Nacional vs Vitória SC Prediction
FT
AI call
Too close to call
32%
36%
32%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nacional vs Vitória SC prediction: Sportiko gives Nacional a 32% chance of winning, Vitória SC 32% and the draw 36%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
▮
14'
Rica Rocha
Yellow Card
José Gomes
Yellow Card
25'
▮
Filipe Soares
Yellow Card
32'
▮
Witi
Yellow Card
32'
▮
▮
32'
Francisco Dias
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
54'
▮
⇄
62'
Oumar Camara
⇄ Noah Saviolo
Jesús Ramírez
assist: Witi
69'
⚽
1–0
Witi
⇄ Pablo
70'
⇄
⇄
80'
⇄
80'
Telmo Arcanjo
⇄ Miguel Nogueira
⇄
80'
Samu
⇄ Martim Guedes
▮
84'
Martim Guedes
Yellow Card
Jesús Ramírez
Penalty
86'
⚽
2–0
Chiheb Labidi
⇄ Andre Sousa
90+1'
⇄
Filipe Soares
⇄ Francisco Gonçalves
90+1'
⇄
Paulinho Bóia
⇄ João Aurélio
90+3'
⇄
FT 2–0
Nacional
Match Stats
Vitória SC
35%
Ball Possession
65%
0.93
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
5
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots off Goal
5
1
Blocked Shots
4
3
Shots insidebox
8
2
Shots outsidebox
5
2
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
219
Total passes
406
148
Passes accurate
338
68%
Passes %
83%
-0.09
goals_prevented
-0.09
Nacional
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jesús Ramírez F | 8.7 | 90' | 2 | – | 3 | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 1 Kaique G | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (12%) | – |
| 99 Pablo F | 7.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 3 |
| 16 Alan Núñez D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 34 Léo Santos D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 1 |
| 22 Filipe Soares M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 19 (10%) | – |
| 38 Ze Vitor D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | – |
| 15 Chiheb Labidi M | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | – |
| 7 Witi F | 6.6 | 71' | – | 1 | – | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 5 José Gomes D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | – |
| 6 Matheus Dias M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | – |
| 11 Paulinho Bóia F | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 33 Francisco Gonçalves D | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 João Aurélio D | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 18 Andre Sousa M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
Vitória SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Rica Rocha M | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 47 (40%) | 2 |
| 48 Noah Saviolo F | 7.0 | 28' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 30 Gonçalo Nogueira M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | 1 |
| 28 Thiago Balieiro D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (52%) | 2 |
| 11 Gustavo Silva F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 88 Miguel Nogueira M | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 18 Telmo Arcanjo M | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 27 Charles G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | – |
| 19 Oumar Camara M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 26 Rodrigo Abascal D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (56%) | 1 |
| 2 Miguel Maga D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | – |
| 20 Samu M | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 30 (21%) | 1 |
| 82 Francisco Dias D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (30%) | 2 |
| 46 Hugo Nunes M | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 50 Martim Guedes M | 6.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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Nacional
LLLLL
Vitória SC
DLDLW
Last 3 meetings
Nacional · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
Nacional will host Guimarães in a crucial Primeira Liga clash on May 17, 2026. Nacional has struggled this season, sitting in the lower half of the table, with a home record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. In contrast, Guimarães has shown stronger form, currently competing for European spots, boasting an away record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Key players to watch include Nacional's forward, who has scored 7 goals this season, and Guimarães' playmaker, leading assists with 8. Given Guimarães' superior form and standings, they are favored to secure points in this matchup.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nacional vs Vitória SC
0
Nacional Wins
0
Draws
3
Vitória SC Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Vitória SC | 1 - 0 | Nacional |
| 02 Jan 2026 | Vitória SC | 2 - 1 | Nacional |
| 03 May 2025 | Nacional | 1 - 2 | Vitória SC |
Nacional — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Famalicao | L | 0 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Alverca | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting CP | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Estrela | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitória SC | L | 1 - 0 |
Vitória SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Moreirense | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Academico Viseu | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Casa Pia | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | A SC Braga | L | 1 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | H Nacional | W | 1 - 0 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Vitória SC
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Gil Lameiras
27
Silva
82
Dias
26
Abascal
28
Balieiro
2
Maga
80
Rocha
19
Camara
20
Samu
30
Nogueira
18
Arcanjo
11
Gustavo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Charles Silva | G |
| 2 | Maga | D |
| 28 | Thiago Balieiro | D |
| 26 | R. Abascal | D |
| 82 | F. Dias | D |
| 80 | R. Rocha | - |
| 18 | T. Arcanjo | M |
| 30 | G. Nogueira | M |
| 20 | Samu | M |
| 19 | O. Camara | M |
| 11 | Gustavo | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | J. Castillo | G |
| 13 | J. I. Mendes | D |
| 4 | O. Rivas Viondi | D |
| 46 | H. Nunes | - |
| 48 | N. Saviolo | F |
| 66 | T. Strata | D |
| 88 | M. Nogueira | M |
| 33 | E. Opara | F |
| 50 | Zeega | M |
Nacional
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Tiago Margarido
1
Pereira
5
Gomes
38
Vitor
34
Santos
16
Nunez
15
Labidi
6
Dias
22
Soares
11
Boia
9
Ramirez
7
Witi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaique Pereira | G |
| 16 | A. Nunez | D |
| 34 | Leo Santos | D |
| 38 | Ze Vitor | D |
| 5 | Jose Gomes | D |
| 22 | F. Soares | M |
| 6 | Matheus Dias | M |
| 15 | C. Labidi | M |
| 7 | Witi | F |
| 9 | J. Ramirez | F |
| 11 | Paulinho Boia | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | K. V. Medeiros de Freitas | G |
| 2 | J. Aurelio | D |
| 19 | L. Joao | F |
| 27 | Gabriel Veron | F |
| 10 | Daniel Junior | M |
| 30 | Watts | M |
| 18 | A. Sousa | M |
| 99 | Pablo Ruan | F |
| 33 | C. Goncalves | D |