Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

RB Leipzig

Away

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

AI call Too close to call

36%

26%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig prediction: Sportiko gives Hamburger SV a 36% chance of winning, RB Leipzig 38% and the draw 26%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV hosts RB Leipzig on March 1, 2026. Historically, Leipzig has dominated this matchup, boasting a strong win rate and a potent attack led by their forwards, who have averaged over 2 goals per game this season. Hamburg, while playing at home, will need to leverage their defensive organization to contain Leipzig's pace and creativity. Key players to watch include Leipzig's top scorer, whose recent form has been impressive, and Hamburg's midfield, which needs to control possession to create goal-scoring opportunities. This match will be crucial for both teams, with Hamburg fighting for mid-table stability and Leipzig aiming for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Leipzig goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	9	6	3	1
1	9	12	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

RB Leipzig

C. Baumgartner 13 gls

Y. Diomande 12 gls

Rômulo 9 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig

0 Hamburger SV Wins

1 Draws

2 RB Leipzig Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	RB Leipzig	5 - 0	Hamburger SV
18 Oct 2025	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Hamburger SV
27 Jan 2018	RB Leipzig	1 - 1	Hamburger SV

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Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	+86	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	+36	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	+19	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	+22	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	+13	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	+21	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9	40
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31	26

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.