Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction
FT
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
AI call
Tondela or draw
37%
35%
29%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Tondela vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives Tondela a 37% chance of winning, Moreirense 29% and the draw 35%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Makan Aïko
assist: Pedro Maranhão
18'
⚽
1–0
▮
29'
Alan
Yellow Card
HT 1–0
⇄
46'
Kiko Bondoso
⇄ Cedric Teguia
⇄
46'
Mateja Stjepanović
⇄ Luís Semedo
Rony Lopes
assist: Tiago Manso
60'
⚽
2–0
Cicero
⇄ Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
72'
⇄
Rony Lopes
⇄ Joe Hodge
72'
⇄
Makan Aïko
⇄ Helder Tavares
72'
⇄
⇄
72'
Alan
⇄ Yan Maranhão
⇄
72'
Kiko
⇄ Landerson
▮
77'
Fabiano Souza
Yellow Card
Hugo Félix
⇄ Jordan Siebatcheu
83'
⇄
⇄
83'
Fabiano Souza
⇄ Leandro Santos
Pedro Maranhão
⇄ João Afonso
90'
⇄
▮
90+3'
Cedric Teguia
Yellow Card
Jordan Siebatcheu
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
▮
90+4'
Maracás
Red Card
FT 2–0
Tondela
Match Stats
Moreirense
40%
Ball Possession
60%
1.39
Expected Goals (xG)
0.29
14
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots off Goal
6
5
Blocked Shots
2
8
Shots insidebox
4
6
Shots outsidebox
6
1
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
365
Total passes
538
288
Passes accurate
463
79%
Passes %
86%
-0.12
goals_prevented
-0.12
Tondela
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Makan Aïko M | 8.5 | 72' | 1 | – | 2 | 16 (10%) | 1 |
| 16 Rony Lopes F | 7.9 | 72' | 1 | – | 3 | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 48 Tiago Manso D | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 29 (23%) | 4 |
| 31 Bernardo Fontes G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (20%) | – |
| 44 João Silva D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (47%) | 4 |
| 97 Cicero M | 7.2 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 41 (35%) | 1 |
| 7 Pedro Maranhão M | 7.0 | 89' | – | 1 | 3 | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 4 Christian Marques D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | – |
| 79 Hugo Félix M | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 32 Juan Rodríguez M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | – |
| 8 Helder Tavares M | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 27 Rodrigo Conceição D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 10 Joe Hodge M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (3%) | – |
| 29 Jordan Siebatcheu F | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 23 Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka F | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 5 João Afonso D | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
Moreirense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Kevyn Monteiro D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (68%) | 2 |
| 25 Afonso Assis M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (60%) | 2 |
| 26 Maracás D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 83 (76%) | – |
| 7 Cedric Teguia F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 22 Caio G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | – |
| 71 Leandro Santos D | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 Kiko Bondoso M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 9 Luís Semedo F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 78 Landerson F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | 2 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 8 Mateja Stjepanović M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 2 Diogo Travassos M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (38%) | 5 |
| 99 Yan Maranhão F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 70 Fabiano Souza D | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 3 |
| 27 Kiko D | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 57 (47%) | 2 |
| 11 Alan F | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 1 |
| 23 Nile John M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (28%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Tondela or draw
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Tondela
WWWLL
Moreirense
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings
Tondela · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Tondela hosts Moreirense on May 10, 2026. Tondela has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match this season. Moreirense, however, struggles on the road, with only two wins in their last ten away fixtures, highlighting their vulnerability in away matches. The match could hinge on Tondela's ability to convert possession into goals, as they average 1.5 goals at home. Expect a tightly contested game, with Tondela likely to edge out if they maintain their defensive solidity and capitalize on home advantage.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Tondela vs Moreirense
1
Tondela Wins
0
Draws
2
Moreirense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | Tondela |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Moreirense | 2 - 0 | Tondela |
| 03 Jan 2022 | Tondela | 2 - 1 | Moreirense |
Tondela — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Imortal Albufeira | W | 1 - 5 |
| 12 Sep | A Portimonense | W | 0 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H FC Porto B | W | 3 - 0 |
| 28 Aug | A União de Leiria | L | 2 - 0 |
| 21 Aug | H Academica | L | 0 - 2 |
Moreirense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Vitória SC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | H Maritimo | W | 3 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 4 |
| 04 Sep | A FC Porto | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Casa Pia | W | 0 - 1 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Moreirense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Costa
22
Caio
27
Kiko
26
Maracas
4
Monteiro
70
Fabiano
25
Assis
8
Stjepanovic
10
Bondoso
23
John
2
Travassos
11
Alanzinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Caio | G |
| 70 | Fabiano | D |
| 4 | Kevyn Monteiro | D |
| 26 | Maracas | D |
| 27 | Kiko | D |
| 8 | M. Stjepanovic | M |
| 25 | A. Assis | M |
| 2 | Travassos | M |
| 23 | N. John | M |
| 10 | Kiko Bondoso | M |
| 11 | Alanzinho | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Mika | G |
| 66 | G. Batista | D |
| 7 | C. Teguia | F |
| 9 | L. Semedo | F |
| 30 | J. Gower | M |
| 17 | A. Martinez | D |
| 99 | Yan Maranhao | F |
| 71 | L. Santos | D |
| 78 | Landerson | F |
Tondela
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Goncalo Feio
31
Bernardo
27
Conceicao
4
Marques
44
Silva
48
Manso
32
Rodriguez
97
Cicero
90
Aiko
79
Felix
7
Maranhao
16
Lopes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bernardo | G |
| 48 | T. Manso | D |
| 44 | J. Silva | D |
| 4 | C. Marques | D |
| 27 | R. Conceicao | D |
| 97 | Cicero | M |
| 32 | J. Rodriguez | M |
| 7 | Pedro Maranhao | M |
| 79 | H. Felix | M |
| 90 | M. Aiko | M |
| 16 | Rony Lopes | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | G. Souza | G |
| 5 | J. Afonso | D |
| 15 | S. Sithole | M |
| 2 | Bebeto | D |
| 23 | B. Kimpioka | F |
| 10 | J. Hodge | M |
| 8 | H. Tavares | M |
| 29 | J. Siebatcheu | F |
| 26 | A. van der Heide | F |