GIL Vicente vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33

Post on X

Arouca

Away

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos

AI call GIL Vicente or draw

37%

29%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

GIL Vicente vs Arouca prediction: Sportiko gives GIL Vicente a 37% chance of winning, Arouca 34% and the draw 29%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

Agustín Moreira Yellow Card

22' ▮

▮ 43'

Jose Fontán Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Agustín Moreira ⇄ Joelson Fernandes

46' ⇄

Zé Carlos ⇄ Facundo Cáseres

46' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 61'

Bas Kuipers assist: Javi Sánchez

Luís Esteves assist: Gustavo Varela

63' ⚽ 1–1

Gustavo Varela ⇄ Hector Hernandez

64' ⇄

Santi García ⇄ Martin Fernández

64' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 67'

Ivan Barbero assist: Pablo Gozálbez

⇄ 76'

Alfonso Trezza ⇄ Mateo Flores

⚽ 1–3 82'

Taichi Fukui

⇄ 82'

Ivan Barbero

Ghislain Konan ⇄ Carlos Eduardo

83' ⇄

Hector Hernandez Yellow Card

89' ▮

⇄ 90+2'

Pablo Gozálbez ⇄ Brian Mansilla

⇄ 90+2'

Naïs Djouahra ⇄ José Silva

FT 1–3

GIL Vicente

Match Stats

Arouca

45% Ball Possession 55%

0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.39

15 Total Shots 13

5 Shots on Goal 6

5 Shots off Goal 4

5 Blocked Shots 3

10 Shots insidebox 7

5 Shots outsidebox 6

6 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 17

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

354 Total passes 453

312 Passes accurate 379

88% Passes % 84%

-0.72 goals_prevented -0.72

GIL Vicente

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Luís Esteves M	7.5	90'	1	–	1	39 (30%)	1
77 Murilo Souza M	7.0	90'	–	–	4	22 (19%)	1
5 Facundo Cáseres M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	2
6 Zé Carlos M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	2
89 Gustavo Varela F	6.7	64'	–	1	1	8 (7%)	–
32 Martin Fernández M	6.6	26'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	–
11 Joelson Fernandes F	6.6	45'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
95 Santi García M	6.5	64'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	2
23 Hector Hernandez F	6.5	26'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
3 Ghislain Konan D	6.2	83'	–	–	1	39 (33%)	–
39 Jonathan Buatu D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	64 (61%)	–
27 Agustín Moreira M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
29 Carlos Eduardo F	6.2	12'	–	–	1	1	–
99 Daniel Figueira G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
4 Marvin Elimbi Gilbert D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	54 (52%)	2
2 Zé Carlos D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (24%)	–

Arouca

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Javi Sánchez D	8.2	90'	–	1	1	90 (82%)	4
21 Taichi Fukui M	8.0	90'	1	–	1	38 (34%)	3
17 Ivan Barbero F	7.3	82'	1	–	3	17 (14%)	1
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (27%)	–
25 Bas Kuipers D	7.2	90'	1	–	1	20 (15%)	1
10 Pablo Gozálbez M	7.0	89'	–	1	–	32 (25%)	1
23 Dylan Nandín F	7.0	8'	–	1	–	4 (4%)	1
7 Naïs Djouahra M	6.9	89'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	1
3 Jose Fontán D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	98 (83%)	1
46 Mateo Flores M	6.7	14'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
28 Tiago Esgaio D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	40 (29%)	1
22 Espen Van Ee M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	44 (40%)	2
19 Alfonso Trezza M	6.2	76'	–	–	3	8 (4%)	3
24 Brian Mansilla F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
2 José Silva D	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

GIL Vicente or draw

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GIL Vicente

LLDWL

Arouca

WWDLW

Last 3 meetings GIL Vicente · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Gil Vicente hosts Arouca on May 10, 2026. Gil Vicente has shown solid home form, winning 60% of their matches this season, bolstered by a strong attacking presence averaging 1.8 goals per game. Arouca, on the other hand, has struggled away with a win rate of only 30%, largely due to a leaky defense conceding 1.9 goals per match on the road. This match could hinge on Gil Vicente's ability to capitalize on their home advantage against Arouca's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a high-scoring affair if Gil Vicente can exploit their offensive strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arouca goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	12	6	2	1
1	13	13	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	1
3	3	3	1	1
4	1	1
5

↑ GIL Vicente goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Head to Head: GIL Vicente vs Arouca

0 GIL Vicente Wins

3 Draws

0 Arouca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Dec 2025	Arouca	2 - 2	GIL Vicente
10 May 2025	GIL Vicente	1 - 1	Arouca
27 Dec 2024	Arouca	1 - 1	GIL Vicente

See all 10 meetings — Premium

GIL Vicente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 May	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 0
11 May	H Arouca	L	1 - 3
03 May	A Rio Ave	D	0 - 0
27 Apr	H Casa Pia	W	2 - 1
18 Apr	H Guimaraes	L	0 - 1

Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 May	H Tondela	W	3 - 1
11 May	A GIL Vicente	W	1 - 3
02 May	H Santa Clara	D	2 - 2
24 Apr	A Alverca	L	2 - 1
19 Apr	H Estrela	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Famalicao	1	1	1	1	1
2	Estoril	1	1	1	1	1
3	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0
5	GIL Vicente	0	0	0	0	0
6	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0
8	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0
11	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0
12	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0
13	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0
16	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0
17	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0
18	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0