Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş Prediction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Beşiktaş

Away

Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli

AI call Difficult Beşiktaş win or draw

18%

22%

60%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş prediction: Sportiko gives Kocaelispor a 18% chance of winning, Beşiktaş 60% and the draw 22%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Beşiktaş win or draw

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Kocaelispor

WLWWW

Beşiktaş

LWWWW

Last 1 meetings Kocaelispor · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Süper Lig clash, Kocaelispor hosts Beşiktaş on February 28, 2026. Kocaelispor has struggled for consistency, currently positioned in the lower half of the table, with a defensive record that has seen them concede an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. In contrast, Beşiktaş is vying for a top-four finish, backed by a potent attack that averages 2.1 goals per game, led by their top scorer who has netted 15 goals so far. This match could hinge on Kocaelispor's ability to contain Beşiktaş's offensive prowess while looking to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities. Given the contrasting form and standings, Beşiktaş will be favored to take all three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

18%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

60%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Beşiktaş goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	11	11	7	3	1
1	5	10	10	7	3	1
2	2	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Kocaelispor goals · most likely 0–1 (11.2%)

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Head to Head: Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş

0 Kocaelispor Wins

0 Draws

1 Beşiktaş Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Sep 2025	Beşiktaş	3 - 1	Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Gaziantep FK	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Galatasaray	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Samsunspor	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Konyaspor	W	1 - 2
24 Aug	H Amed	W	2 - 0

Beşiktaş — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Amed	L	3 - 2
17 Sep	H Marseille	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	H Erzurumspor FK	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	W	1 - 2
31 Aug	H Çorum FK	W	6 - 2

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	24	5	5	77	30	+47	77
2	Fenerbahçe	34	21	11	2	77	37	+40	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	20	9	5	61	39	+22	69
4	Beşiktaş	34	17	9	8	59	40	+19	60
5	Başakşehir	34	16	9	9	58	35	+23	57
6	Göztepe	34	14	13	7	42	32	+10	55
7	Samsunspor	34	13	12	9	46	45	+1	51
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	46	52	-6	41
9	Konyaspor	34	10	10	14	43	50	-7	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	9	10	15	26	38	-12	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	41	41	0	37
12	Gaziantep FK	34	9	10	15	43	58	-15	37
13	Kasımpaşa	34	8	11	15	33	49	-16	35
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	34	9	7	18	36	47	-11	34
15	Eyüpspor	34	8	9	17	33	48	-15	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	8	8	18	33	55	-22	32
17	Kayserispor	34	6	12	16	27	62	-35	30
18	Fatih Karagümrük	34	8	6	20	31	54	-23	30

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.