FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 27
FT
Post on X
AI call FC Rostov or draw
46%
34%
20%
Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg prediction: Sportiko gives FC Rostov a 46% chance of winning, FC Orenburg 20% and the draw 34%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

HT 0–0
Viktor Melekhin ⇄ David Semenchuk
46' ⇄
Konstantin Kuchaev ⇄ Daniil Shantaliy
67' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Alexandre Jesus ⇄ Gedeon Guzina
⇄ 72'
Emircan Gürlük ⇄ Renat Golybin
Egor Golenkov ⇄ Khoren Bayramyan
73' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Jordhy Thompson ⇄ Damián Puebla
⚽ 0–1 85'
Gedeon Guzina
Kirill Shchetinin ⇄ Mohammad Mohebi
88' ⇄
▮ 89'
Maksim Rudakov Yellow Card
▮ 90+3'
Alexis Cantero Yellow Card
⇄ 90+3'
Alexis Cantero ⇄ Danila Vedernikov
⇄ 90+6'
Du Queiroz ⇄ Irakliy Kvekveskiri
▮ 90+7'
Danila Vedernikov Yellow Card
FT 0–1
FC Rostov

Match Stats

FC Orenburg
52% Ball Possession 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
348 Total passes 328
209 Passes accurate 196
60% Passes % 60%
goals_prevented
FC Rostov
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Konstantin Kuchaev M 7.6 67' – – – 26 (21%) 4
4 Viktor Melekhin D 7.3 45' – – 1 24 (16%) –
78 Dmitriy Chistyakov D 7.2 90' – – – 42 (26%) 2
10 Kirill Shchetinin M 7.0 88' – – 2 30 (16%) 2
8 Aleksey Mironov M 6.9 90' – – 3 46 (35%) –
99 Timur Suleymanov F 6.9 90' – – 1 27 (10%) 2
40 Ilya Vakhaniya D 6.6 90' – – – 22 (10%) 3
69 Egor Golenkov F 6.6 73' – – 1 16 (9%) –
58 Daniil Shantaliy M 6.5 23' – – – 6 (2%) –
19 Khoren Bayramyan M 6.5 17' – – – 9 (4%) 1
9 Mohammad Mohebi M 6.3 9' – – – 1 (1%) –
1 Rustam Yatimov G 6.3 90' – – – 16 (7%) –
22 David Semenchuk D 6.3 45' – – – 16 (11%) 1
3 Oumar Sako D 6.3 90' – – – 38 (22%) –
7 Ronaldo F 6.2 90' – – – 29 (19%) 3
FC Orenburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Fahd Moufi D 7.2 90' – – – 40 (27%) 2
4 Danila Khotulev D 7.2 90' – – – 37 (21%) 3
16 Jordhy Thompson M 6.9 73' – – 1 12 (11%) 1
37 Du Queiroz M 6.9 89' – – – 36 (31%) –
32 Alexis Cantero D 6.9 89' – – – 20 (13%) –
7 Emircan Gürlük M 6.9 72' – – 1 21 (12%) 2
65 Ivan Ivashchenko D 6.9 90' – – 1 38 (19%) 3
8 Damián Puebla F 6.7 17' – – 1 3 (1%) –
30 Gedeon Guzina F 6.7 18' 1 – 2 5 (1%) –
27 Renat Golybin M 6.6 18' – – – 8 (6%) 1
88 Maksim Rudakov G 6.6 90' – – – 33 (7%) –
57 Evgeniy Bolotov M 6.5 90' – – – 37 (23%) 1
6 Jhon Palacios D 6.3 90' – – – 29 (20%) –
19 Alexandre Jesus F 6.3 72' – – 2 8 (4%) –
3 Danila Vedernikov D — 1' – – – – –
33 Irakliy Kvekveskiri M — 1' – – – 1 –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean
FC Rostov or draw
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FC Rostov
LLWWL
FC Orenburg
DLDDD
Last 3 meetings FC Rostov · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In this Premier League matchup, FC Rostov hosts FC Orenburg on April 25, 2026. FC Rostov will look to leverage their home advantage, where they have historically performed well, winning 60% of their home matches this season. FC Orenburg, however, has shown resilience, particularly in away fixtures, with a recent record that includes three wins in their last five outings. Key players for Rostov will need to step up, especially in midfield, to control the tempo and limit Orenburg's counter-attacking threats. This match could be pivotal for both teams in their pursuit of league stability, making it a must-watch encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg

