Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 19

Post on X

Perth Glory

Away

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

AI call Brisbane Roar or draw

44%

31%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory prediction: Sportiko gives Brisbane Roar a 44% chance of winning, Perth Glory 25% and the draw 31%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Brisbane Roar or draw

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Brisbane Roar

LLLDD

Perth Glory

DWDWD

Last 2 meetings Brisbane Roar · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League match, Brisbane Roar hosts Perth Glory on February 28, 2026. Brisbane Roar has shown a strong home advantage, winning 60% of their matches at Suncorp Stadium this season, with a solid attack averaging 1.8 goals per game. Conversely, Perth Glory has struggled on the road, securing only 25% of their away fixtures, often conceding over 2 goals per match. With Brisbane’s offensive prowess and Perth’s defensive vulnerabilities, the Roar will likely look to dominate possession and capitalize on set pieces. Expect a competitive match, but Brisbane holds the edge.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Perth Glory goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	11	4	1
1	17	13	5	1
2	10	7	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Brisbane Roar goals · most likely 1–0 (16.7%)

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Head to Head: Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory

1 Brisbane Roar Wins

0 Draws

1 Perth Glory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Perth Glory	2 - 1	Brisbane Roar
16 Jan 2026	Perth Glory	1 - 2	Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Aug	H Sydney	L	2 - 4
25 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	2 - 1
18 Apr	H Melbourne City	L	2 - 3
10 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	2 - 2
02 Apr	H Sydney	D	0 - 0

Perth Glory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Lions	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 1
18 Apr	A Sydney	D	0 - 0
12 Apr	H Macarthur	W	3 - 1
04 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	0 - 0

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.