Benfica vs SC Braga Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33

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SC Braga

Away

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa

AI call Difficult Benfica win or draw

58%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Benfica vs SC Braga prediction: Sportiko gives Benfica a 58% chance of winning, SC Braga 21% and the draw 21%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

HT 0–0

Rafa Silva

46' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 48'

Pau Víctor assist: Victor Gómez

▮ 56'

Lukáš Horníček Yellow Card

▮ 57'

Leonardo Lelo Yellow Card

Franjo Ivanović ⇄ Vangelis Pavlidis

61' ⇄

Vangelis Pavlidis Goal cancelled

65' 🖵

⇄ 67'

Gabriel Martínez ⇄ Mario Dorgeles

⇄ 74'

Fran Navarro ⇄ Rodrigo Zalazar

Leandro Barreiro ⇄ Dodi Lukebakio

76' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Leonardo Lelo ⇄ Gabriel Moscardo

Amar Dedić Yellow Card

87' ▮

⚽ 1–2 88'

Jean-Baptiste Gorby assist: Mario Dorgeles

Vangelis Pavlidis Penalty

90' ⚽ 2–2

Andreas Schjelderup Penalty confirmed

90+2' 🖵

▮ 90+3'

Vítor Carvalho Yellow Card

▮ 90+6'

Victor Gómez Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Benfica

Match Stats

SC Braga

52% Ball Possession 48%

3.19 Expected Goals (xG) 0.21

24 Total Shots 5

8 Shots on Goal 2

8 Shots off Goal 1

8 Blocked Shots 2

16 Shots insidebox 2

8 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 6

469 Total passes 443

385 Passes accurate 354

82% Passes % 80%

1.28 goals_prevented 1.28

Benfica

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Andreas Schjelderup M	8.5	90'	–	–	1	31 (20%)	–
27 Rafa Silva M	7.6	90'	1	–	2	25 (16%)	3
8 Fredrik Aursnes M	7.5	90'	–	–	2	52 (46%)	2
14 Vangelis Pavlidis F	7.2	29'	1	–	3	11 (5%)	–
4 António Silva D	7.2	90'	–	–	2	79 (67%)	3
25 Gianluca Prestianni M	7.2	90'	–	–	3	29 (23%)	–
11 Dodi Lukebakio F	7.0	14'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
44 Tomás Araújo D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	64 (58%)	2
26 Samuel Dahl D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	71 (63%)	2
17 Amar Dedić D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	41 (34%)	3
18 Leandro Barreiro M	6.6	76'	–	–	1	31 (27%)	2
9 Franjo Ivanović F	6.6	61'	–	–	1	16 (12%)	–
1 Anatoliy Trubin G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–

SC Braga

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Pau Víctor F	7.9	90'	1	–	1	47 (37%)	1
1 Lukáš Horníček G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	34 (14%)	–
29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby F	7.3	90'	1	–	1	35 (31%)	2
34 Demir Ege Tıknaz M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	5
14 Gustaf Lagerbielke D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	40 (32%)	2
2 Victor Gómez M	6.9	90'	–	1	–	38 (30%)	2
20 Mario Dorgeles M	6.9	23'	–	1	–	8 (7%)	1
77 Gabriel Martínez M	6.6	67'	–	–	1	27 (20%)	–
17 Gabriel Moscardo M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
5 Leonardo Lelo D	6.3	82'	–	–	–	46 (38%)	1
39 Fran Navarro F	6.3	74'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–
10 Rodrigo Zalazar M	6.2	16'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	–
6 Vítor Carvalho D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	–
8 João Moutinho M	5.2	90'	–	–	–	56 (47%)	2

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Benfica win or draw

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Benfica

WWWLW

SC Braga

WWWDD

Last 3 meetings Benfica · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on May 10, 2026, Benfica will host SC Braga at the Estádio da Luz. Benfica has been historically strong at home, boasting a 70% win rate in their last 10 league matches on home soil, while Braga has struggled with consistency, particularly against top-tier teams, recording only 3 wins in their last 10 away fixtures. Furthermore, Benfica's attacking prowess, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, could exploit Braga’s defensive vulnerabilities, which have seen them concede 1.8 goals per match away from home. This match is crucial for Benfica as they push for the title, while Braga aims to secure European qualification. Expect a competitive encounter with Benfica likely to dominate possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Braga goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4	4	3	1
1	8	9	6	2	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	2
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	2	1

↑ Benfica goals · most likely 2–1 (10.0%)

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Head to Head: Benfica vs SC Braga

0 Benfica Wins

2 Draws

1 SC Braga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Dec 2025	SC Braga	2 - 2	Benfica
17 May 2025	SC Braga	1 - 1	Benfica
04 Jan 2025	Benfica	1 - 2	SC Braga

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Benfica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Heart Of Midlothian	W	6 - 1
30 Jul	H FC ST. Gallen	W	5 - 0
24 Jul	H CF Os Belenenses	W	5 - 1
23 Jul	A FC ST. Gallen	L	2 - 1
16 May	A Estoril	W	1 - 3

SC Braga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Dinamo Minsk	W	1 - 0
30 Jul	H Železničar Pančevo	W	4 - 0
22 Jul	A Železničar Pančevo	W	0 - 1
16 May	H Estrela	D	2 - 2
11 May	A Benfica	D	2 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Famalicao	1	1	1	1	1
2	Estoril	1	1	1	1	1
3	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0
5	GIL Vicente	0	0	0	0	0
6	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0
8	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0
11	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0
12	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0
13	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0
16	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0
17	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0
18	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0