2 FC Rostov Wins
0 Draws
1 FC Orenburg Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Jul 2026 FC Orenburg 2 - 1 FC Rostov
05 Oct 2025 FC Orenburg 0 - 1 FC Rostov
08 Mar 2025 FC Orenburg 1 - 2 FC Rostov
See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Rostov — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
17 Sep H Dynamo L 0 - 3
13 Sep A Spartak Moscow L 3 - 0
05 Sep H Fakel W 3 - 1
01 Sep H CSKA Moscow W 2 - 0
29 Aug A FC Krasnodar L 1 - 0

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
17 Sep H FC Krasnodar D 0 - 0
12 Sep A Dynamo L 1 - 0
06 Sep H Akron D 2 - 2
02 Sep H Rubin D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Spartak Moscow D 1 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Krasnodar
9 6 3 0 +7 21
2
Dynamo
9 6 1 2 +6 19
3
CSKA Moscow
9 5 4 0 +6 19
4
Spartak Moscow
9 6 1 2 +9 19
5
Zenit
9 6 0 3 +10 18
6
Rubin
9 2 6 1 +1 12
7
Dinamo Makhachkala
9 4 0 5 -1 12
8
Baltika
9 3 2 4 +2 11
9
Krylia Sovetov
9 2 5 2 -1 11
10
Akhmat
9 2 4 3 0 10
11
FC Orenburg
9 1 6 2 -3 9
12
FC Rostov
9 2 2 5 -7 8
13
Akron
9 1 5 3 -7 8
14
Lokomotiv
9 1 4 4 -3 7
15
Rodina Moskva
9 1 2 6 -12 5
16
Fakel
9 0 3 6 -7 3

FC Rostov

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jonatan Alba
1 Yatimov
40 Vakhania
3 Sako
78 Chistyakov
4 Melekhin
18 Kuchaev
8 Mironov
10 Shchetinin
99 Suleymanov
69 Golenkov
7 Ronaldo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 R. Yatimov G
4 V. Melekhin D
78 D. Chistyakov D
3 O. Sako D
40 I. Vakhania D
10 K. Shchetinin M
8 A. Mironov M
18 K. Kuchaev M
7 Ronaldo F
69 E. Golenkov F
99 T. Suleymanov F

Substitutes

71 D. Odoevski G
48 S. Mokrousov G
19 K. Bayramyan M
9 M. Mohebi M
87 A. Langovich D
22 D. Semenchuk D
91 A. Shamonin F
17 I. M. Ajasa F
5 D. Prokhin D
62 I. Komarov M
58 D. Shantaliy M
67 G. Ignatov D

FC Orenburg

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Ildar Akhmetzyanov
88 Rudakov
32 Cantero
4 Khotulev
6 Palacios
65 Ivashchenko
18 Moufi
7 Gurluk
57 Bolotov
37 Queiroz
16 Thompson
19 Jesus

Starting XI

# Player Pos
88 M. Rudakov G
18 F. Moufi D
65 I. Ivashchenko D
6 J. Palacios D
4 D. Khotulev D
32 A. Cantero D
16 J. Thompson M
37 Du Queiroz M
57 E. Bolotov M
7 E. Gurluk M
19 Alexandre Jesus F

Substitutes

95 A. Khodanovich G
33 I. Kvekveskiri M
9 M. Savelyev F
30 G. Guzina F
3 D. Vedernikov D
26 E. Tsenov M
38 A. Kasimov D
8 D. Puebla F
2 S. Poroykov M
27 R. Golybin M
29 A. El Mahraoui F
59 T. Avanesyan M

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