Lille vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Nantes

Away

AI call Difficult Lille win or draw

62%

27%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lille vs Nantes prediction: Sportiko gives Lille a 62% chance of winning, Nantes 12% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Lille win or draw

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Lille

LWLWD

Nantes

WLWDL

Last 3 meetings Lille · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Lille hosts Nantes at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on March 1, 2026. Lille has shown a strong home advantage with a 60% win rate at home this season, while Nantes struggles, having secured only 20% of their points on the road. Lille's attack, averaging 1.8 goals per match, will be tested against Nantes' defense, which has conceded 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include Lille's striker, who has scored in five consecutive matches, and Nantes' goalkeeper, who is under pressure to improve their away form. Expect Lille to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, making them favorites for this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

62%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nantes goals →

	0	1	2
0	15	7	2
1	22	10	2
2	16	7	2
3	7	3	1
4	3	1
5	1

↑ Lille goals · most likely 1–0 (21.9%)

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Head to Head: Lille vs Nantes

1 Lille Wins

1 Draws

1 Nantes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Oct 2025	Nantes	0 - 2	Lille
15 Mar 2025	Nantes	1 - 0	Lille
04 Jan 2025	Lille	1 - 1	Nantes

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nice	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Estac Troyes	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Real Betis	L	2 - 3
03 Sep	A Toulouse	W	0 - 1
28 Aug	H Paris Saint Germain	D	2 - 2

Nantes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Boulogne	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Nancy	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Guingamp	D	3 - 3
22 Aug	H Rodez	L	2 - 5

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.