Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

Süper Lig Süper Lig · Regular Season - 27
FT
Post on X
Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
AI call Difficult Beşiktaş win or draw
63%
23%
14%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa prediction: Sportiko gives Beşiktaş a 63% chance of winning, Kasımpaşa 14% and the draw 23%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Beşiktaş win or draw
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Beşiktaş
LWWWW
Kasımpaşa
DWDDW
Last 3 meetings Beşiktaş · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Süper Lig match, Beşiktaş hosts Kasımpaşa, seeking to maintain their strong home form. Beşiktaş has been effective at Vodafone Park, where they boast a win rate of over 65% this season, capitalizing on their attacking prowess led by key forwards. Kasımpaşa, meanwhile, struggles on the road, with only a 25% win rate away from home, which could hinder their chances. Defensively, Beşiktaş has shown resilience, conceding less than a goal per game at home, while Kasımpaşa's defensive vulnerabilities might be exploited. Overall, Beşiktaş enters as the favorites, aiming for three crucial points to bolster their title challenge.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Beşiktaş

No scorer data.

Kasımpaşa
A. Benedyczak 10 gls

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Head to Head: Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa

0 Beşiktaş Wins
2 Draws
1 Kasımpaşa Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Oct 2025 Kasımpaşa 1 - 1 Beşiktaş
07 Apr 2025 Kasımpaşa 1 - 1 Beşiktaş
02 Nov 2024 Beşiktaş 1 - 3 Kasımpaşa
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Beşiktaş — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Amed L 3 - 2
17 Sep H Marseille W 4 - 1
11 Sep H Erzurumspor FK W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Fenerbahçe W 1 - 2
31 Aug H Çorum FK W 6 - 2

Kasımpaşa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Konyaspor D 0 - 0
13 Sep A Gençlerbirliği S.K. W 1 - 2
06 Sep H Amed D 2 - 2
30 Aug A Başakşehir D 1 - 1
22 Aug A Çorum FK W 0 - 1

Süper Lig Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Galatasaray
34 24 5 5 +47 77
2
Fenerbahçe
34 21 11 2 +40 74
3
Trabzonspor
34 20 9 5 +22 69
4
Beşiktaş
34 17 9 8 +19 60
5
Başakşehir
34 16 9 9 +23 57
6
Göztepe
34 14 13 7 +10 55
7
Samsunspor
34 13 12 9 +1 51
8
Rizespor
34 10 11 13 -6 41
9
Konyaspor
34 10 10 14 -7 40
10
Kocaelispor
34 9 10 15 -12 37
11
Alanyaspor
34 7 16 11 0 37
12
Gaziantep FK
34 9 10 15 -15 37
13
Kasımpaşa
34 8 11 15 -16 35
14
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
34 9 7 18 -11 34
15
Eyüpspor
34 8 9 17 -15 33
16
Antalyaspor
34 8 8 18 -22 32
17
Kayserispor
34 6 12 16 -35 30
18
Fatih Karagümrük
34 8 6 20 -23 30

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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