
14 Sep H Maritimo W 3 - 1
09 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 4
04 Sep A FC Porto L 2 - 1
30 Aug A Casa Pia W 0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
34 28 4 2 +48 88
2
Sporting CP
34 25 7 2 +65 82
3
Benfica
34 23 11 0 +49 80
4
SC Braga
34 16 11 7 +28 59
5
Famalicao
34 15 11 8 +13 56
6
GIL Vicente
34 13 11 10 +9 50
7
Moreirense
34 12 7 15 -12 43
8
Arouca
34 12 6 16 -17 42
9
Vitória SC
34 12 6 16 -12 42
10
Estoril
34 10 9 15 -3 39
11
Alverca
34 10 9 15 -17 39
12
Rio Ave
34 8 12 14 -22 36
13
Santa Clara
34 9 9 16 -9 36
14
Nacional
34 9 7 18 -8 34
15
Estrela
34 6 12 16 -18 30
16
Casa Pia
34 6 12 16 -26 30
17
Tondela
34 6 10 18 -28 28
18
AVS
34 3 12 19 -40 21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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